Unrealistic-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

3,266

Trades

4,949

lifetime

Volume

$61.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$280

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$135	270	+270	Down	+$135	09-20 17:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 19:30 UTC	2	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-03 19:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:45 UTC	3	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-06 12:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:00 UTC	5	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-05 12:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	4	$115	221	+221	Up	+$106	01-07 15:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:15 UTC	2	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-02 16:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 01:30 UTC	3	$115	221	+221	Down	-$115	01-07 01:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 19:30 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-05 19:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 10:15 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-02 10:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 11:00 UTC	3	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-01 11:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 01:15 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-01 01:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 20:15 UTC	3	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-04 20:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:30 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-02 03:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 05:00 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	-$115	01-03 05:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 09:15 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-02 09:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:15 UTC	2	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-06 12:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:00 UTC	3	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-06 12:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 05:45 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Up	+$106	01-03 05:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 14:15 UTC	7	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-06 14:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:00 UTC	5	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-04 22:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 01:30 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-01 01:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 17:30 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-01 17:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 18:30 UTC	2	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-03 18:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 12:15 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-01 12:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 20:45 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-03 20:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 21:30 UTC	3	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-03 21:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 20:30 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	+$106	01-04 20:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:00 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	-$115	01-03 07:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 21:00 UTC	4	$115	221	+221	Up	-$115	01-04 21:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 06:15 UTC	1	$115	221	+221	Down	-$115	01-05 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 12:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6c9c62…
10-21 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdbfdaf…
10-21 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8ad6b1…
10-21 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x372a83…
10-21 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x66b629…
10-21 09:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-21 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x2e138a…
10-21 09:15:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-21 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xefd4f5…
10-21 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x50eef6…
10-21 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xefb55f…
10-21 08:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcf8835…
10-21 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x90f878…
10-21 07:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x905d2d…
10-21 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb61cd2…
10-21 07:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0x963b08…
10-21 07:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x375a59…
10-21 05:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xc3ce26…
10-21 05:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8d32fd…
10-21 05:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd24ffd…
10-21 00:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xebd896…
10-21 00:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6cfad4…
10-20 22:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd343ad…
10-20 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2df5ab…
10-20 22:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf899cb…
10-20 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9fc350…
10-20 21:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8f4c96…
10-20 21:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x7db801…
10-20 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3b0665…
10-20 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x5f3852…
10-20 12:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$11	0x66896e…
10-20 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$9	0xdcf606…
10-20 04:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x1180c2…
10-20 04:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7fe958…
10-20 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x051835…
10-20 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x7bb3e7…
10-20 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfee24d…
10-20 01:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc87243…
10-20 00:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x80398f…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4f8078…
10-19 21:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5f0e98…
10-19 21:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x24dcb9…
10-19 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2f91bf…
10-19 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3d9ec5…
10-19 04:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0xf8e038…
10-19 04:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6f78ee…
10-19 01:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9954d0…
10-19 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x1dffe1…
10-19 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf7e518…
10-19 01:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x395cdc…
10-19 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2c9e22…
10-19 00:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x99973d…
10-19 00:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5d5532…
10-19 00:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6cd4f0…
10-18 23:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x480c61…
10-18 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x5ad9aa…
10-18 23:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xd725bb…
10-18 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xfd02c9…
10-18 23:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x1d41f6…
10-18 23:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7bda6b…
10-18 22:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	37¢	$9	0x481843…
10-18 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xca57b2…
10-18 19:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x65060e…
10-18 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa1b546…
10-18 14:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	22¢	$9	0xe861dd…
10-18 14:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x640ec4…
10-18 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfcff95…
10-18 10:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa7457e…
10-18 09:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xd2063b…
10-18 09:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe680ba…
10-18 05:45:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0x599373…
10-18 05:45:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6626f4…
10-18 03:45:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	34¢	$9	0x620a6f…
10-18 03:45:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb34652…
10-18 03:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbc243a…
10-18 03:15:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x330e1d…
10-18 03:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xeaa7b6…
10-18 03:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	44¢	$10	0x8a6bfb…
10-18 01:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb1a878…
10-18 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf6287c…
10-17 21:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc336e7…
10-17 21:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9e2c6c…
10-17 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe1417c…
10-17 20:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x869f34…
10-17 20:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdff382…
10-17 20:30:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd8ac2f…
10-17 08:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xa28a71…
10-17 08:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x317819…
10-17 07:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x3e1254…
10-17 07:30:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1796ad…
10-17 07:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2996eb…
10-17 07:15:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd2af00…
10-17 07:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4bcc0a…
10-17 07:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x96ba32…
10-17 02:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x53d21d…
10-17 02:30:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x02adff…
10-16 22:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xcf1ad2…
10-16 22:30:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x94f1da…
10-16 17:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf79221…
10-16 17:15:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x06e31a…
10-15 16:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa28919…
10-15 16:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe719a1…