Satisfied-Allocation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-25 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 79% +$3

Other

47% 75% +$46

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	2	$125	65	65	+0	Just Players	+$5	05-18 10:50
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	3	$117	68	68	+0	T1 Academy	+$19	05-14 08:49
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	3	$115	60	60	+0	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	+$5	05-18 10:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$101	55	55	+0	No	+$9	05-18 09:03
Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	2	$101	51	51	+0	Nova Esports	+$1	05-23 15:14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$85	45	45	+0	Dplus KIA	+$5	05-23 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	14	$78	69	69	+0	Down	-$2	05-19 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	15	$76	48	41	+7	Down	-$4	05-20 15:59
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	2	$76	42	42	+0	DOCISK	+$8	05-19 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	12	$72	63	43	+20	Down	+$2	05-20 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	8	$71	56	24	+32	Down	+$3	05-21 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	11	$70	37	37	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 16:17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	4	$66	37	36	+0	Yes	+$6	05-23 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$66	44	44	+0	Up	+$6	05-19 23:03
LoL: SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	3	$64	33	33	+0	SU Esports	+$2	05-19 18:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$64	42	42	+0	Yes	+$21	05-11 16:11
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	5	$64	42	38	+4	NAVI Junior	-$2	05-19 21:11
Valorant: MIR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group C	4	$64	35	35	+0	WIP Esports	$0	05-19 18:08
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$62	123	123	+0	T1	+$2	05-20 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	7	$58	35	28	+7	Down	+$4	05-23 12:55
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$57	90	0	+90	No	-$57	06-25 13:21
Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs	2	$55	30	30	+0	REBORN	+$5	05-14 19:04
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$55	28	28	+0	PlayTime	+$1	05-21 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	10	$53	62	10	+52	Down	+$5	05-19 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$53	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	05-18 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	13	$52	52	11	+41	Up	-$34	05-23 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	10	$51	48	28	+20	Down	+$2	05-20 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	10	$51	40	18	+22	Up	-$4	05-21 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$46	38	23	+15	Down	+$1	05-19 23:54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$45	25	25	+0	G2 Esports	+$5	05-14 17:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 13:21:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	90	63¢	$57	0xa691b6…
05-24 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e7f16…
05-24 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x02c79b…
05-24 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x37f3f8…
05-24 19:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8502dc…
05-24 14:21:29	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3d5486…
05-24 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf678b0…
05-24 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3fbb20…
05-24 09:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xaf3373…
05-24 09:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x612535…
05-23 21:36:10	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x10d9e2…
05-23 21:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd791af…
05-23 21:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f44d7…
05-23 21:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x09b25d…
05-23 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x434c7e…
05-23 21:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1d3cb1…
05-23 21:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2bb2e4…
05-23 21:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8e64ed…
05-23 21:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x8204f8…
05-23 21:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x640312…
05-23 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x528927…
05-23 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4f9f09…
05-23 21:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0xa34deb…
05-23 21:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0afb43…
05-23 21:30:02	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x720c4c…
05-23 21:21:52	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x456381…
05-23 21:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed4f4c…
05-23 21:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6e8738…
05-23 21:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e40d3…
05-23 21:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcd9649…
05-23 21:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x579e2a…
05-23 21:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b470c…
05-23 21:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ca03e…
05-23 21:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6385d…
05-23 21:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73c307…
05-23 21:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x665cea…
05-23 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa8d60f…
05-23 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5d1c3d…
05-23 20:59:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa73197…
05-23 20:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x75fa39…
05-23 20:57:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x3df422…
05-23 19:42:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf9f561…
05-23 19:31:04	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x107926…
05-23 19:25:14	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x2652bf…
05-23 15:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x39df46…
05-23 15:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x8d6c92…
05-23 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5db354…
05-23 15:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x089b5c…
05-23 15:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8a926…
05-23 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x48f795…
05-23 15:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9d0595…
05-23 15:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x43b619…
05-23 15:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x53148d…
05-23 15:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x70830c…
05-23 15:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2849b6…
05-23 15:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0aa7e9…
05-23 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x624abb…
05-23 15:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa3454…
05-23 15:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1ba45a…
05-23 15:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x86ecae…
05-23 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x680c10…
05-23 15:14:13	Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	Nova Esports	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x4e1a72…
05-23 14:30:09	Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	Nova Esports	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa81095…
05-23 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x580fbd…
05-23 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3940d5…
05-23 13:48:09	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x9282ab…
05-23 13:48:06	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8d44d3…
05-23 12:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb6c96…
05-23 12:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x672723…
05-23 12:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b9cef…
05-23 12:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb5c8b…
05-23 12:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0abbf…
05-23 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x4c9467…
05-23 12:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x55ed76…
05-23 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x297e0c…
05-23 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x32cdc8…
05-23 12:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0741c…
05-23 12:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x956c04…
05-23 12:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4b431e…
05-23 12:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf5e7c…
05-23 12:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6de01…
05-23 12:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb293ed…
05-23 12:49:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41f6c4…
05-23 12:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86ce43…
05-23 12:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x672825…
05-23 12:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a4119…
05-23 12:40:24	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Gen.G Esports	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdecd12…
05-23 12:36:45	LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x8f986d…
05-23 09:05:49	LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x106058…
05-23 08:42:40	LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x2c7f98…
05-21 14:20:54	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HAVU (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A	KOLESIE	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x33824b…
05-21 14:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0118ba…
05-21 14:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x4f6b68…
05-21 14:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xae6f4d…
05-21 14:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x37c828…
05-21 14:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fd784…
05-21 14:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe4e051…
05-21 14:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3829f4…
05-21 14:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xef8e25…
05-21 14:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x46cd4c…