Distant-Organization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 67% +$1

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	+5	$3	80¢	$4	+$1	05-05 19:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	05-05 19:12
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-05 17:42
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-05 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:26:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbc1b34…
05-05 19:18:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x145834…
05-05 19:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd45234…
05-05 17:42:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x23eeff…
05-05 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x0fc92e…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3a0d35…
05-05 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf65e89…
05-05 07:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0eb4fe…
05-05 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1f8a7e…
05-05 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa2024e…
05-05 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc8bb75…
05-04 21:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6ea248…
05-04 20:04:18	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xeb9e48…
05-04 20:02:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd3db05…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.55K	35	05-05 18:52
Exotic-Scholar 0x63ad…c072	6	$1.76K	54	05-05 08:11
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$944	22	05-05 15:22
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$564	11	05-05 08:11
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	5	$544	8	05-05 19:26
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	5	$517	14	05-05 19:34
Profitable-Disengagement 0x2528…b041	4	$1.51K	8	05-05 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-05 19:18
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 00:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-05 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$0	0	-0	open	—	05-05 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	1	$0	0	-0	Up	$-0	05-04 21:24