Inferior-Smith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

135

Trades

9,431

lifetime

Volume

$39.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-17 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 78% $-30

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+22	$10	40¢	$9	$-1	06-17 07:19
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	+15	$10	45¢	$7	$-3	06-17 07:22
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	+28	$10	22¢	$6	$-4	06-17 07:25
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	+36	$5	12¢	$4	$-1	06-17 07:18
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	+31	$10	14¢	$4	$-6	06-17 07:23
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	-16	$-0	7¢	$-1	$-1	03-27 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 5m 1771758900	5	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	02-22 11:19
xrp updown 5m 1771755300	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	02-22 10:19
xrp updown 5m 1771751100	4	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	02-22 09:09
xrp updown 5m 1771752000	3	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	02-22 09:24
xrp updown 5m 1771766700	3	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	02-22 13:29
xrp updown 5m 1771751400	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	02-22 09:14
xrp updown 5m 1771769100	2	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	02-22 14:09
xrp updown 5m 1771768800	2	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	02-22 14:04
xrp updown 5m 1771757700	6	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	02-22 10:59
xrp updown 5m 1771770600	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	02-22 14:34
btc updown 5m 1773269400	2	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	03-11 22:50
xrp updown 5m 1771767000	1	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	02-22 13:34
xrp updown 5m 1771756500	1	$29	33	0	+33	open	—	02-22 10:39
xrp updown 5m 1771762500	1	$29	45	0	+45	open	—	02-22 12:19
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$26	100	25	+75	open	—	01-09 01:11
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$25	32	32	+0	open	—	03-19 22:20
sol updown 5m 1772734800	3	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	03-05 18:24
xrp updown 5m 1772734500	4	$22	29	0	+29	open	—	03-05 18:18
xrp updown 5m 1773413700	3	$22	28	0	+28	open	—	03-13 14:57
btc updown 5m 1773178200	6	$22	33	0	+33	open	—	03-10 21:33
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	02-09 20:52
btc updown 5m 1773009000	5	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	03-08 22:33
btc updown 15m 1773894600	6	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	03-19 04:41
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	06-09 08:30
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	02-01 07:59
xrp updown 5m 1771699200	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	02-21 18:44
xrp updown 5m 1771743000	2	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	02-22 06:55
sol updown 5m 1771751400	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	02-22 09:15
sol updown 5m 1771755300	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	02-22 10:20
btc updown 5m 1771728000	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	02-22 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 07:25:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xed1245…
06-17 07:23:14	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc7d7c2…
06-17 07:22:29	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd3e81d…
06-17 07:22:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xda9872…
06-17 07:21:40	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xd603fe…
06-17 07:19:08	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2a4f78…
06-17 07:18:53	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0a7f6d…
06-17 00:21:25	eth updown 5m 1781655600	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x56e4a1…
06-16 19:21:59	eth updown 5m 1781637600	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x038bca…
06-16 18:36:56	eth updown 5m 1781634900	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf35eba…
06-16 10:38:55	eth updown 5m 1781606100	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xcc3078…
06-16 10:38:54	eth updown 5m 1781606100	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x10dc1c…
06-16 05:52:24	eth updown 5m 1781589000	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3bf0e9…
06-16 02:53:04	eth updown 5m 1781578200	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4e8fb1…
06-16 01:21:22	eth updown 5m 1781572800	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x09b3b4…
06-15 12:21:19	eth updown 5m 1781526000	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9969d0…
06-15 11:36:55	eth updown 5m 1781523300	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcf44bb…
06-15 10:06:43	eth updown 5m 1781517900	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf5662b…
06-15 02:06:36	eth updown 5m 1781489100	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1dfd0d…
06-14 20:37:19	eth updown 5m 1781469300	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3ce45c…
06-14 18:36:49	eth updown 5m 1781462100	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x834cab…
06-14 18:36:48	eth updown 5m 1781462100	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x7f3b76…
06-14 03:37:33	eth updown 5m 1781408100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x16d99e…
06-13 20:53:43	eth updown 5m 1781383800	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfc733f…
06-13 19:07:45	eth updown 5m 1781377500	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5f5889…
06-13 13:51:21	eth updown 5m 1781358600	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6b7efb…
06-13 11:03:12	eth updown 5m 1781348400	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x345cc1…
