Partial-Dogsled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$714

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 08-04 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% -$443

Politics

14% 9% -$202

Crypto

10% 0% -$27

Tech

4% 0% -$41

Sports

4% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 15:33
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$966	700	700	+0	No	+$0	05-26 13:45
will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	5	$818	685	685	+0	No	-$4	06-08 07:58
Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)	2	$653	996	996	+0	CA Boston River	-$24	05-26 16:14
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$647	700	700	+0	open	—	06-03 08:07
NBA: SGA Award Parlay	3	$540	600	600	+0	No	+$0	05-27 01:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	3	$500	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-31 07:01
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	3	$470	663	663	+0	Yes	-$21	05-28 08:09
will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	7	$431	600	600	+0	Yes	-$13	06-06 14:34
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	6	$429	323	323	+0	No	-$4	06-04 12:41
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	2	$381	300	300	+0	open	—	05-29 16:13
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?	2	$344	400	400	+0	open	—	06-01 07:13
Will Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$301	314	314	+0	open	—	05-28 15:52
will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	3	$295	350	350	+0	open	—	06-04 05:21
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$276	300	300	+0	open	—	05-31 15:06
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	11	$270	450	450	+0	Yes	-$36	06-04 05:52
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 10:45
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	2	$240	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 05:48
Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	5	$234	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$16	05-31 07:02
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	2	$217	400	318	+82	No	-$31	06-04 04:40
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	5	$214	300	300	+0	No	-$14	06-04 05:52
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?	2	$204	300	300	+0	open	—	05-30 09:24
mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	3	$198	200	200	+0	No	-$26	06-07 13:01
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	2	$184	400	400	+0	No	-$32	06-01 04:29
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	2	$177	300	300	+0	No	-$27	05-28 07:36
rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	2	$177	200	200	+0	Yes	-$23	06-06 14:05
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?	3	$174	300	300	+0	No	-$60	06-09 02:57
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	2	$148	200	200	+0	No	-$28	06-01 04:29
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	3	$146	300	300	+0	Yes	-$16	06-04 07:33
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$140	150	150	+0	Yes	-$10	05-22 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 06:45:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf7ca77…
06-09 02:57:13	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$57	0x5823ca…
06-09 02:56:43	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 5pt83	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x212a14…
06-09 02:56:04	fda approves kiniksa regeneron arcalyst 06 19 2026	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x42dc27…
06-08 07:58:37	will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	363	59¢	$214	0x8e7f68…
06-07 20:15:01	will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	189	60¢	$113	0x16f05c…
06-07 13:01:30	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	Yes	SELL	194	43¢	$83	0xb32423…
06-06 14:37:39	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x529b8d…
06-06 14:34:33	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	Yes	SELL	124	51¢	$63	0x423793…
06-06 14:27:31	will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xbd4748…
06-06 14:27:28	will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	125	60¢	$75	0x444907…
06-06 14:27:25	will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	685	60¢	$411	0x1a8a3f…
06-06 14:27:07	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xbeb676…
06-06 14:25:40	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	Yes	SELL	144	52¢	$75	0xa7d720…
06-06 14:19:33	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5e4dee…
06-06 14:18:25	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	Yes	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x9f2778…
06-06 14:05:19	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$77	0x55edbd…
06-06 10:42:01	will fut qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xe9aa5f…
06-06 10:10:13	will fut qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	180	34¢	$61	0x066724…
06-06 08:03:46	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	No	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xdffbc6…
06-05 15:00:37	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 5pt83	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xd9b72f…
06-05 13:34:28	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc8ccdb…
06-05 13:28:45	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x19f8cf…
06-05 11:01:04	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x2b1e0c…
06-05 10:45:10	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	121	62¢	$75	0x72b28c…
06-05 10:44:28	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	25	62¢	$15	0xaa1454…
06-05 10:42:21	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x644f22…
06-05 10:39:18	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0xfed707…
06-05 09:50:42	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1b24de…
06-05 09:47:45	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x0b205d…
06-05 07:55:06	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	SELL	31	69¢	$21	0xf9c4bf…
