Major-Barge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$701

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-02 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

53% 60% +$25

Other

36% 100% +$30

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes		-188	$-24	12¢	$-23	+$1	07-02 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp bublik minaur 2026 01 25	2	$90	56	56	+0	open	—	01-25 10:34
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	04-30 22:53
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-18 21:21
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	1	$35	131	0	+131	open	—	01-31 22:14
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	1	$35	0	100	-100	open	—	01-25 08:13
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$30	55	0	+55	Cavaliers	+$25	05-09 18:53
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	05-03 19:31
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	04-30 22:53
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$30	73	0	+73	open	—	05-30 16:05
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	05-03 08:10
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	04-30 22:54
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	05-31 01:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$24	0	188	-188	open	—	07-02 22:01
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5	1	$20	40	0	+40	Over	$-20	05-10 21:43
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-30 22:47
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5	1	$20	39	0	+39	Over	+$19	05-10 18:04
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5	1	$20	39	0	+39	Over	$-20	05-09 18:57
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	1	$20	50	0	+50	Under	+$30	05-06 18:59
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5	1	$20	41	0	+41	Over	+$21	05-09 20:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	1	$15	188	0	+188	open	—	06-12 05:06
lal elc bar 2026 01 31 draw	1	$10	63	0	+63	open	—	01-31 20:03
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 draw	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	01-28 20:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	06-12 05:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$5	111	0	+111	open	—	06-12 05:07
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	1	$5	185	0	+185	open	—	06-12 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-30 18:07
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	06-12 05:06
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	1	$5	96	0	+96	open	—	06-12 05:06
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	1	$5	417	0	+417	open	—	06-12 05:05
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	1	$5	221	0	+221	open	—	06-12 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 22:01:50	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	188	13¢	$24	0x6f8f8a…
06-12 05:07:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xb9aebf…
06-12 05:07:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0xc2dbf6…
06-12 05:07:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0xdc5c4a…
06-12 05:07:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x68166c…
06-12 05:07:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xd517c2…
06-12 05:06:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x48853e…
06-12 05:06:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x265f5d…
06-12 05:06:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x65f9a8…
06-12 05:06:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x1418c5…
06-12 05:06:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xe7797f…
06-12 05:06:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0xde3626…
06-12 05:05:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	Yes	BUY	221	2¢	$5	0x9cfec2…
06-12 05:05:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x6cd9c3…
05-31 01:19:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8204c0…
05-31 01:18:52	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x6c466a…
05-30 22:47:47	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8bd932…
05-30 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfd1819…
05-30 16:05:01	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xdbe421…
05-18 21:21:21	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5	Over	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x485645…
05-10 21:43:00	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe6e9fd…
05-10 18:04:22	Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0de511…
05-09 20:43:22	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa33d9d…
05-09 18:57:44	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5cb2a6…
05-09 18:53:49	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x0a52d3…
05-06 18:59:46	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x53f31b…
05-03 19:31:02	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Under	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xddc325…
05-03 08:10:18	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Magic	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb18be4…
04-30 22:54:48	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Celtics	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xcdf9cc…
04-30 22:53:44	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xb93ba9…
04-30 22:53:28	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x227309…
01-31 22:14:34	will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	Yes	BUY	131	27¢	$35	0xdded3c…
01-31 20:03:46	lal elc bar 2026 01 31 draw	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x737b2d…
01-28 20:54:06	ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 draw	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6c8e33…
01-25 10:34:12	atp bublik minaur 2026 01 25	Minaur	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x5eaac5…
01-25 08:14:00	atp bublik minaur 2026 01 25	Minaur	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xe384b3…
01-25 08:13:22	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x487b90…