Inferior-Smith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

6,799

Trades

9,475

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-05 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 72% -$1,205

Other

1% 7% -$89

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Politics

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes		+28	$10	10¢	$3	-$7	06-17 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 11:15 UTC	5	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$7	02-22 11:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:15 UTC	1	$30	40	0	+40	Up	-$30	02-22 10:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:20 UTC	3	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	02-22 09:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:05 UTC	4	$30	38	0	+38	Up	-$30	02-22 09:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:25 UTC	3	$30	46	0	+46	Up	+$16	02-22 13:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:10 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	02-22 09:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:05 UTC	2	$30	44	0	+44	Down	+$14	02-22 14:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:00 UTC	2	$30	32	0	+32	Down	-$30	02-22 14:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:55 UTC	6	$30	39	0	+39	Up	+$9	02-22 10:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:30 UTC	3	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	02-22 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:50 UTC	2	$30	42	0	+42	Down	-$30	03-11 22:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:30 UTC	1	$29	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	02-22 13:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:35 UTC	1	$29	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	02-22 10:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 12:15 UTC	1	$29	45	0	+45	Down	-$29	02-22 12:19
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$26	100	25	+75	Yes	+$81	01-09 01:11
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$25	32	32	+0	Yes	-$5	03-19 22:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 18:20 UTC	3	$24	32	0	+32	Up	-$11	03-05 18:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 18:15 UTC	4	$22	29	0	+29	Down	-$22	03-05 18:18
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:55 UTC	3	$22	28	0	+28	Down	-$1	03-13 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:30 UTC	6	$22	33	0	+33	Up	+$11	03-10 21:33
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	2	$22	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:30 UTC	5	$22	30	0	+30	Up	-$9	03-08 22:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 04:30 UTC	6	$22	30	0	+30	Up	+$8	03-19 04:41
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	62	0	+62	No	-$20	06-09 08:30
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	-$20	02-01 07:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:40 UTC	1	$20	30	0	+30	Up	-$20	02-21 18:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 06:50 UTC	2	$20	26	0	+26	Down	-$20	02-22 06:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:10 UTC	1	$20	26	0	+26	Down	+$6	02-22 09:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:15 UTC	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	-$20	02-22 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 02:40 UTC	1	$20	34	0	+34	Down	+$14	02-22 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:44:21	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x898ccc…
10-26 17:31:44	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x2b7475…
07-03 11:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x0d10d5…
07-02 11:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9c9d9c…
07-02 11:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x59ce29…
07-02 11:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x17a772…
07-02 11:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4bcd90…
07-01 12:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xbe0287…
07-01 12:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x3e6319…
07-01 11:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xb368ea…
07-01 11:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x3abad9…
07-01 11:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc395dd…
07-01 11:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1d35fe…
07-01 11:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x82c994…
07-01 11:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7c1eba…
07-01 11:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xd7a16d…
07-01 11:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd3cb78…
07-01 11:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x237d34…
07-01 11:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x36c33e…
07-01 11:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xd8e040…
07-01 11:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0xb97415…
06-30 07:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x23dd04…
06-30 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x2d504f…
06-30 07:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0x24924d…
06-30 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4dec7b…
06-30 07:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x63c07b…
06-17 07:25:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xed1245…
06-17 07:23:14	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc7d7c2…
06-17 07:22:29	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd3e81d…
06-17 07:22:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xda9872…
06-17 07:21:40	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xd603fe…
06-17 07:19:08	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2a4f78…
06-17 07:18:53	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0a7f6d…
06-17 07:15:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6b5312…
06-17 05:23:02	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x727b4a…
06-17 05:22:52	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x2bff47…
06-17 05:22:41	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4de277…
06-17 05:22:35	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa34a15…
06-17 00:21:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x56e4a1…
06-16 19:21:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x038bca…
06-16 18:36:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf35eba…
06-16 10:38:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xcc3078…
06-16 10:38:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x10dc1c…
06-16 05:52:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3bf0e9…
06-16 02:53:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4e8fb1…
06-16 01:21:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x09b3b4…
06-15 12:21:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9969d0…
06-15 11:36:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcf44bb…
06-15 10:06:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf5662b…
06-15 02:06:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1dfd0d…
06-14 22:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x13af0d…
06-14 20:37:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3ce45c…
06-14 18:36:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x834cab…
06-14 18:36:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x7f3b76…
06-14 13:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x478596…
06-14 03:37:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x16d99e…
06-13 20:53:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfc733f…
06-13 19:07:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5f5889…
06-13 13:51:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6b7efb…
06-13 11:03:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x345cc1…
06-13 11:03:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0bfdcb…
06-13 05:52:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x08c6eb…
06-13 05:52:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x262ae5…
06-13 05:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc1aeaf…
06-13 01:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb888f9…
06-12 19:53:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0b213b…
06-12 06:38:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x22f34c…
06-11 01:38:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc6dc52…
06-10 23:21:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8b288d…
06-10 18:52:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4951d9…
06-10 11:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x439a7b…
06-10 06:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x38ebea…
06-09 23:36:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3494c1…
06-09 20:53:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa437a2…
06-09 08:31:57	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x97fb92…
06-09 08:30:27	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xe7b8f2…
06-09 03:53:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe3952a…
06-08 20:38:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x27ef73…
06-08 17:21:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa13409…
06-08 04:38:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf1186e…
06-08 02:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc93cef…
06-08 00:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6f7880…
06-07 18:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcc62f6…
06-07 15:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa1dfbc…
06-07 12:22:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x592449…
06-07 04:37:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8a6a74…
06-06 08:36:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf2092a…
06-06 08:36:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x061f10…
06-06 03:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xaca7e7…
06-05 03:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8b00bf…
06-04 13:22:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4292c2…
06-04 13:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xab3bfa…
06-04 10:51:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x726454…
06-03 01:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6400e0…
06-01 09:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9c2f14…
05-30 18:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb8b4ad…
05-29 18:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x288cf5…
05-29 11:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x99a39a…
05-29 03:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc527db…
05-28 02:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0dc0…