Oddball-Appetiser — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

160

1,362 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$170

$2.52K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-29 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 15:00 UTC	1	$78	93	0	+93	Up	-$78	03-09 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:45 UTC	1	$78	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	03-09 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:55 UTC	1	$70	79	0	+79	Down	+$9	03-09 10:59
bitcoin up or down march 13 9pm et	4	$58	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	03-14 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 08:45 UTC	1	$57	81	0	+81	Up	+$24	03-09 08:56
bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	2	$49	29	28	+0	Up	+$5	03-13 13:46
bitcoin up or down march 13 5am et	8	$48	30	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-13 09:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:30 UTC	2	$42	43	0	+43	Down	-$1	03-09 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:45 UTC	1	$42	44	0	+44	Down	+$2	03-09 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$31	24	24	+0	Up	-$9	09-22 14:14
bitcoin up or down march 14 8am et	3	$29	32	2	+30	Up	-$26	03-14 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 16:55 UTC	2	$29	22	21	+0	Down	+$2	03-17 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:55 UTC	2	$24	18	17	+0	Down	+$2	03-17 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:35 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	03-18 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:00 UTC	2	$22	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	03-17 13:03
bitcoin up or down march 13 8am et	2	$21	14	13	+0	Up	+$1	03-13 12:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 07:30 UTC	2	$21	23	0	+23	Up	+$1	03-13 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	09-20 10:12
bitcoin up or down march 14 4am et	2	$19	27	0	+27	Down	+$8	03-14 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:05 UTC	2	$17	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	03-18 07:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC	2	$15	22	22	+0	Up	-$5	08-18 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:35 UTC	2	$14	12	12	+0	Down	-$5	03-18 07:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 00:45 UTC	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	08-18 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:05 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	03-16 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:35 UTC	4	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	08-19 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 12:45 UTC	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	03-08 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:55 UTC	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	03-08 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:00 UTC	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	03-18 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:20 UTC	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	03-19 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:00 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-16 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xbf0bc5…
10-29 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf79f91…
10-29 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa44eb1…
10-29 08:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2405b6…
10-29 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xfbd2b1…
10-29 04:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9bfd2…
10-29 04:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xb7454c…
10-29 04:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8d2c0…
10-29 00:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xcefb26…
10-29 00:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4bf5e8…
10-28 11:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x3afc2d…
10-28 11:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb06bd7…
10-28 11:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x582413…
10-28 11:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x055bb8…
10-28 11:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xde8d66…
10-28 11:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x60cbca…
10-28 09:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xd835fb…
10-28 09:04:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfe07fc…
10-28 09:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa510f9…
10-28 08:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x99e476…
10-28 08:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x55346d…
10-28 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x2936b1…
10-28 08:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc4bdc7…
10-28 08:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9df028…
10-28 08:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x68e7b4…
10-28 07:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xcafe2e…
10-28 07:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2096da…
10-28 06:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xc4026a…
10-28 06:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x559679…
10-27 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd3e349…
10-27 16:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0de051…
10-27 16:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4aa37d…
10-27 16:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f60e0…
10-27 13:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf3996e…
10-27 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x4ef5ea…
10-27 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6ba53a…
10-27 12:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x6327b8…
10-27 12:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xce2e64…
10-27 11:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe4973e…
10-27 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8cec43…
10-27 03:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x1340fc…
10-27 03:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd85be0…
10-26 22:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf4f811…
10-26 22:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf8288d…
10-26 17:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xf39f3b…
10-26 17:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8599dc…
10-26 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa2973c…
10-26 17:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1e4ed8…
10-26 17:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x844d25…
10-26 17:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x00806f…
10-26 16:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x063450…
10-26 16:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7593ec…
10-26 16:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x18f37f…
10-26 16:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x81621d…
10-26 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x7233ee…
10-26 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdd9dc7…
10-26 14:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xef7e79…
10-26 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc179ad…
10-26 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xaea386…
10-26 14:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x34c82c…
10-26 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xcc6ce8…
10-26 14:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x32d683…
10-26 13:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc1a30f…
10-26 13:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x77ed38…
10-26 13:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf9961f…
10-26 13:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xefae1d…
10-26 11:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x672812…
10-26 11:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x459687…
10-26 11:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x75b8dc…
10-26 11:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x47030b…
10-26 11:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x64858b…
10-26 11:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf1fce6…
10-26 09:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x82d74c…
10-26 08:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfd170d…
10-26 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf0b22f…
10-26 08:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd79eaa…
10-26 08:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd1d48d…
10-26 08:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcd3441…
10-26 05:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x5e03ea…
10-26 05:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce31bb…
10-26 04:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xb44707…
10-26 04:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x52e7ea…
10-25 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x3eb1b4…
10-25 11:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x007f44…
10-25 10:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x2208e8…
10-25 10:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6d0810…
10-25 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe66e91…
10-25 10:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x460545…
10-25 00:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xeacba1…
10-25 00:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7698c3…
10-25 00:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x55daa6…
10-25 00:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd3784…
10-24 16:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6090b2…
10-24 16:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa46ed6…
10-24 15:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x60dd62…
10-24 15:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca088c…
10-24 12:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x267351…
10-24 10:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x79b896…
10-24 10:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb508f5…
10-23 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x33340e…