Variable-Festival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

189

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$50.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 99% +$83

Other

18% 50% +$50

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	4	$2.3K	1,313	1,012	+302	No	+$2	04-25 11:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	04-12 11:28
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	56	$1.6K	1,730	1,662	+69	Yes	+$154	03-15 10:26
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	20	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$28	03-08 12:44
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	21	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	04-07 14:13
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	37	$1.5K	1,701	1,701	+0	No	-$66	03-13 13:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	3	$1.4K	911	508	+403	No	+$3	04-21 09:24
sea nap mil 2026 04 06 draw	2	$1.4K	1,000	991	+9	No	-$17	04-06 18:29
will the price of solana be between 170 180 on january 26	1	$912	913	0	+913	No	+$1	01-24 10:46
solana above 60 on february 7	2	$801	401	401	+0	Yes	+$1	02-07 07:17
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 21?	1	$614	615	0	+615	No	+$1	08-19 17:56
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	14	$605	400	400	+0	Yes	+$3	03-08 12:44
will solana dip to 40 march 30 april 5	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-06 06:11
solana above 60 on march 18	1	$594	595	0	+595	Yes	+$1	03-16 13:11
solana above 100 on january 23	1	$574	575	0	+575	Yes	+$2	01-22 14:01
Will Solana reach $200 in October?	2	$563	564	0	+564	No	+$1	10-26 14:30
will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 1	1	$529	530	0	+530	No	+$1	01-31 08:31
solana above 140 on january 30	1	$529	529	0	+529	No	+$1	01-30 14:30
will solana reach 140 march 9 15	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	03-13 13:14
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on february 3	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	02-02 08:35
solana above 190 on january 21	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	01-18 12:44
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 7?	1	$468	468	0	+468	No	+$1	09-05 14:11
Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 8?	1	$447	448	0	+448	No	+$1	07-05 16:31
solana above 40 on march 23	1	$435	435	0	+435	Yes	+$0	03-20 10:12
solana above 30 on february 20	1	$429	430	0	+430	Yes	+$0	02-17 12:14
solana above 90 on january 23	1	$428	429	0	+429	Yes	+$0	01-20 10:09
solana above 40 on february 16	1	$428	429	0	+429	Yes	+$1	02-13 13:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?	2	$424	425	0	+425	No	+$1	06-02 16:52
solana above 120 on june 25 2026	2	$422	423	0	+423	No	+$1	06-21 18:09
solana above 140 on february 3	1	$419	419	0	+419	No	+$0	02-02 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:30:06	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	514	100¢	$513	0x515fda…
10-09 15:50:42	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcbaccf…
10-05 11:59:20	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa6d54b…
09-30 06:35:21	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on October 2?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x4d8165…
09-19 09:30:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe751fa…
09-05 14:11:51	Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on September 7?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xfc5d13…
09-05 14:11:42	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 7?	No	BUY	468	100¢	$468	0xb0714e…
08-29 16:08:34	solana above 160 on september 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8982dd…
08-29 16:08:15	solana above 150 on september 2 2026	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x7c4c00…
08-29 16:07:57	solana above 140 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9c1bb5…
08-29 16:07:45	solana above 140 on september 1 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x03d1f5…
08-29 16:07:37	solana above 150 on september 1 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1cd31d…
08-29 16:07:15	solana above 70 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xebfd46…
08-19 17:56:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 21?	No	BUY	615	100¢	$614	0xf7dc7a…
08-19 17:55:49	solana above 120 on august 22 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x1bdaf9…
08-14 13:55:43	solana above 120 on august 16 2026	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0xd7374e…
08-14 13:55:36	solana above 110 on august 16 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x432590…
08-14 13:55:19	solana above 50 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xba7bcc…
08-10 14:11:58	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on August 13?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x3c0896…
08-08 12:23:49	ethereum above 2400 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x941d9a…
08-08 12:23:37	ethereum above 1400 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xec4364…
08-08 12:23:19	ethereum above 1500 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xbdb5e9…
08-05 14:32:20	solana above 110 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x915ba0…
08-05 14:31:59	solana above 120 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x24fb90…
08-05 14:31:50	solana above 40 on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x897962…
08-05 14:31:42	solana above 30 on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x78d74d…
08-02 14:11:11	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 5?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x62f7f7…
08-02 14:10:48	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 6?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0xb7e1db…
07-30 14:24:33	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on August 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x094741…
07-29 10:35:00	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on August 1?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0xe06584…
07-28 14:20:19	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 1?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x8c6c6d…
07-27 12:37:18	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xea917f…
07-25 12:20:52	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on July 28?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x39d1a4…
07-24 05:07:03	solana above 130 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x1706f8…
07-24 05:06:55	solana above 40 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x7885f3…
07-24 05:06:48	solana above 30 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xef9f89…
07-21 16:11:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 24?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xc8ae6e…
