Ill-Informed-Hit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

1,255

Trades

1,468

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 08-29 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 85% -$32

Other

19% 65% -$82

Sports

6% 48% +$31

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:00 UTC	4	$40	45	0	+45	Down	+$5	03-24 16:04
ethereum above 2100 on april 7	2	$34	32	30	+2	No	+$21	04-07 14:12
white house of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 180 199	4	$28	17	17	+0	No	-$1	04-07 13:17
highest temperature in warsaw on april 7 2026 10c	4	$27	24	21	+2	Yes	$0	04-07 12:47
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	4	$25	33	33	+0	Down	-$1	04-07 09:51
mex gua pum 2026 04 05 draw	2	$23	19	19	+0	Yes	+$13	04-06 04:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 19:15 UTC	2	$22	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	03-29 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:45 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 14:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 15:05
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:40 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 15:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:50 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 15:55
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-20 16:00
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-20 16:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:40 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:35 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-20 14:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:25 UTC	1	$20	606	0	+606	Up	-$20	03-26 02:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:10 UTC	1	$20	259	0	+259	Down	-$20	03-26 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 00:45 UTC	1	$20	6,290	0	+6,290	Down	-$20	03-26 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:45 UTC	1	$20	37	0	+37	Down	+$17	03-26 01:49
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:25 UTC	1	$20	43	0	+43	Up	-$20	03-26 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:55 UTC	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	03-25 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:00 UTC	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	+$19	03-26 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 09:15 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	03-25 09:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:25 UTC	1	$20	299	0	+299	Up	-$20	03-26 02:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:10 UTC	1	$20	181	0	+181	Up	-$20	03-26 01:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 00:45 UTC	1	$20	333	0	+333	Down	-$20	03-26 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:45 UTC	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	03-25 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:35 UTC	1	$20	41	0	+41	Down	+$21	03-25 04:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:25 UTC	1	$20	347	0	+347	Up	-$20	03-26 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:25 UTC	1	$20	49	0	+49	Up	-$20	03-24 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 05:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8d154e…
08-28 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3c5075…
08-28 07:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xb10b4e…
08-28 07:08:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xce28e4…
08-28 06:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xaee613…
08-28 03:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xf2fb5b…
08-28 03:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1549a9…
08-28 03:14:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5167fa…
08-27 17:57:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x8cee31…
08-27 17:57:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x8e1e11…
08-27 16:22:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 28?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbb658d…
08-27 15:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8049f3…
08-27 06:22:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 27?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xced825…
08-27 06:22:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 27?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x938f93…
08-27 05:04:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 28?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x7761a5…
08-27 01:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xcb091e…
08-27 00:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc43d79…
08-26 23:26:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xc27da3…
08-26 23:21:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x01a347…
08-26 22:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 27?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2155b1…
08-26 21:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xedc341…
08-26 21:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0a4add…
08-26 16:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x569cff…
08-26 15:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x9ab8c4…
08-26 10:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x57a23e…
08-26 10:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb5303f…
08-26 00:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xf52317…
08-26 00:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x29ed09…
08-26 00:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xf56dff…
08-25 23:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9bf161…
08-25 22:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 26?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb0dc65…
08-25 22:32:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfda1e3…
08-25 22:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x3c4f58…
08-25 22:32:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe19f00…
08-25 20:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x8e01a9…
08-25 19:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x168a3b…
08-25 19:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x9e4595…
08-25 19:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x65c563…
08-25 07:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x5995a3…
08-25 07:16:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb14f7b…
08-25 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x028e7e…
08-25 07:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x13773e…
08-25 06:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x582266…
08-25 04:30:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xfe26fc…
08-25 01:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x666bbb…
08-25 00:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0ba304…
08-25 00:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd4cc7e…
08-25 00:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xab2b5c…
08-24 23:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x318dad…
08-24 14:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe92e21…
08-24 13:48:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1a3fa2…
08-24 10:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb94d19…
08-24 05:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7f18bd…
08-24 05:09:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc1c6fb…
08-24 04:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x94fe06…
08-24 04:12:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x086aad…
08-24 03:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x8a820b…
08-24 00:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x71d25c…
08-23 23:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xce1953…
08-23 23:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 24?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x282eed…
08-23 23:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 24?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x5c2446…
08-23 23:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xe07fe4…
08-23 20:30:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 24?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xce196f…
08-23 20:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7d0b2a…
08-23 16:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xa50680…
08-23 09:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7d4873…
08-23 08:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x35f9bd…
08-23 07:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc38a6d…
08-23 07:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x879387…
08-23 05:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 23?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4eda27…
08-23 05:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7eb4fa…
08-22 23:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xe61386…
08-22 23:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 23?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xbef005…
08-22 22:33:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1f6cfc…
08-22 22:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 23?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x75bace…
08-22 18:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xdfeb08…
08-22 18:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf68e15…
08-22 18:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc0aea1…
08-22 07:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0a8d0c…
08-22 06:34:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe22dcd…
08-22 05:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5e0405…
08-22 05:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb3a260…
08-22 03:56:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x604492…
08-22 03:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xc4d837…
08-22 01:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe73bf3…
08-22 01:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0bc5b5…
08-22 00:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1fdb5c…
08-22 00:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd1a1fc…
08-22 00:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x469287…
08-21 23:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x0e3ded…
08-21 23:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xceab97…
08-21 22:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 22?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb9fc11…
08-21 21:02:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb23a7d…
08-21 20:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x68d587…
08-21 17:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x957eb6…
08-21 17:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb21970…
08-21 14:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1a43c5…
06-13 12:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x8e0678…
06-13 12:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xa038a5…
06-13 02:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xaf1782…