Haunting-Misreading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$326

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

324

Trades

719

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-09 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 68% +$131

Sports

37% 71% +$195

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
76ers vs. Knicks	4	$1.6K	1,510	1,510	+0	Knicks	+$59	05-07 01:29
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$1.4K	856	856	+0	Pistons	+$0	05-08 01:25
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	Ducks	+$38	05-07 04:20
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$1.1K	574	574	+0	Thunder	$-23	05-08 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$1.0K	721	721	+0	Down	+$308	05-07 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$938	719	719	+0	Down	+$199	05-07 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$913	743	743	+0	Down	+$180	05-08 02:26
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$766	399	399	+0	Thunder	+$32	05-06 02:55
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$673	370	370	+0	Pistons	+$52	05-06 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$495	528	514	+14	Up	+$89	05-06 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$443	425	425	+0	Down	+$83	05-09 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$391	349	349	+0	Up	+$35	05-07 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$384	358	358	+0	Down	+$26	05-07 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$252	317	317	+0	Down	+$52	05-07 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$237	232	222	+10	Up	+$22	05-06 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$222	277	277	+0	Up	+$22	05-09 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$219	238	238	+0	Down	+$19	05-06 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$200	403	0	+403	Up	$-200	05-07 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$200	416	0	+416	Up	$-200	05-08 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$186	175	175	+0	Down	+$11	05-09 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	11	$175	456	0	+456	Up	$-175	05-09 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	16	$158	200	200	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	17	$143	300	0	+300	Down	$-143	05-09 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	11	$139	280	0	+280	Up	$-139	05-09 14:10
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$124	150	150	+0	Timberwolves	+$38	05-05 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$108	127	0	+127	Down	+$7	05-06 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$104	115	0	+115	open	—	05-04 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$100	301	0	+301	Down	$-100	05-08 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$83	100	100	+0	Down	$-21	05-09 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$68	136	0	+136	Up	+$68	05-05 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 14:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	175	56¢	$98	0x0afa0b…
05-09 14:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	175	50¢	$88	0x2ed751…
05-09 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7355d5…
05-09 14:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x59fd45…
05-09 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7bd88d…
05-09 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3249c…
05-09 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xae9193…
05-09 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ff3e4…
05-09 14:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ae109…
05-09 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xafe28f…
05-09 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6f8371…
05-09 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d0c1d…
05-09 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf38c4f…
05-09 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	146	49¢	$72	0x21c953…
05-09 14:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd5eab…
05-09 14:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x8010b9…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdfe265…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd2a759…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xbb8cb4…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x76da81…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x44cfad…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x290a67…
05-09 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x28b90c…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xeff22b…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe7abab…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xd8e9cf…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa0cd38…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0x4268e6…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3d681d…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1c088f…
05-09 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x030583…
05-09 13:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc9d5ed…
05-09 13:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xce00e1…
05-09 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xf6f532…
05-09 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd0a47a…
05-09 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc6f13a…
05-09 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7fae8b…
05-09 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x43213c…
05-09 13:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x36c6ba…
05-09 13:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf9ea61…
05-09 13:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x36ad64…
05-09 13:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x241a4f…
05-09 13:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	38¢	$26	0x165f16…
05-09 13:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x522535…
05-09 13:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	277	44¢	$122	0x5a773b…
05-09 13:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x9b65b2…
05-09 13:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x188389…
05-09 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x764808…
05-09 13:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc94ae6…
05-09 13:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4348b2…
05-09 13:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc81f81…
05-09 13:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6c9159…
05-09 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x0eb50c…
05-09 11:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x4d1dda…
05-09 04:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	139	67¢	$93	0x45de47…
05-09 04:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	286	59¢	$170	0xfb09f8…
05-09 04:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xc6588a…
05-09 04:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x213f63…
05-09 04:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0xf9ec9a…
05-09 04:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	133	24¢	$32	0x7caebb…
05-09 04:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xfdda3e…
05-08 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xfd98e1…
05-08 19:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x3ebd36…
05-08 18:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x828755…
05-08 17:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	71¢	$15	0x1669ee…
05-08 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$19	0x01646e…
05-08 16:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xc5ec2b…
05-08 16:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xc22f73…
05-08 15:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xd0136d…
05-08 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xcb476a…
05-08 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x9f0c7e…
05-08 13:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	72¢	$18	0x1a6b37…
05-08 12:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0x65ca0a…
05-08 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x7e06ad…
05-08 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xe62657…
05-08 10:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x38b811…
05-08 07:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x6bb735…
05-08 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xb671e7…
05-08 06:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x621f80…
05-08 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x1bb5e6…
05-08 05:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xfef64a…
05-08 04:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x5c3dcb…
05-08 04:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x191b5e…
05-08 04:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x8dd626…
05-08 04:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0x08f950…
05-08 04:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x333c34…
05-08 03:52:36	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	574	90¢	$516	0x74c9af…
05-08 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x1e1b8c…
05-08 03:30:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	574	94¢	$539	0xee8203…
05-08 03:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xfa55e7…
05-08 03:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xaefce1…
05-08 02:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0x62338b…
05-08 02:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	68¢	$17	0xdf0f40…
05-08 02:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	743	74¢	$547	0xef6e03…
05-08 02:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	743	49¢	$367	0x653483…
05-08 02:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	416	48¢	$200	0xb66171…
05-08 02:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x1a33f2…
05-08 01:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0xc69ade…
05-08 01:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x427c3e…
05-08 01:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x55a41e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	589	$200.8K	33,430	05-09 14:23
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	589	$177.9K	29,975	05-09 14:23
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	588	$195.0K	56,853	05-09 14:23
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	588	$176.6K	51,624	05-09 14:23
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	586	$524.4K	22,134	05-09 14:26
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	586	$44.1K	12,192	05-09 14:23
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	584	$178.5K	6,902	05-09 14:23
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	581	$145.0K	12,775	05-09 14:22