Similar-Icon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

632

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$101

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-10 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

39% 100% +$8

Crypto

9% 81% +$1

Sports

7% 78% +$13

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+108	$100	94¢	$101	+$1	07-10 22:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$1.6K	913	913	+0	open	—	04-21 22:20
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	9	$1.4K	772	772	+0	open	—	04-27 22:48
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	12	$1.2K	661	661	+0	open	—	07-02 16:50
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 27c	5	$925	477	475	+1	open	—	04-19 09:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	9	$767	434	434	+0	open	—	04-21 22:20
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 27c	5	$757	392	391	+1	open	—	04-17 04:55
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 27c	7	$703	367	366	+1	open	—	04-18 05:29
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	4	$575	301	300	+1	open	—	04-19 22:23
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$560	311	311	+0	open	—	04-24 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	4	$532	467	465	+2	open	—	04-28 06:05
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$484	265	263	+3	open	—	04-30 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$466	246	246	+0	open	—	05-14 18:07
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$424	244	244	+0	open	—	04-22 01:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$340	488	0	+488	open	—	05-01 09:29
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$280	349	0	+349	open	—	04-28 03:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$233	127	127	+0	open	—	04-26 01:03
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	06-09 16:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 18c	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	04-18 04:01
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$200	218	0	+218	open	—	04-24 01:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$200	240	0	+240	open	—	05-05 11:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$196	119	119	+0	open	—	06-14 11:29
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	4	$192	166	164	+1	open	—	04-19 04:30
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 29c	4	$189	99	99	+0	open	—	04-18 11:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$180	237	0	+237	open	—	06-10 02:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$177	175	44	+131	No	+$8	05-04 17:09
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	4	$160	182	0	+182	open	—	05-09 21:14
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$122	145	0	+145	open	—	04-22 07:20
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 30c	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	04-20 07:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$121	137	0	+137	open	—	04-26 02:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$120	144	0	+144	open	—	07-08 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 23:09:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xabaa23…
07-10 23:08:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe78b33…
07-10 22:57:29	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x30b08f…
07-08 09:39:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd130fa…
07-04 00:38:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6d9ab3…
07-02 16:50:28	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	661	100¢	$659	0x51dfee…
07-01 10:51:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd13d22…
06-29 16:12:25	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x91dd62…
06-29 03:06:05	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xbd462c…
06-29 03:05:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	79	79¢	$63	0x06124c…
06-28 18:52:40	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x746f83…
06-28 01:29:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xd3ca12…
06-28 01:19:19	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xe05482…
06-27 15:00:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xb7560d…
06-25 20:13:41	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xad3148…
06-25 10:04:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x530acd…
06-25 05:05:34	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	88	99¢	$88	0x0c8a3b…
06-14 11:29:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	119	81¢	$96	0xe4d69f…
06-11 03:26:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	38	43¢	$16	0x7b8fa6…
06-11 01:19:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x3dc1d7…
06-11 00:57:31	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xeec625…
06-10 02:51:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x232ac8…
06-09 16:23:36	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x508063…
06-09 16:23:06	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x89ff37…
06-09 16:22:54	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xff1010…
06-08 13:00:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x1bfd99…
06-08 12:58:24	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb9bc01…
06-08 00:46:36	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xe3388e…
06-08 00:45:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x692fc2…
06-07 14:22:16	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x3f1820…
06-07 03:55:24	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa8b805…
06-06 11:11:19	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xd8030b…
06-06 02:25:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x6b1588…
06-04 14:57:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd738a7…
06-03 16:34:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x6536bf…
06-01 15:32:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc1c876…
06-01 15:20:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7c266a…
06-01 15:16:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	58¢	$55	0x864db4…
06-01 03:02:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x202688…
05-29 08:24:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x40a1cb…
05-29 01:06:38	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7b14f1…
05-28 11:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x392575…
05-27 14:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xdbd29b…
05-26 00:45:06	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0xced734…
05-25 03:21:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa331cf…
05-25 03:21:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x163d73…
05-24 07:21:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8acc28…
05-23 21:24:28	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x082b11…
05-20 15:13:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x049292…
05-16 13:16:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xd1ea8a…
05-16 13:16:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x9c4ee5…
05-16 12:54:22	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf7cf32…
05-16 04:53:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x504d28…
05-16 03:35:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6c23cb…
05-16 03:26:47	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6a6d8c…
05-16 02:26:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x35cbff…
05-15 13:04:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3ef7fd…
05-15 12:49:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x81f519…
05-15 10:57:57	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa8d5ea…
05-15 09:03:09	Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2f9e56…
05-15 09:02:29	Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Sashi Esport	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x11717d…
05-15 09:02:02	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9c201f…
05-15 08:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7bc6c…
05-15 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0c7fa7…
05-15 06:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3a1f1e…
05-15 06:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7e8524…
05-15 06:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x437140…
05-15 04:19:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x551f6b…
05-15 04:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xcaa169…
05-14 18:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x272b2e…
05-13 17:09:35	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0eed4f…
05-13 17:02:30	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc791d6…
05-13 17:02:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x465a47…
05-13 17:02:12	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x10bf36…
05-13 04:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xebf824…
05-13 03:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc40ffa…
05-12 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x55b91a…
05-12 20:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x62a156…
05-12 08:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xae860d…
05-12 07:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf1a0c6…
05-12 06:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x461e9b…
05-11 16:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0c9b32…
05-11 13:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5c5877…
05-11 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xff676e…
05-11 11:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xe36708…
05-11 10:58:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xbc714f…
05-11 10:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x011ff5…
05-11 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x97e7ae…
05-11 04:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbb2b83…
05-11 02:01:18	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x0e0fc9…
05-11 01:19:46	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x4f795a…
05-11 00:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe6c70c…
05-11 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6be376…
05-09 21:14:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xa8c41b…
05-09 21:14:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x9424a8…
05-09 05:19:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x6b6af2…
05-09 05:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x47f1a4…
05-09 03:07:36	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x3874db…
05-09 00:40:20	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xb611bb…
05-08 14:33:40	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x7a7b6d…