Rural-Bafflement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-14 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 29% -$1,902

Other

16% 67% +$254

Sports

13% 100% +$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 06:00 UTC	1	$888	976	0	+976	Up	+$88	01-03 06:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 16:45 UTC	1	$884	1,238	0	+1,238	Down	-$884	01-03 16:57
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	2	$563	578	0	+578	Yes	+$15	05-31 17:52
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	3	$559	377	377	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$150	05-31 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	3	$300	533	0	+533	Down	-$300	06-01 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 01:00 UTC	1	$284	1,018	0	+1,018	Up	-$284	01-01 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	3	$200	259	0	+259	Down	-$200	06-01 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	2	$150	306	0	+306	Down	-$150	05-31 12:52
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?	1	$105	210	0	+210	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$105	05-31 11:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 13:30 UTC	1	$100	129	0	+129	Down	-$100	01-03 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$50	98	0	+98	Down	-$50	06-01 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$40	51	0	+51	Up	+$11	05-31 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$13	30	0	+30	Down	-$13	06-01 11:04
bitcoin up or down january 3 1am et	1	$12	21	0	+21	Down	+$9	01-03 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$12	18	0	+18	Up	-$12	05-30 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-31 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	Down	-$10	05-30 15:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	999	0	+999	No	-$10	06-02 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:05 UTC	1	$10	41	0	+41	Down	-$10	07-14 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$5	05-30 15:44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	05-30 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 09:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x5672fb…
06-02 20:00:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xdf4fd6…
06-01 11:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x14acda…
06-01 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7e1e27…
06-01 10:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x9a95d9…
06-01 10:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x27d2b3…
06-01 10:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xa7ad7b…
06-01 10:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x6a1a5b…
06-01 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x1f73e2…
06-01 09:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x6824c6…
06-01 09:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xf0bfad…
05-31 17:52:34	Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xc00ef7…
05-31 17:10:39	Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x2e85d6…
05-31 17:05:37	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	377	94¢	$354	0x9f8452…
05-31 13:51:55	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe947da…
05-31 12:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x440c52…
05-31 12:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5f3b5d…
05-31 12:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe05059…
05-31 12:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x710a3e…
05-31 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb8e96c…
05-31 12:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3986aa…
05-31 12:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe77acd…
05-31 11:47:57	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x26da4d…
05-31 11:47:28	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x83187e…
05-30 15:54:15	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x864c78…
05-30 15:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4f3f5e…
05-30 15:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xb2209a…
05-30 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe764b0…
05-30 15:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xab8a1a…
05-30 15:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa2f6d7…
05-30 15:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb3a72a…
05-30 15:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x54127a…
01-03 16:57:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,238	71¢	$884	0x8d874a…
01-03 13:41:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xe13ba4…
01-03 06:36:47	bitcoin up or down january 3 1am et	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x76309f…
01-03 06:08:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	976	91¢	$888	0x82eb9c…
01-01 01:01:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,018	28¢	$284	0xe066e8…