Flippant-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

488

Trades

919

lifetime

Volume

$7.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-06 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 57% -$21

Politics

8% 63% -$52

Other

5% 52% -$8

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say million or billion or trillion 27 times during kentucky visit	5	$142	163	81	+83	Yes	-$88	03-11 21:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 21:30 UTC	3	$122	74	73	+1	Down	+$23	02-14 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:55 UTC	3	$114	76	75	+1	Down	+$35	02-14 01:00
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	10	$111	76	76	+0	Down	+$41	11-04 18:19
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$104	55	55	+0	Yes	+$4	03-11 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:40 UTC	3	$98	60	59	+1	Up	+$19	02-14 12:45
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	7	$96	62	62	+0	Down	+$26	11-04 18:29
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$91	56	56	+0	Down	+$21	11-04 18:37
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$90	56	56	+0	Down	+$20	11-04 19:23
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$86	64	64	+0	Down	+$16	11-04 18:09
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$85	56	56	+0	Up	+$25	11-04 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:30 UTC	3	$77	48	47	+1	Down	+$17	02-14 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 09:45 UTC	3	$75	46	45	+1	Down	+$15	02-14 09:50
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	8	$69	45	45	+0	Up	+$19	11-04 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:25 UTC	4	$69	51	51	+1	Down	+$32	02-14 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:00 UTC	2	$66	48	47	+1	Up	+$27	02-14 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:50 UTC	2	$66	47	47	+1	Down	+$27	02-14 12:55
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$62	38	38	+0	Down	+$12	11-04 17:59
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 09:00 UTC	2	$59	40	40	+0	Up	+$15	02-16 12:29
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$59	39	39	+0	Down	+$19	11-04 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:35 UTC	2	$58	39	39	+1	Down	+$19	02-14 13:40
will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during ohio visit	5	$57	35	35	+0	No	+$4	03-11 19:03
will trump say hormuz during cabinet meeting on march 26	2	$57	50	50	+0	Yes	+$17	03-26 14:48
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 12:45 UTC	2	$57	38	37	+1	Down	+$17	02-14 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 11:30 UTC	2	$55	37	36	+1	Down	+$17	02-14 11:35
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	7	$55	36	36	+0	Up	+$15	11-04 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 11:35 UTC	2	$53	34	34	+1	Down	+$14	02-14 11:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 12:15 UTC	2	$53	33	33	+0	Down	+$13	02-14 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 09:45 UTC	2	$53	33	33	+0	Down	+$13	02-14 10:00
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$50	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	11-04 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:29:49	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbf5043…
11-06 13:29:49	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa36264…
11-06 13:24:51	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xe2cd31…
11-06 13:24:51	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd1a7ad…
11-06 13:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ec5d8…
11-06 13:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x369561…
11-06 13:19:21	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf5cc3e…
11-06 13:19:21	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe1836a…
11-06 13:14:15	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf7bd19…
11-04 19:29:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf3c024…
11-04 19:29:21	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5daef6…
11-04 19:29:21	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x500f32…
11-04 19:25:54	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x18ede6…
11-04 19:24:36	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x3ec14d…
11-04 19:23:39	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x13c51a…
11-04 19:19:43	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xdc4720…
11-04 19:19:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc3fc62…
11-04 19:19:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9b5ff9…
11-04 19:19:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x836c52…
11-04 19:19:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x65b9f2…
11-04 19:19:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x13711c…
11-04 19:15:06	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0685af…
11-04 19:15:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x773876…
11-04 19:15:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x3384a3…
11-04 19:14:36	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xeda7e3…
11-04 19:14:36	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93ad84…
11-04 19:14:34	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfd6c33…
11-04 19:14:34	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc3e5a2…
11-04 19:14:34	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6cd1cf…
11-04 19:09:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc9f5a0…
11-04 19:09:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8fa6f3…
11-04 18:59:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xebf886…
11-04 18:59:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x607c8d…
11-04 18:59:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5a3139…
11-04 18:53:48	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x4f41e2…
11-04 18:48:30	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x363e5e…
11-04 18:48:28	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x964c4b…
11-04 18:44:36	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x5a7c59…
11-04 18:37:40	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x5887bd…
11-04 18:35:16	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0xaab0a1…
11-04 18:29:54	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x94dfdc…
11-04 18:29:52	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xda9fa3…
11-04 18:29:16	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7fe168…
11-04 18:29:16	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6da73c…
11-04 18:29:16	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x68e34e…
11-04 18:29:16	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x5f0c12…
11-04 18:29:16	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4b2a08…
11-04 18:24:46	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbb8663…
11-04 18:24:45	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x44ae91…
11-04 18:19:24	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xefa73b…
11-04 18:19:24	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe00dbe…
11-04 18:19:24	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc2c29c…
11-04 18:19:24	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b13e9…
11-04 18:19:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee6f3d…
11-04 18:19:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xddaec5…
11-04 18:19:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd304e1…
11-04 18:19:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62cc96…
11-04 18:15:21	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd21154…
11-04 18:15:13	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x359602…
11-04 18:12:25	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd496c8…
11-04 18:09:52	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x034645…
11-04 18:09:51	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x35545a…
11-04 18:09:51	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x1131e4…
11-04 18:08:57	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x6c043a…
11-04 18:08:54	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x676902…
11-04 18:08:43	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xe98d5e…
11-04 18:08:43	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x2a1703…
11-04 18:04:31	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x95475e…
11-04 18:04:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x4b5c08…
11-04 18:01:52	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x061361…
11-04 17:59:37	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x918d15…
11-04 17:59:28	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x31cfb0…
11-04 17:59:01	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd2265e…
11-04 17:59:01	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x43585f…
11-04 17:59:01	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x288437…
11-04 17:59:01	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0adb80…
11-04 17:59:00	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x92dfb0…
11-04 17:59:00	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x179959…
11-04 17:58:58	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0f43d7…
11-04 17:55:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x19d01f…
11-04 17:54:54	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb4046d…
11-04 17:50:46	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x5e418b…
11-04 17:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3374fb…
11-04 17:46:57	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xfb9efb…
11-04 17:46:57	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xd2340b…
11-04 17:45:22	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x9fafb0…
11-04 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x7b1df5…
11-04 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x63a262…
11-04 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x84c078…
11-04 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x47f3e4…
11-04 17:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xeb7d69…
11-04 17:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x775edd…
11-04 17:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5b6d14…
08-08 14:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8fbf9d…
07-29 10:31:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xaee965…
07-29 10:27:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x630186…
07-29 10:18:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9113b3…
07-29 10:18:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x260657…
07-29 10:16:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb03b2f…
07-29 09:58:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xc6dc83…