Vigorous-Tray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

100

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-05 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

86% 95% +$49

Crypto

12% 83% -$1

Politics

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 5?	2	$162	84	84	+0	No	+$6	10-05 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4?	2	$145	83	83	+0	No	+$13	10-03 14:02
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 10?	2	$133	69	69	+0	No	+$5	07-10 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?	3	$119	79	62	+17	No	+$6	07-05 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 27?	1	$84	86	0	+86	No	+$2	08-26 21:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$83	46	46	+0	No	+$4	06-10 08:52
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 16?	1	$78	83	0	+83	No	+$5	07-15 10:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$2	07-29 12:59
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 12?	1	$69	75	0	+75	No	+$6	07-10 22:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	1	$64	67	0	+67	No	+$3	07-24 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	08-16 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	07-29 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 2?	1	$54	67	0	+67	No	+$13	10-01 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	1	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$1	09-22 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	1	$51	53	0	+53	No	+$2	09-21 07:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	08-10 09:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?	1	$46	51	0	+51	No	+$5	09-15 10:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?	1	$46	50	0	+50	No	+$4	07-02 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 5?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$1	09-04 13:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$1	09-07 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?	1	$45	47	0	+47	Yes	-$45	09-09 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 10?	1	$44	47	0	+47	No	+$3	09-09 10:09
will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	1	$43	47	0	+47	No	+$4	06-10 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 8?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-07 11:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?	1	$40	46	0	+46	No	+$6	07-17 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 18?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	07-17 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	08-13 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 6?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	09-04 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	1	$37	39	0	+39	No	+$2	07-13 11:11
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 14?	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$1	07-13 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 5?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x5fcf49…
10-03 16:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	84	92¢	$78	0xafc225…
10-03 14:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4?	No	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0xf43c2c…
10-03 06:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	83	80¢	$66	0xab7630…
10-01 14:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	67	81¢	$54	0x5053ab…
09-22 13:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x353d07…
09-21 07:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0xbb6daa…
09-15 10:00:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0xdedc85…
09-09 10:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 10?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xf86f1b…
09-09 10:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x8c12ed…
09-07 11:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 8?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xd54381…
09-07 11:25:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xc5a7b4…
09-04 13:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 5?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x2d1efa…
09-04 13:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xde5b80…
08-26 21:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x86fc6c…
08-16 19:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 18?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xb26c23…
08-16 19:53:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x0ad645…
08-16 19:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd052cb…
08-16 17:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa95335…
08-13 20:21:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x396d7f…
08-13 20:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xd209c9…
08-13 20:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x0506f0…
08-10 09:28:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcdb437…
08-10 09:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 12?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7600ef…
08-07 08:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x345a3c…
08-07 08:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08d8ff…
08-07 08:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x18422e…
08-03 12:21:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 4?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x1bcd5c…
08-03 12:17:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x33107d…
08-03 12:16:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 5?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x67ca3c…
07-29 20:09:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 31?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x54c8be…
07-29 20:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5f4291…
07-29 12:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x8dde34…
07-29 12:59:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x83e4a4…
07-28 08:39:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9264b0…
07-28 08:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x707d75…
07-26 20:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x32f684…
07-26 20:27:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x38cef0…
07-24 06:51:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x5ebfdf…
07-22 06:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd22e24…
07-22 06:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0c52a5…
07-21 17:58:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	No	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x388bf2…
07-20 15:38:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 21?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd2fa50…
07-20 15:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 21?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb2d81b…
07-20 15:34:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x76f590…
07-17 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 18?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xae1a4b…
07-17 07:56:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xe8929d…
07-15 10:00:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 16?	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xa19038…
07-13 11:13:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 14?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x085ef0…
07-13 11:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x98b086…
07-10 22:51:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 12?	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0xce2ccb…
07-10 22:38:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 10?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x15bc26…
07-09 08:30:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 10?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x6000d0…
07-08 17:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcc52f6…
07-07 08:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$12	0xee022e…
07-07 08:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5b80d1…
07-07 08:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xe0541b…
07-07 08:41:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x43b832…
07-05 21:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xbb7bb1…
07-05 21:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x8aed55…
07-05 21:39:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc2eb7a…
07-05 21:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf11888…
07-05 21:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?	No	SELL	62	86¢	$54	0x1d94a4…
07-04 12:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xe8cce2…
07-02 08:35:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb81ac3…
06-10 08:54:13	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0x625199…
06-10 08:52:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xa06e57…
06-03 10:27:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x1f2d63…
05-05 15:12:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xa572bc…
05-03 15:11:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5b6243…
05-01 22:12:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 2?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x788e94…
05-01 21:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x82952d…
05-01 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x361a71…
05-01 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4a4914…
05-01 19:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x4807a7…
05-01 14:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe315a8…
05-01 14:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xaa9759…
05-01 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x83d4b0…
05-01 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x0afd86…
05-01 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xe9b7d6…
05-01 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x9e9a33…
05-01 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb93684…
05-01 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf489ab…
05-01 11:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xaf8241…
05-01 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8b1d5b…
05-01 11:12:42	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc82cb9…
05-01 11:06:04	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7ff980…
05-01 11:04:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0xa563d8…
05-01 10:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xca435c…
04-23 09:27:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x41867c…
04-23 08:45:46	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6bf64f…
04-23 08:44:46	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe461ec…
04-23 08:24:26	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xefd073…
04-22 09:53:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2916d7…
04-21 14:27:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xc19a1e…
04-21 13:50:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd16f4f…
04-21 13:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xec933d…
04-21 13:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5ee718…
04-21 13:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa706bf…
04-21 13:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xad50a8…