06-13 11:03:12	eth updown 5m 1781348400	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0bfdcb…
06-13 05:52:52	eth updown 5m 1781329800	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x08c6eb…
06-13 05:52:45	eth updown 5m 1781329800	Down	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x262ae5…
06-12 19:53:00	eth updown 5m 1781293800	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0b213b…
06-12 06:38:34	eth updown 5m 1781246100	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x22f34c…
06-11 01:38:10	eth updown 5m 1781141700	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc6dc52…
06-10 23:21:12	eth updown 5m 1781133600	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8b288d…
06-10 18:52:09	eth updown 5m 1781117400	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4951d9…
06-10 11:06:55	btc updown 5m 1781089500	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x439a7b…
06-09 23:36:25	eth updown 5m 1781048100	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3494c1…
06-09 20:53:34	eth updown 5m 1781038200	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa437a2…
06-09 08:30:27	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xe7b8f2…
06-09 03:53:04	sol updown 5m 1780977000	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe3952a…
06-08 20:38:21	eth updown 5m 1780950900	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x27ef73…
06-08 17:21:58	eth updown 5m 1780939200	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa13409…
06-08 04:38:10	sol updown 5m 1780893300	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf1186e…
06-08 02:36:31	btc updown 5m 1780886100	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc93cef…
06-08 00:07:37	btc updown 5m 1780877100	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6f7880…
06-07 15:07:52	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa1dfbc…
06-07 12:22:09	eth updown 5m 1780834800	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x592449…
06-07 04:37:46	sol updown 5m 1780806900	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8a6a74…
06-06 08:36:48	sol updown 5m 1780734900	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf2092a…
06-06 08:36:46	sol updown 5m 1780734900	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x061f10…
06-06 03:21:22	btc updown 5m 1780716000	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xaca7e7…
06-05 03:06:21	btc updown 5m 1780628700	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8b00bf…
06-04 13:22:25	btc updown 5m 1780579200	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4292c2…
06-04 13:07:55	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xab3bfa…
06-04 10:51:58	eth updown 5m 1780570200	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x726454…
06-03 01:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6400e0…
06-01 09:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9c2f14…
05-30 18:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb8b4ad…
05-29 18:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x288cf5…
05-29 11:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x99a39a…
05-29 03:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc527db…
05-28 02:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0dc0…
05-28 01:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4d9c2b…
05-27 13:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x54085a…
05-27 07:22:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x158dec…
05-27 06:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe8a681…
05-26 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf65711…
05-26 17:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xac758e…
05-26 16:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x94a800…
05-25 10:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe59e33…
05-25 08:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x20b0e4…
05-25 06:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x39e395…
05-25 05:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x508f05…
05-25 03:22:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4cf2e9…
05-25 01:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf58ced…
05-24 20:21:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x979547…
05-24 20:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x92e91a…
05-24 08:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcba9c9…
05-24 08:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb2164c…
05-24 02:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x435ab8…
05-24 02:36:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf0baae…
05-23 20:06:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x944f7b…
05-23 11:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc14e93…
05-23 02:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xece088…
05-23 00:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaf1e2a…
05-22 13:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4a9987…
05-22 12:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc36cae…
05-22 10:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb63fba…
05-22 01:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x855c60…
05-21 23:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4042fa…
05-21 20:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x537abd…
05-21 20:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3295ce…
05-21 20:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd0f272…
05-21 17:22:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x67d45c…
05-21 17:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb03fa8…
05-21 13:51:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4e9569…
05-21 10:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x32c513…
05-21 07:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x948e6a…
05-21 06:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0c38e2…
05-21 06:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x3b7752…