07-20 13:32:00	ethereum above 2400 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x700aa5…
07-19 13:08:21	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on July 21?	No	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0x23a1e8…
07-15 12:14:38	ethereum above 1300 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0xf60410…
07-13 18:11:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6aa452…
07-12 17:06:32	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 16?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xbc92f0…
07-11 14:32:22	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 14?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x680f42…
07-10 12:16:22	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 15?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x6c68b9…
07-09 15:28:52	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 13?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x6db917…
07-08 12:31:49	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x331eb1…
07-07 16:23:49	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on July 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6f5dc…
07-06 12:23:53	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 9?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf01883…
07-05 16:31:19	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 8?	No	BUY	448	100¢	$447	0x06e058…
07-03 13:24:32	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on July 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd57233…
07-02 17:48:19	ethereum above 1100 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x9465f8…
07-01 12:34:35	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x45122f…
07-01 12:34:23	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xadff4d…
06-30 13:06:32	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 4?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xdfe2eb…
06-30 13:06:22	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 4?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x579167…
06-29 14:30:22	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3c1adc…
06-28 15:26:56	solana above 20 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x50be8e…
06-27 18:12:17	solana above 100 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe585bb…
06-27 18:12:05	solana above 30 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xa447ea…
06-27 18:11:55	solana above 20 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x68ef07…
06-25 19:04:40	solana above 120 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xadef81…
06-25 19:04:28	solana above 110 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x11cc09…
06-23 15:12:55	solana above 110 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x7986ee…
06-22 12:08:59	solana above 20 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x412796…
06-21 18:09:23	solana above 120 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x57e2f4…
06-21 18:09:14	solana above 120 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x953810…
06-15 12:59:10	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 18?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x657196…
06-15 12:59:01	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 18?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc4e5af…
06-15 12:58:52	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 17?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x65edfe…
06-15 12:58:45	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 17?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x75ea34…
06-15 12:58:33	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 16?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x75ae07…
06-12 07:08:16	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 15?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x72d83d…
06-12 07:08:09	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 15?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfc9350…
06-12 07:07:58	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 15?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd5f03b…
06-11 07:23:21	solana above 30 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x4431ca…
06-11 07:23:15	solana above 30 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x3a7087…
06-11 07:23:07	solana above 20 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd1bcb1…
06-08 12:37:13	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 11?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xf3e0e5…
06-08 12:36:58	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 11?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xdbfd0a…
06-08 12:36:45	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 11?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xfbe79d…
06-08 12:36:40	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 11?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x628d5f…
06-08 12:36:33	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 11?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x26784e…
06-07 08:52:36	ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x0e78a2…
06-02 16:52:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xc7b183…
06-02 16:52:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5f2e73…
05-25 13:22:31	Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on May 30?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xa629e3…
05-24 11:45:49	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 26?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb36a36…
05-22 12:56:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x389ad7…
05-21 13:16:27	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 24?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xeee6b3…
05-21 13:16:14	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb484fb…
05-19 10:03:39	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 21?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x35f1ed…
05-18 10:40:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 20?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa733b3…
05-17 09:16:59	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 22?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x4321ed…
05-15 14:19:03	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xea7098…
05-13 12:09:52	Will the price of Solana be less than $50 on May 17?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xe76b4f…
05-10 12:30:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x3d05e2…
05-05 11:10:08	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 8?	No	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0x46482d…
05-05 11:09:48	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x11e2be…
05-04 10:43:20	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa2184a…
05-02 13:40:32	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xb37d18…