Costly-Employer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

15 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$178

$178 lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-14 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

68% 100% +$10

Other

18% — —

Crypto

14% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (3)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No		-9	$-4	100¢	$-9	$-5	05-14 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	6	$81	69	78	-9	open	—	05-14 21:39
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	2	$40	26	26	+0	Texas Rangers	+$10	05-14 03:07
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$31	15	41	-26	open	—	05-14 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$11	0	15	-15	open	—	05-14 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Down	$-2	05-14 03:16
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-14 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:39:17	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xfcfca5…
05-14 21:31:57	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x23cb38…
05-14 21:23:46	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfefc3a…
05-14 21:23:37	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x93c265…
05-14 21:17:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5587b0…
05-14 21:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x5c6824…
05-14 19:59:14	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xb268f0…
05-14 19:57:15	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x808ecf…
05-14 03:36:59	LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	SELL	41	56¢	$23	0xc55beb…
05-14 03:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd7eb30…
05-14 03:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0421ec…
05-14 03:07:18	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xc53523…
05-14 02:50:30	LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x06ff77…
05-14 02:46:58	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x4a9f75…
05-14 02:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4962e1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	3	$1.14K	13	05-14 21:09
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	3	$675	28	05-14 21:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	3	$522	45	05-14 21:09