Informal-Notion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$184

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-13 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% $-3

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-28 08:12
btc updown 15m 1781350200	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$6	9	6	+3	open	—	06-01 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 08:38
btc updown 15m 1781147700	5	$5	6	3	+3	open	—	06-11 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-18 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-18 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 10:08
btc updown 5m 1781286600	5	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-12 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-10 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 12:58
btc updown 5m 1781148000	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-11 03:24
btc updown 15m 1781348400	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	4	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-11 02:48
cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-13 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 14:21
btc updown 5m 1781286300	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-12 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-29 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-28 09:47
bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 10am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-17 15:49
btc updown 5m 1781350800	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 10:22
btc updown 5m 1781360700	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-13 14:27
eth updown 5m 1781147700	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 10:16
eth updown 5m 1781352000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-13 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:53:58	btc updown 15m 1781361900	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeba5dd…
06-13 14:53:51	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x5b7aef…
06-13 14:42:00	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Team Falcons	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x596178…
06-13 14:37:19	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Team Falcons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4c393a…
06-13 14:29:01	sol updown 5m 1781360700	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4cc52d…
06-13 14:27:57	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xee68de…
06-13 14:27:51	btc updown 5m 1781360700	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xaa89d2…
06-13 14:26:51	btc updown 5m 1781360700	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb1f327…
06-13 14:18:15	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Team Falcons	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x180f30…
06-13 13:47:43	cs2 rust heroa 2026 06 13	RUSTEC	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbc9d31…
06-13 13:01:10	cs2 aur1 g2 2026 06 13	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd567de…
06-13 12:06:42	lol we blg 2026 06 13	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4a660d…
06-13 12:04:07	eth updown 5m 1781352000	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf8bca7…
06-13 12:03:27	eth updown 5m 1781352000	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x548935…
06-13 11:42:06	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xe69691…
06-13 11:41:21	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd21a74…
06-13 11:38:42	btc updown 5m 1781350500	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x546fc6…
06-13 11:38:22	btc updown 5m 1781350500	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc4d0da…
06-13 11:38:00	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xf65ccb…
06-13 11:37:01	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x07eb5c…
06-13 11:36:31	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb358e6…
06-13 11:35:22	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd9d194…
06-13 11:11:31	btc updown 15m 1781348400	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd091a3…
06-13 11:09:55	btc updown 15m 1781348400	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xde6e52…
06-13 11:08:52	btc updown 15m 1781348400	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5a99c2…
06-12 17:57:15	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe79819…
06-12 17:57:09	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7e5789…
06-12 17:56:06	eth updown 15m 1781286300	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x17e072…
06-12 17:55:57	btc updown 15m 1781286300	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x7876fe…
06-12 17:55:00	btc updown 15m 1781286300	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8b54de…
06-12 17:54:18	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x3df8ae…
06-12 17:53:30	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcd64ac…
06-12 17:52:19	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9ef50b…
06-12 17:52:15	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x12fe8a…
06-12 17:51:19	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcabe99…
06-12 17:49:13	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x345e28…
06-12 17:48:12	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaf22f0…
06-12 17:47:03	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa992e1…
06-12 17:47:00	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xb4be56…
06-12 17:44:22	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd3c400…
06-12 17:28:49	btc updown 5m 1781285100	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x47806e…
06-12 17:28:07	btc updown 5m 1781285100	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc0cece…
06-12 13:25:37	sol updown 5m 1781270700	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x13244a…
06-12 13:25:31	sol updown 5m 1781270700	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x63e9f1…
06-11 03:25:46	btc updown 15m 1781147700	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf6d740…
06-11 03:25:28	btc updown 15m 1781147700	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xf94660…
06-11 03:24:43	btc updown 5m 1781148000	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xadb418…
06-11 03:24:21	btc updown 5m 1781148000	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x24d148…
06-11 03:22:43	btc updown 15m 1781147700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x042d52…
06-11 03:21:22	btc updown 15m 1781147700	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xec1fdd…
06-11 03:20:45	btc updown 5m 1781148000	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x297986…
06-11 03:20:21	btc updown 5m 1781148000	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x89b051…
06-11 03:20:21	eth updown 5m 1781147700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x30ccf3…
06-11 03:18:58	btc updown 15m 1781147700	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb8d0f9…
06-11 03:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfd559a…
06-11 03:16:40	eth updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2ec8e2…
06-11 03:12:37	sol updown 5m 1781147400	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb02190…
06-10 16:39:03	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2812ce…
06-09 16:57:51	eth updown 15m 1781023500	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xae643f…
06-09 09:57:55	xrp updown 5m 1780998900	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x58f3b2…
06-03 10:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x4d495d…
06-03 10:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3d55e0…
06-03 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xfa80f9…
06-03 10:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x66c4b7…
06-03 10:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb6b46f…
06-03 10:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb4020c…
06-03 06:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb4aa6b…
06-03 06:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0cbb49…
06-03 06:38:14	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb219b…
06-02 10:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2b4b34…
06-01 16:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x930449…
06-01 10:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3c1584…
06-01 10:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x2590af…
06-01 10:31:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x18b4f8…
06-01 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa34183…
06-01 09:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x19635d…
06-01 09:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8329a…
06-01 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4e51ed…
06-01 08:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x7638db…
06-01 08:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb9f05e…
06-01 08:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x29ddee…
06-01 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeebd37…
06-01 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xecd378…
06-01 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xca96e0…
06-01 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2d561b…
06-01 08:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x333409…
06-01 08:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1e0af1…
06-01 08:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe9cc32…
05-29 07:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6619cc…
05-29 07:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1a1865…
05-29 05:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xb2a730…
05-29 05:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9c80cc…
05-28 10:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf64da…
05-28 09:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x50a526…
05-28 09:46:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc95ff5…
05-28 09:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcf23b5…
05-28 08:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0xe91c86…
05-28 08:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8e73c8…
05-22 08:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xbfd44e…
05-22 08:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xae87aa…