06-05 07:54:19	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x39dfe2…
06-05 07:51:55	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	SELL	64	69¢	$44	0x5160ce…
06-05 06:16:33	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	150	32¢	$48	0x1f449c…
06-05 06:04:55	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	No	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0xed5c41…
06-05 05:31:40	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xf80d36…
06-05 04:44:06	fda approves kiniksa regeneron arcalyst 06 19 2026	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xd754fe…
06-04 14:53:34	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	No	SELL	300	18¢	$54	0xaf3f28…
06-04 12:41:54	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	201	65¢	$131	0xe40817…
06-04 12:01:01	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	No	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0xb3c227…
06-04 11:43:58	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xcb443e…
06-04 11:43:58	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x901ef4…
06-04 11:43:58	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x131ba1…
06-04 11:43:52	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	123	67¢	$82	0x953f66…
06-04 11:43:34	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xd78043…
06-04 07:34:12	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	SELL	127	18¢	$23	0x5b9b93…
06-04 07:33:33	Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	198	19¢	$38	0xd7852e…
06-04 05:52:40	Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	No	SELL	138	28¢	$39	0xfca093…
06-04 05:52:15	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	450	26¢	$117	0x50b7db…
06-04 05:21:51	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0xe68e05…
06-04 05:19:19	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x8c42ab…
06-04 05:18:57	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	350	43¢	$150	0x453c17…
06-04 04:40:58	Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	318	29¢	$93	0x070d9c…
06-04 04:28:10	Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xd9aca1…
06-04 03:22:58	Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	No	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x295ea0…
06-04 02:59:04	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe8097c…
06-03 22:37:40	Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	No	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xe6c74a…
06-03 21:33:15	Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	No	SELL	105	38¢	$40	0xd61a0e…
06-03 21:07:49	Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	No	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x9ef4e9…
06-03 17:37:43	Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	102	27¢	$28	0x80cba4…
06-03 11:54:52	Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x2d0838…
06-03 11:53:59	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xcea8a4…
06-03 11:53:59	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9bab25…
06-03 11:53:59	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9b3765…
06-03 11:53:59	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	59	33¢	$19	0x59efff…
06-03 11:53:59	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x53b414…
06-03 11:33:17	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x4d1147…
06-03 11:25:22	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	163	34¢	$55	0x4e0607…
06-03 11:25:22	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x03b4af…
06-03 11:25:17	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd2e127…
06-03 11:25:15	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x3ef19a…
06-03 11:25:14	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	37	34¢	$12	0xfb761d…
06-03 11:25:14	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	125	34¢	$42	0xe8162b…
06-03 11:25:14	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x9273b3…
06-03 11:25:14	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x4276f8…
06-03 11:25:14	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x299306…
06-03 11:25:14	Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x17707e…
06-03 11:23:57	Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x5f71f2…
06-03 08:07:22	Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	700	45¢	$318	0x6450a4…
06-03 08:06:43	Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	700	47¢	$329	0x1aae63…
06-03 03:58:57	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x3d7a55…
06-03 03:42:30	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0xff98b8…
06-03 03:19:38	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x073863…
06-01 15:05:29	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0x9b6574…
06-01 09:52:28	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0xa349a4…
06-01 09:52:16	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0xdccb0c…
06-01 07:49:15	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0x6c0583…
06-01 07:17:38	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	17¢	$26	0xeaa4a1…
06-01 07:13:52	Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	400	43¢	$172	0x9bb952…
06-01 04:29:24	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	400	19¢	$76	0xfee6e3…
06-01 04:29:03	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xebab05…
06-01 03:51:51	Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xeea4a8…
05-31 15:33:44	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x962842…
05-31 15:06:00	Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	46¢	$138	0xfc299a…
05-31 14:34:40	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	983	77¢	$757	0xb25792…
05-31 14:31:12	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xa4d2f8…
05-31 13:42:19	Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0x3ecf2e…
05-31 07:02:16	Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	75	10¢	$7	0x480126…
05-31 07:01:25	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xd0b7f0…
05-31 06:55:25	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x68c2d9…