Harsh-Stinger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-16 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$11

Crypto

17% — —

Other

14% 0% $-5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	-34	$-2	18¢	$-6	$-4	06-11 14:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	05-28 16:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+17	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	06-13 08:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$251	209	209	+0	open	—	05-16 08:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$124	88	88	+0	open	—	04-04 10:34
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	05-14 13:48
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	1	$50	139	0	+139	open	—	04-14 17:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	04-08 16:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	04-04 10:47
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$50	61	0	+61	No	+$11	05-07 17:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$47	56	56	+0	open	—	04-17 13:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$24	85	0	+85	open	—	04-06 11:44
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$22	33	0	+33	open	—	04-20 01:52
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	05-10 03:05
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	06-01 15:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 15	2	$20	89	0	+89	open	—	04-14 17:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$17	31	0	+31	open	—	04-17 13:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 17	2	$15	43	0	+43	open	—	04-16 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$11	32	0	+32	open	—	05-07 17:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	2	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	04-17 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-07 17:10
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-16 16:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 12	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-11 10:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-13 08:29
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-16 09:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-28 16:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-14 17:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-06 13:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 15	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-14 17:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 11:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-07 17:11
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-06 13:45
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 00:31:13	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x77b522…
06-13 08:29:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x57cba7…
06-11 14:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xe4206a…
06-01 15:50:31	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe361f9…
05-28 16:54:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe0c08b…
05-28 16:37:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x70ef43…
05-19 11:02:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x747386…
05-16 09:06:26	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x14e25d…
05-16 08:40:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	209	96¢	$201	0xf9dc3f…
05-15 16:25:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa0b94d…
05-14 13:53:41	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xf1ac7f…
05-14 13:48:42	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2c51ac…
05-13 10:39:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x5a95de…
05-10 03:05:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x8f01af…
05-07 17:15:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x45b674…
05-07 17:14:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x32dfbe…
05-07 17:11:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2344d3…
05-07 17:10:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd01ab0…
05-07 17:08:15	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3f59a8…
05-07 17:07:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x051ed0…
05-06 13:45:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2c0f8c…
05-06 13:42:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xfb68ef…
05-06 13:21:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcdfb59…
04-20 01:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x53db74…
04-17 13:35:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0xa79efc…
04-17 13:34:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x72343a…
04-17 13:31:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x32294b…
04-17 13:18:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbec232…
04-16 16:46:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x85fc91…
04-16 16:45:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x83c208…
04-16 16:44:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x64d328…
04-16 16:34:56	bitcoin above 74k on april 17	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5de44a…
04-14 17:22:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x567890…
04-14 17:22:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4949ca…
04-14 17:22:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x49be16…
04-14 17:17:42	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x5e6ed3…
04-14 17:14:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf4d1c8…
04-13 08:43:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	56	26¢	$15	0x148618…
04-11 10:10:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 12	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0e226c…
04-11 09:55:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x29049b…
04-11 09:47:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x63d0bb…
04-08 16:00:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x722f69…
04-06 11:44:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x57b7e2…
04-04 10:47:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xf167df…
04-04 10:34:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	88	84¢	$74	0x3c89ab…
04-01 10:39:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x68e82e…