Imperturbable-Data — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

1,002

Trades

3,008

lifetime

Volume

$52.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-23 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 38% -$3,220

Sports

6% 33% -$639

Other

2% 22% +$177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp collign cerund 2026 07 18	8	$1.1K	1,476	1,024	+452	Raphael Collignon	+$293	07-18 11:38
mlb det laa 2026 07 17	12	$1.1K	2,464	1,613	+850	Detroit Tigers	+$5	07-18 04:18
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 18	27	$1.0K	1,375	1,160	+214	No	-$17	06-18 14:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	25	$958	1,150	1,150	+0	Down	+$97	06-18 14:25
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 7am et	18	$956	1,112	919	+192	Up	+$37	06-25 11:59
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 25	12	$655	3,147	2,658	+489	Yes	+$49	06-25 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	9	$622	941	941	+0	Down	+$56	04-30 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	8	$533	957	957	+0	Up	+$187	05-21 18:53
bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 2am et	9	$448	523	511	+12	Up	+$12	07-18 06:57
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	13	$427	604	440	+164	Up	+$32	07-28 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 13:45 UTC	4	$426	448	448	+0	Up	+$26	06-04 13:48
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	3	$374	400	400	+0	No	+$53	06-04 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 14:00 UTC	4	$352	302	268	+34	Down	+$83	06-18 14:04
bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	6	$349	313	313	+0	Up	+$73	07-18 08:41
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	10	$347	3,995	3,995	+0	No	-$1	06-27 21:53
bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8am et	12	$339	472	293	+179	Up	+$13	07-02 12:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	10	$321	1,269	769	+500	Up	-$91	06-04 14:39
mlb sd kc 2026 07 17	3	$316	532	532	+0	Kansas City Royals	-$124	07-18 02:30
bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 1am et	13	$314	2,495	890	+1,605	Up	+$2	06-24 05:57
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11am et	5	$303	385	385	+0	Down	-$11	06-04 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$303	327	327	+0	Up	+$73	05-21 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:45 UTC	3	$288	332	146	+186	Down	+$2	06-04 15:49
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 16	4	$287	866	677	+189	Yes	-$29	07-19 23:53
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10am et	7	$267	488	486	+1	Down	-$31	06-04 14:47
bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	9	$262	286	286	+0	Up	+$20	07-02 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 10:45 UTC	9	$257	478	139	+339	Down	-$33	06-25 10:55
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 10pm et	3	$253	378	378	+0	Up	-$37	07-18 02:38
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 12	5	$244	996	273	+723	No	-$53	06-12 19:13
mlb kc det 2026 07 23	4	$243	316	316	+0	Detroit Tigers	-$110	07-24 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$238	217	217	+0	Down	+$36	05-18 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:51:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	359	2¢	$8	0x0ea09f…
10-15 13:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0xeb0ac7…
10-15 13:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc8e1e6…
10-15 13:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	236	9¢	$21	0xc68311…
10-15 13:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x09e736…
10-15 13:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x06d2a2…
10-15 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x9550d9…
10-15 13:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x50eb30…
10-15 13:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xe98e2b…
10-15 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x27e2d4…
10-15 13:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc029df…
10-15 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xdbe447…
10-15 12:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x5cb664…
10-15 12:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xf30f3d…
10-15 12:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf4aa00…
10-15 12:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x5c9ea5…
10-15 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	61	23¢	$14	0x1baf8b…
10-15 12:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	55	27¢	$15	0xae1646…
10-15 12:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x4300cf…
10-15 12:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	156	18¢	$28	0x0e3b25…
10-15 12:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x4fab26…
10-15 12:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	134	17¢	$23	0x5726b6…
09-23 13:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xd7dcaa…
09-23 13:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0x443a17…
09-23 13:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb42fde…
09-23 13:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x3e5bb1…
09-23 12:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	116	53¢	$61	0x4114c4…
09-23 12:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4d049f…
09-23 12:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x242a14…
09-23 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0xefbe88…
09-23 12:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb90ff3…
09-23 12:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x75daab…
09-23 12:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd7eba1…
09-23 12:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x47be60…
09-23 12:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x2bfec3…
09-23 12:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x46c02b…
09-23 12:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x2dac41…
09-23 12:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x04f401…
09-23 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x36ee98…
09-23 11:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x803632…
09-23 11:36:34	bitcoin up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0xe8208f…
09-23 11:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x2045a1…
09-23 11:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x400ca8…
09-23 11:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96ba6e…
09-23 11:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x051a4d…
09-23 11:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xaa1daf…
09-23 11:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xfbc547…
09-23 11:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x577d45…
09-23 11:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xfa17fc…
09-23 11:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x537515…
09-23 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf29974…
09-23 11:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9a9a30…
09-23 11:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x273cdd…
09-23 11:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x25f040…
09-23 10:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf0f088…
09-23 10:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8bd62b…
09-23 10:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x0f555d…
09-23 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x9d9566…
09-23 10:23:41	bitcoin up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0x6e4b92…
09-23 10:21:58	bitcoin up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xf00a73…
09-23 10:05:19	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1,600	1¢	$12	0xb6192d…
09-20 15:57:39	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x4ca0f7…
09-20 15:40:37	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x4be017…
09-20 15:30:00	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6a1ab0…
09-20 15:01:25	will bitcoin reach 83k on september 20 2026	Yes	SELL	984	1¢	$13	0x0fec99…
09-20 13:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x003358…
09-20 13:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe0ba1b…
09-20 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x0d9ee3…
09-20 13:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d299f…
09-20 13:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x700524…
09-20 13:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xab405d…
09-20 13:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x47bd55…
09-20 12:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x94438a…
09-20 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x66a5fe…
09-20 12:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	74	25¢	$19	0xcd33f7…
09-20 12:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	74	18¢	$13	0x0cb144…
09-20 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6cea59…
09-20 12:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0x72f211…
09-20 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4ce044…
09-20 11:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa77565…
09-20 11:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xa5ba3d…
09-20 11:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0a4486…
09-20 11:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1148d4…
09-20 11:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x60e42c…
09-20 11:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x20b3a5…
09-20 11:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xd1d536…
09-20 11:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb9926a…
09-20 10:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x40cfde…
09-20 10:51:01	bitcoin up or down september 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xd20eb8…
09-20 10:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x20c573…
09-20 10:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9bdc32…
09-20 09:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	198	2¢	$3	0xc9236b…
09-20 09:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcb4874…
09-20 09:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x13c7f4…
09-20 09:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xafc607…
09-20 09:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x2ec0ed…
09-20 09:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x65ea45…
09-20 09:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xedc59a…
09-20 09:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x598aa0…
09-20 09:12:42	will bitcoin reach 83k on september 20 2026	Yes	BUY	984	1¢	$13	0x930074…