Dependable-Lung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$558

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-13 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

50% 80% -$9

Crypto

50% 50% -$37

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$17.9K	8,952	8,952	+0	No	-$9	05-20 08:45
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$17.8K	8,920	8,920	+0	No	-$9	05-20 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	27	$19	2,700	0	+2,700	Up	-$19	05-20 12:56
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	02-19 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	15	$10	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	-$10	05-20 08:55
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-14 05:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	04-30 01:20
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-16 02:12
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	01-14 05:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	02-19 23:20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-11 05:23
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-20 23:58
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-16 02:13
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	01-14 05:21
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 936	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-19 23:20
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-16 02:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-31 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-30 01:21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-13 00:15
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-11 05:22
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-11 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 00:15:40	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x09a1e5…
07-31 00:09:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb31c06…
06-11 05:23:43	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2c5a3…
06-11 05:23:01	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4cd625…
06-11 05:22:48	Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x88a75b…
05-20 23:58:09	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9f1f0a…
05-20 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	495	0¢	$0	0xb329c9…
05-20 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1cb3c1…
05-20 12:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x6cfafe…
05-20 12:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbcf8f7…
05-20 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x76bf98…
05-20 12:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x428851…
05-20 12:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x295eba…
05-20 12:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0x23a3bd…
05-20 12:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc391e8…
05-20 12:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x0c36f6…
05-20 12:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xfc00a2…
05-20 12:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0xc4a4a3…
05-20 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3d457e…
05-20 12:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe91c5…
05-20 12:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xbca337…
05-20 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x976253…
05-20 12:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x965a68…
05-20 12:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x01af23…
05-20 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xb66385…
05-20 12:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x8fb988…
05-20 12:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x9c87fd…
05-20 12:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5b3206…
05-20 12:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4bd6f7…
05-20 12:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x49edbf…
05-20 12:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd211d0…
05-20 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1f9a98…
05-20 12:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e02d6…
05-20 08:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x32789f…
05-20 08:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x439a8e…
05-20 08:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x55c038…
05-20 08:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	170	0¢	$1	0xb9a97c…
05-20 08:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc8892c…
05-20 08:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1bbd37…
05-20 08:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x11fde0…
05-20 08:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x22c659…
05-20 08:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0xfe37be…
05-20 08:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4f8600…
05-20 08:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xbca053…
05-20 08:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4c5822…
05-20 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x95185d…
05-20 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x83aebf…
05-20 08:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xb77f9a…
05-20 08:45:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8,952	100¢	$8,925	0xa79ac8…
05-20 06:58:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,950	100¢	$8,932	0x264404…
05-20 06:57:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	8,920	100¢	$8,893	0xb59448…
05-20 04:05:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	8,920	100¢	$8,902	0xcea13e…
04-30 01:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4b722…
04-30 01:21:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc301e…
04-30 01:20:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8486ca…
03-16 02:13:17	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5e790…
03-16 02:13:05	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xefe5df…
03-16 02:12:53	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0c2308…
02-19 23:20:58	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 936	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f2798…
02-19 23:20:36	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xf76e38…
02-19 23:20:24	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x310a77…
01-14 05:21:18	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb0fb60…
01-14 05:20:52	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa42283…
01-14 05:20:34	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x708769…