Exciting-Granola-Meme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

2,749

Trades

15,532

lifetime

Volume

$263.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-26 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 26% -$22,845

Other

1% 21% -$539

Politics

0% 36% -$57

Sports

0% 33% +$57

Tech

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 607 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:35 UTC	18	$1.4K	1,299	1,115	+185	Up	+$333	08-15 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:50 UTC	18	$1.4K	1,789	1,579	+210	Up	+$123	08-15 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:50 UTC	25	$1.3K	1,578	1,089	+488	Up	+$364	08-15 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:10 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,282	1,182	+100	Down	+$721	08-14 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:45 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	Up	+$618	08-16 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:20 UTC	12	$973	1,332	808	+524	Down	+$323	08-15 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:30 UTC	11	$948	1,254	975	+278	Up	+$238	08-15 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	20	$947	785	785	+0	Down	+$147	09-03 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	22	$934	1,028	828	+200	Down	+$130	09-02 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	9	$930	1,051	932	+119	Down	+$80	10-23 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:25 UTC	18	$900	1,142	704	+438	Down	-$200	08-15 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:50 UTC	10	$895	755	573	+182	Down	+$145	08-16 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	16	$894	820	720	+100	Down	+$242	08-27 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:05 UTC	21	$881	1,520	901	+619	Down	-$19	08-27 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	19	$865	862	741	+121	Down	+$115	09-09 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:25 UTC	14	$852	942	942	+0	Down	+$24	09-24 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 11:20 UTC	10	$826	2,065	612	+1,453	Down	-$274	08-16 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:25 UTC	8	$805	1,251	430	+822	Down	-$51	08-16 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:10 UTC	6	$802	1,015	982	+32	Up	+$375	08-15 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	9	$783	615	615	+0	Down	+$433	09-02 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	9	$767	977	805	+173	Up	+$67	10-23 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	10	$766	789	789	+0	Down	+$166	09-10 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 11:15 UTC	10	$764	798	498	+300	Up	+$64	08-16 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:55 UTC	19	$751	804	481	+324	Up	-$99	08-27 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC	6	$746	806	514	+292	Up	+$144	08-20 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:35 UTC	16	$744	818	647	+171	Up	+$138	09-24 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:00 UTC	7	$736	2,913	526	+2,387	Up	+$286	08-15 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:35 UTC	9	$728	987	330	+657	Up	-$122	08-16 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:50 UTC	12	$716	2,619	566	+2,053	Up	+$316	08-15 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	20	$715	2,168	794	+1,374	Up	+$266	08-14 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf608f2…
10-26 11:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd1118a…
10-25 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb47c54…
10-25 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbbac16…
10-25 00:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x047be9…
10-25 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xefd492…
10-25 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xce3c01…
10-25 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6aaf15…
10-25 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6563a5…
10-25 00:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x088d00…
10-25 00:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x66541a…
10-25 00:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0x387ea0…
10-25 00:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf07eb0…
10-25 00:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	78¢	$41	0xbbe51c…
10-25 00:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xdec932…
10-25 00:19:39	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x350f60…
10-25 00:19:11	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb97c5a…
10-25 00:19:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8b6360…
10-25 00:19:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8b4993…
10-25 00:18:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	87	27¢	$24	0x8a0555…
10-25 00:18:24	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0x613413…
10-25 00:18:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0xaf422a…
10-25 00:15:29	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x304d1f…
10-25 00:15:27	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6803e3…
10-25 00:15:27	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x386260…
10-25 00:15:27	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x29206c…
10-25 00:15:24	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x24a01b…
10-25 00:15:24	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0229ab…
10-25 00:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf3b39b…
10-25 00:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa26bef…
10-25 00:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5535d6…
10-25 00:15:21	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9d4741…
10-25 00:15:20	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf4f25…
10-25 00:15:20	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa93c26…
10-25 00:15:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf9deb6…
10-25 00:15:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x00cc0b…
10-25 00:15:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfd5e35…
10-25 00:15:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdcce61…
10-25 00:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0xdb9468…
10-25 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xdffa4e…
10-25 00:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x9f7c50…
10-25 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x19805a…
10-25 00:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	61	78¢	$48	0x31ea6d…
10-25 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe04307…
10-25 00:05:35	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xf738ec…
10-25 00:05:21	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	34	92¢	$32	0x51e61b…
10-25 00:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0x2fa681…
10-24 23:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xbe7523…
10-24 23:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	303	36¢	$109	0x3bfef7…
10-24 23:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x13424f…
10-24 23:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x49fe68…
10-24 23:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf3f874…
10-24 23:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	144	77¢	$111	0xc31df7…
10-24 23:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4695ba…
10-24 23:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf84d42…
10-24 23:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4874f8…
10-24 23:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x98192a…
10-24 23:41:45	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	159	16¢	$25	0x03cda6…
10-24 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x64b44f…
10-24 23:33:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdf342f…
10-24 23:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x973da2…
10-24 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x631189…
10-24 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a54bb…
10-24 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x202607…
10-24 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9fb38b…
10-24 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x42391c…
10-24 23:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x32c780…
10-24 23:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2c1a48…
10-24 23:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb78cbc…
10-24 23:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x502bb2…
10-24 23:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xaadbfe…
10-24 23:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x89da52…
10-24 23:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	146	92¢	$134	0x46c0df…
10-24 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xa17113…
10-24 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x78d0c0…
10-24 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x441241…
10-24 23:17:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x9f9954…
10-24 23:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	128	89¢	$114	0x35437a…
10-24 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xff1655…
10-24 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6d02e8…
10-24 23:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa03150…
10-24 23:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x481d34…
10-24 23:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x073c3e…
10-24 23:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbaf32c…
10-24 23:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x821933…
10-24 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdb5348…
10-24 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x39941c…
10-24 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xedfd3a…
10-24 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8f61e9…
10-24 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x30c9b3…
10-24 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x17b818…
10-24 23:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x922c53…
10-24 23:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x725b19…
10-24 23:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x530b59…
10-24 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	128	20¢	$25	0xcd47e6…
10-24 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x30ace4…
10-24 23:14:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7aab69…
10-24 23:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x070a80…
10-24 23:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xebc86e…
10-24 23:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x2782c5…