Informal-Notion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

237

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-17 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 75% -$124

Other

2% 52% -$13

Sports

1% 27% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:35 UTC	7	$219	124	124	+0	Up	+$3	07-09 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:45 UTC	4	$41	40	40	+0	Up	-$34	07-16 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:30 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	07-16 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:20 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	07-16 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:25 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	07-16 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:25 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	-$39	07-17 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	07-16 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:55 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	07-16 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:10 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	07-16 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:50 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	07-17 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:20 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	07-17 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:25 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	07-17 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:25 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	07-16 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:35 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	-$38	07-16 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:40 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	07-16 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:25 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	07-16 16:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:25 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	07-16 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	07-17 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:55 UTC	2	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	07-16 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:20 UTC	4	$37	40	0	+40	Down	+$3	07-16 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:50 UTC	3	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	07-16 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$37	40	0	+40	Down	+$3	07-17 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	2	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	07-17 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	2	$37	40	0	+40	Down	-$37	07-16 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	2	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	07-16 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:50 UTC	2	$37	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	07-16 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:05 UTC	2	$37	40	0	+40	Down	+$3	07-16 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	4	$36	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	07-17 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:40 UTC	2	$36	40	0	+40	Down	-$36	07-17 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:20 UTC	30	$36	44	12	+32	Down	-$14	07-09 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 08:04:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9f0390…
07-17 07:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x740937…
07-17 07:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x45e544…
07-17 07:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x36c7f9…
07-17 07:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb846c2…
07-17 07:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xca7d19…
07-17 07:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x075a9c…
07-17 07:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x80f7b1…
07-17 07:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xebf047…
07-17 07:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x352976…
07-17 07:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x126e5d…
07-17 07:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x13a59c…
07-17 07:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x04f183…
07-17 07:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd83bb6…
07-17 06:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe6c630…
07-17 06:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x64665a…
07-17 06:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x214986…
07-17 06:09:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd2336e…
07-17 06:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc879a4…
07-17 06:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x13db54…
07-17 05:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa519cf…
07-17 05:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcf7113…
07-17 05:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1a57b3…
07-17 05:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xea4e75…
07-17 05:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x0e06af…
07-17 04:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02afff…
07-17 04:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x62825c…
07-17 04:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9b84ba…
07-17 04:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbb06bd…
07-17 04:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa87dce…
07-17 04:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x20e7e0…
07-17 03:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4325fe…
07-17 03:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1477bc…
07-17 03:26:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf83ceb…
07-17 02:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1abfbf…
07-17 02:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x880f3e…
07-17 02:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb140d9…
07-17 02:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf1f7ef…
07-17 02:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x9a81f1…
07-17 02:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x221d23…
07-17 02:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x44fa77…
07-17 01:28:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x44cbc4…
07-17 01:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x689ce4…
07-17 01:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0c6ab5…
07-17 01:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x0a4513…
07-17 01:24:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5d8adc…
07-17 00:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x6b8a28…
07-17 00:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9bda21…
07-17 00:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3d1f64…
07-16 23:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd25d74…
07-16 23:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x16a1fc…
07-16 23:33:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc28f4d…
07-16 23:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb98ce2…
07-16 23:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x711442…
07-16 23:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xe32ad8…
07-16 23:14:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc75df5…
07-16 23:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x686bef…
07-16 23:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xec2521…
07-16 22:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x575fab…
07-16 22:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x052dc5…
07-16 22:28:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x665e33…
07-16 22:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4223d6…
07-16 21:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa4b5d1…
07-16 21:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x851e12…
07-16 21:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3e6a17…
07-16 21:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x6e6561…
07-16 21:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x3f89e2…
07-16 20:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x80ec5a…
07-16 20:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x85c8ad…
07-16 20:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x020f8a…
07-16 20:14:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8a7c4f…
07-16 20:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa1045d…
07-16 20:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x70516b…
07-16 20:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x972d13…
07-16 19:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x88a476…
07-16 19:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0x1af5e6…
07-16 19:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa9d494…
07-16 19:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xfd6774…
07-16 19:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa2c398…
07-16 19:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x37c1bf…
07-16 19:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb73658…
07-16 19:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x118e2b…
07-16 19:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6ec179…
07-16 18:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbe2900…
07-16 18:59:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3969bf…
07-16 18:33:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdc40dd…
07-16 18:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9833c0…
07-16 17:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6924cf…
07-16 17:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe6e316…
07-16 17:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x384345…
07-16 17:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb10f54…
07-16 17:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd01793…
07-16 17:02:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe96391…
07-16 16:57:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2d0789…
07-16 16:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xaa5521…
07-16 16:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xef717c…
07-16 16:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2c0a77…
07-16 16:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1aec52…
07-16 16:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8960ed…
07-16 16:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb6e023…