Crafty-Pace — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved (30d)

434

Trades (30d)

522

4,299 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$24.3K

$111.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-31 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

100% 93% +$255

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 24?	4	$865	433	433	-0	No	+$1	08-23 23:54
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 23?	2	$839	420	420	+0	No	+$1	08-23 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 30?	2	$680	341	341	+0	No	+$1	07-29 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on September 4?	4	$621	622	0	+622	No	+$1	09-04 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?	20	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$1	08-01 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 2?	7	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$2	06-30 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on July 1?	16	$561	282	282	+0	No	+$2	06-30 02:39
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on October 4?	2	$537	538	0	+538	No	+$1	10-04 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on September 2?	4	$529	265	265	+0	No	+$0	09-02 08:48
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 23?	1	$514	515	0	+515	No	+$1	09-22 15:33
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 2?	5	$493	248	248	+0	No	+$2	07-01 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on August 20?	4	$459	230	230	+0	No	+$1	08-19 22:23
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C or below on October 15?	2	$457	458	0	+458	No	+$1	10-15 06:58
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on October 13?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	10-13 01:57
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on August 31?	2	$404	405	0	+405	No	+$1	08-30 16:09
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on September 27?	2	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	09-26 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	8	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$1	07-31 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 2?	17	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$1	07-01 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$1	07-30 11:46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 116°F or higher on July 2?	12	$398	200	200	-0	No	+$1	07-01 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C or higher on July 2?	8	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-30 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on August 24?	7	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$2	08-23 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 1?	6	$387	195	195	+0	No	+$1	06-30 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 13?	3	$385	193	193	+0	No	+$1	08-13 08:15
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 13?	2	$367	368	0	+368	No	+$1	10-13 04:37
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 31°C or higher on October 3?	2	$365	365	0	+365	No	+$0	10-02 18:22
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 25?	2	$359	180	180	+0	No	+$0	08-24 23:33
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on September 25?	2	$359	362	0	+362	No	+$4	09-25 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 5?	16	$358	180	180	+0	No	+$1	07-04 02:49
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 11?	1	$354	355	0	+355	No	+$0	10-11 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:37:28	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 0°C or below on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe5057a…
10-31 04:36:54	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf3d4f2…
10-31 04:35:25	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3de079…
10-31 04:35:22	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x71bff6…
10-31 04:35:18	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa08c1c…
10-31 04:35:13	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xe034ed…
10-31 04:33:22	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 18°C or below on October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x68d13a…
10-31 04:32:37	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 0°C or below on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x11098f…
10-31 04:32:36	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 1°C on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2a0f2b…
10-31 04:32:25	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 2°C on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xeaeb45…
10-31 04:30:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 3°C or below on October 31?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x2ff06d…
10-30 11:56:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 13°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xce9587…
10-30 07:13:06	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f7fd8…
10-30 07:12:57	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd30d5…
10-30 07:12:51	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 7°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xfb1b4d…
10-30 06:16:57	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x46edbf…
10-30 06:16:55	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe8a95d…
10-30 06:15:30	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on October 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x95e84a…
10-30 06:14:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 13°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2dc79d…
10-30 06:14:10	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 17°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfce20c…
10-30 06:13:48	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 17°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x286ccb…
10-30 06:11:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96e564…
10-30 06:11:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x602fc3…
10-30 06:04:55	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x582870…
10-30 06:01:58	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcdca77…
10-30 06:01:55	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7526db…
10-30 05:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb4a043…
10-30 02:58:58	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdaecdb…
10-30 02:58:39	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x19ed01…
10-30 02:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdc566…
10-30 02:56:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x02605c…
10-30 02:53:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x762309…
10-30 02:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe3e1a6…
10-30 02:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe3e663…
10-30 02:50:09	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 24°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3b08ba…
10-30 02:46:46	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xc0d5a1…
10-30 02:45:40	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeab538…
10-29 17:48:08	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x14b3ba…
10-29 17:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on October 29?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x3c3dab…
10-29 17:31:13	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd29d52…
10-29 17:31:13	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x1ea9da…
10-29 17:31:11	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 29?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xee9e86…
10-29 17:31:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x140b72…
10-29 17:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 29?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x6e555c…
10-29 17:31:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 29?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x494d3e…
10-29 17:31:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on October 29?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x92433f…
10-29 17:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x5409c8…
10-29 17:31:04	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 29?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xcd0d44…
10-29 17:31:02	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xb58f02…
10-29 17:31:02	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0x843b0d…
10-29 13:06:49	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfecb1d…
10-29 12:56:16	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0b762e…
10-29 12:55:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on October 29?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x83d643…
10-29 12:54:35	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x098352…
10-29 12:52:46	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc03f54…
10-29 12:51:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 29?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4afd21…
10-29 12:50:52	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x14e2a7…
10-29 12:50:46	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8cc7b2…
10-29 12:48:52	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0efe51…
10-29 12:48:04	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x0a5806…
10-29 12:47:55	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe11884…
10-29 04:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf1b5ae…
10-29 04:04:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e2cbb…
10-29 04:04:11	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 29?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x76a61e…
10-29 04:03:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe990c3…
10-29 04:02:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0d580…
10-29 04:02:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaad00a…
10-29 04:01:32	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x97fe43…
10-29 04:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be -3°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeafde0…
10-29 04:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be -2°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73625b…
10-29 03:59:14	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f5725…
10-29 03:54:19	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 2°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x130ed5…
10-29 03:53:49	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 17°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd41f82…
10-29 03:53:23	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc8803…
10-29 03:53:23	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa47540…
10-29 03:51:19	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 16°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e58c4…
10-29 03:51:14	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cb14b…
10-29 03:51:01	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6e244…
10-29 03:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 29?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x745d8d…
10-29 03:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5cc9cb…
10-28 18:26:32	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x375046…
10-28 18:25:46	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 34-35°F on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa22a2e…
10-28 18:20:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xedb05a…
10-28 18:18:02	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x592c33…
10-28 10:38:35	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 16°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x58515f…
10-28 10:38:29	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x40f5f3…
10-28 07:37:50	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf93bab…
10-28 07:37:41	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd33a42…
10-28 07:37:40	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc38663…
10-28 07:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaaf16e…
10-28 07:33:55	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 28?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x59aaf2…
10-28 07:33:46	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6fce81…
10-28 07:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3f49a1…
10-28 07:29:34	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7c3e96…
10-28 07:29:29	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8be027…
10-28 07:29:25	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x4cae9a…
10-28 07:27:56	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8fc5b4…
10-28 07:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x813f81…
10-28 07:26:25	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaa1140…
10-28 07:26:02	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be -4°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfeb9d1…