Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

254

Trades

1,046

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-08 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 51% -$99

Other

27% 51% -$1,977

Politics

16% 27% -$358

Sports

5% 45% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+55	$5	9¢	$5	+$0	09-06 04:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+34	$8	12¢	$4	-$4	10-08 15:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+81	$3	4¢	$3	$0	09-06 04:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	26	$1.6K	1,549	846	+703	Yes	-$306	02-12 13:56
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	42	$1.5K	1,457	1,457	+0	Yes	-$177	02-13 04:07
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	34	$1.3K	1,482	434	+1,048	No	-$1,105	02-12 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:35 UTC	6	$706	995	117	+878	Down	-$668	02-15 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:20 UTC	4	$692	923	99	+825	Up	+$195	02-15 06:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$519	266	266	+0	Yes	+$12	03-01 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:10 UTC	4	$508	726	0	+726	Down	+$218	02-15 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	15	$487	370	366	+5	Up	+$30	03-07 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:50 UTC	9	$478	533	225	+308	Down	-$42	02-15 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:30 UTC	3	$341	395	175	+221	Up	-$41	02-15 06:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:40 UTC	5	$338	435	306	+128	Down	-$96	02-15 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:30 UTC	5	$330	337	23	+314	Up	-$1	02-15 05:34
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$326	15,728	15,728	+0	Yes	-$258	02-03 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:55 UTC	2	$320	410	0	+410	Down	+$90	02-15 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:05 UTC	4	$307	453	0	+453	Up	+$146	02-15 06:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:25 UTC	9	$293	426	38	+388	Down	+$128	02-15 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:35 UTC	4	$283	321	0	+321	Down	+$38	02-15 05:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	7	$251	204	203	+1	Up	-$73	03-07 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	4	$248	137	136	+0	Down	+$2	03-07 08:04
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	6	$230	155	155	+0	Yes	+$10	03-26 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC	6	$220	233	14	+219	Up	+$3	03-07 07:34
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 13	5	$211	541	481	+60	Yes	-$207	02-14 02:12
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$200	103	103	+0	No	+$0	02-03 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	4	$184	354	0	+354	Up	-$184	02-15 07:04
cs2 fal2 mouz 2026 02 03	6	$174	179	179	+0	MOUZ	-$28	02-03 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:45 UTC	5	$163	225	148	+78	Down	-$79	02-15 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:20 UTC	4	$163	220	0	+220	Down	+$57	02-15 05:22
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	5	$145	101	101	+0	No	+$25	02-10 04:52
nhl wpg dal 2026 02 02	3	$140	90	90	+0	Stars	+$40	02-03 04:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC	3	$137	136	13	+123	Up	+$5	03-07 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 15:05:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x97bca2…
09-06 04:20:21	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x939c45…
09-06 04:20:07	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xa7955a…
09-06 04:19:01	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8b78fe…
08-23 05:28:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x36a016…
08-23 05:22:24	Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc2a4d7…
08-23 05:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2808f2…
08-23 05:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe60e67…
08-23 05:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4a031b…
08-23 05:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x731e25…
08-23 05:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5578c6…
08-23 05:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf66d8c…
08-23 05:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5646bf…
08-23 05:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x555b0e…
08-23 05:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8da049…
08-23 05:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x8fa4b0…
08-23 05:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x10f73e…
08-23 05:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x29b59b…
08-23 05:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf0ffe1…
08-23 05:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xb20f65…
08-23 05:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4ff2f0…
07-12 19:58:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xcda099…
07-12 19:54:22	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xcc5486…
07-06 20:08:10	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x2d0554…
07-06 18:29:55	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb0f9a9…
04-30 17:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa2358d…
04-30 17:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x447f8b…
04-30 17:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4e952c…
04-13 04:43:57	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$11	0xb170d7…
04-13 03:23:23	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x562917…
04-13 03:09:25	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x7331e7…
04-13 03:05:13	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x236cbe…
04-13 02:42:13	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	84	18¢	$15	0x18000f…
04-13 02:37:37	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc993b5…
04-13 02:34:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8b9435…
04-13 02:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xd8e7f3…
04-13 02:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x62be3e…
04-13 02:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x628e26…
04-13 02:30:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc0ef8f…
04-13 02:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc746d6…
04-13 02:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x343b5f…
04-13 02:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x3c7df0…
04-13 02:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9d3dde…
04-13 02:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x3ac0f1…
04-13 02:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcd3f72…
03-31 00:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9563ce…
03-31 00:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbd77c2…
03-30 22:40:59	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xd4eeb3…
03-30 22:40:53	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x9ccc58…
03-27 03:07:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7e80a7…
03-27 03:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb1ed81…
03-27 03:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdb7157…
03-27 03:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbaf3b6…
03-27 03:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xddcf15…
03-27 03:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xd1f85b…
03-27 03:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb9eff8…
03-27 02:55:43	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xd9fce4…
03-26 15:41:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x1b7280…
03-26 15:39:21	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x5baca6…
03-25 23:52:33	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xfb3f05…
03-25 23:51:57	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	128	73¢	$93	0x7d5f67…
03-25 23:25:01	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x1fc567…
03-25 22:54:53	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x425a1d…
03-25 20:10:11	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x975763…
03-15 04:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xef44c9…
03-15 04:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2ecd49…
03-15 04:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x357b58…
03-15 04:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa8c241…
03-13 03:19:57	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xf96b69…
03-13 01:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x6df2c9…
03-13 01:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaf17d2…
03-13 01:16:41	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xadbe26…
03-13 01:13:27	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x35c3c9…
03-07 08:16:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x465cbb…
03-07 08:14:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	89	18¢	$16	0x310e3e…
03-07 08:14:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x895ab7…
03-07 08:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	89	59¢	$53	0x46e3fd…
03-07 08:11:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	179	84¢	$150	0x5880f5…
03-07 08:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2f34f7…
03-07 08:07:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x3c7a69…
03-07 08:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xc24d66…
03-07 08:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x3a387c…
03-07 08:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcdf36e…
03-07 08:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0xf54bc3…
03-07 08:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0xf9a3ee…
03-07 08:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x9a50fe…
03-07 08:01:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbd28d1…
03-07 08:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x3806c1…
03-07 07:58:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0xdf614e…
03-07 07:57:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	79	86¢	$68	0x68b948…
03-07 07:56:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	145	76¢	$110	0x11a2e4…
03-07 07:56:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x695b2d…
03-07 07:55:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb9f026…
03-07 07:54:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xadb15f…
03-07 07:53:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0xbd1c6d…
03-07 07:53:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	58	57¢	$33	0xc394de…
03-07 07:52:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	117	51¢	$60	0xd3f20e…
03-07 07:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe27c42…
03-07 07:48:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0xb2adb4…
03-07 07:47:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x5af1d0…