Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$445

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$4.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-19

last 10-30 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

96% 54% -$441

Politics

4% 25% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?	33	$896	727	727	+0	Yes	-$311	10-10 09:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	31	$730	865	135	+730	Yes	+$50	10-06 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 9?	11	$669	371	371	+0	No	+$71	10-09 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8?	18	$654	351	351	+0	No	+$48	10-08 06:31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$372	200	200	+0	Yes	+$28	10-09 15:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	18	$240	6,310	0	+6,310	No	-$240	10-07 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	10-13 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	2	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$10	10-07 08:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$178	106	106	+0	No	-$2	10-23 11:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	9	$111	200	200	+0	No	-$26	10-06 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	9	$74	100	100	+0	No	-$38	10-23 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	6	$69	50	50	+0	Yes	+$13	10-26 10:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	5	$52	50	50	+0	No	+$20	10-30 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?	2	$50	60	0	+60	Yes	+$10	10-13 07:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	6	$45	100	100	+0	No	-$25	10-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 7?	3	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$2	10-07 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	4	$26	40	40	+0	Yes	-$22	10-26 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 8?	5	$23	66	66	+0	No	$0	10-08 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	7	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	2	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	10-25 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	4	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	10-28 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	6	$20	20	20	-0	Yes	+$2	10-25 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	3	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	10-25 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	4	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	10-25 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$19	50	0	+50	No	-$19	10-29 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	3	$19	20	20	+0	No	+$3	10-25 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 25?	3	$18	20	20	+0	No	+$4	10-25 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	10-26 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	5	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	10-25 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	4	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	10-26 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x948acd…
10-29 13:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x75b5dc…
10-29 09:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xba40e3…
10-29 09:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0de8f8…
10-29 09:23:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2bf225…
10-29 09:22:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x6f906e…
10-28 14:37:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa2363e…
10-28 14:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xff41bc…
10-28 05:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x264f42…
10-28 04:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x5bdfd1…
10-28 04:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xd8b5b1…
10-28 04:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x1ceb1e…
10-28 03:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xd9353e…
10-28 02:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb0a86f…
10-27 14:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x50b945…
10-27 05:50:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x5aba01…
10-27 05:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x29b98b…
10-27 05:50:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xe15956…
10-27 05:48:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xe8760b…
10-27 05:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xc6026e…
10-26 14:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x911d77…
10-26 14:39:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xf86ba7…
10-26 14:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x4b81ec…
10-26 14:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x91790a…
10-26 11:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb91885…
10-26 10:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x39f42c…
10-26 05:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc1b300…
10-26 05:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x6e092b…
10-26 05:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$17	0x40942e…
10-26 05:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa9576c…
10-26 05:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xd49ff6…
10-26 05:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xbdd552…
10-26 05:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x997582…
10-26 05:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x58fc8b…
10-26 05:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x1d3bf7…
10-26 05:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x416fbb…
10-26 05:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xe88cb8…
10-26 04:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3f9533…
10-26 04:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xdc88f8…
10-26 04:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x2195dc…
10-26 04:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x13366a…
10-26 03:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xdb7d3f…
10-26 03:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x74a452…
10-26 03:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x2c1b3d…
10-26 03:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xfd154b…
10-26 02:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x94c8d2…
10-26 02:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0961f2…
10-26 02:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc54f7f…
10-26 01:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x4cd236…
10-26 01:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x56ddc9…
10-26 01:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd1d20b…
10-26 01:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd3286a…
10-26 01:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x05ecb6…
10-26 01:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x10bfdc…
10-26 00:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xd0851e…
10-26 00:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x5bd31d…
10-26 00:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xd2927d…
10-25 11:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb075a5…
10-25 11:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xcd7f92…
10-25 06:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x369714…
10-25 06:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x6ccc1b…
10-25 06:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe3e728…
10-25 06:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa0b2b1…
10-25 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xbab8bb…
10-25 06:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xdeb891…
10-25 06:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb9af49…
10-25 06:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x50df7e…
10-25 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xbe42b7…
10-25 05:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x825f30…
10-25 05:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x79cc76…
10-25 05:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf26775…
10-25 05:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x9b9de7…
10-25 05:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x7c3c06…
10-25 05:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x00af55…
10-25 05:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x82ee85…
10-25 05:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xdace13…
10-25 05:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xb64dc6…
10-25 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x77a84b…
10-25 05:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xe43d29…
10-25 05:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2f1933…
10-25 05:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa86cb6…
10-25 05:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x185f6b…
10-25 04:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe04104…
10-25 04:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5f1aa1…
10-25 03:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x476264…
10-25 03:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x370014…
10-25 03:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x1a0d5a…
10-25 03:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x50f6db…
10-25 02:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x6ceae3…
10-25 02:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8dd45a…
10-25 02:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc3879f…
10-25 02:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcfdfc0…
10-25 01:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x8b3b77…
10-25 01:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x0ebcc3…
10-25 01:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xcf5cd6…
10-25 00:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe7a187…
10-24 23:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6f466a…
10-24 20:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8930e1…
10-24 20:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb3c408…
10-24 18:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x3bf22b…