Constant-Fold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

45% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	01-28 03:27
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	02-07 08:50
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	03-19 09:08
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 240plus	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	02-01 06:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 11	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	03-11 01:45
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 240plus	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	03-05 02:31
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	02-14 06:39
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	03-29 08:28
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	02-28 08:01
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	04-13 02:56
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	04-07 09:28
bitcoin above 80k on march 26	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-25 02:11
bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	06-06 11:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	05-15 10:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	05-11 02:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$101	102	+102	No	+$1	05-07 09:37
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-02 11:12
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-16 07:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-30 07:46
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-06 09:45
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-26 07:29
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-19 09:29
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-15 07:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 16	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	01-16 03:37
bitcoin above 68k on april 22	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-21 08:35
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 380 399	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-10 09:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 220 239	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	01-23 07:53
craus syd hob 2026 01 23	1	$17	31	+31	open	—	01-23 07:53
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$4	1,940	+1,940	open	—	06-09 10:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	1	$4	1,900	+1,900	open	—	02-01 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:39:34	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,940	0¢	$4	0xdc27d7…
06-06 11:14:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x99bc23…
05-15 10:47:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x00a2db…
05-11 02:55:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0ab5b6…
05-07 09:37:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xf2d0d9…
04-30 07:46:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x5896fb…
04-26 07:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x3c4a5f…
04-21 08:35:00	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc8db37…
04-21 08:34:48	will meta ai assistant glasses be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6944f…
04-21 08:34:36	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x616dca…
04-21 08:34:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	BUY	1,895	0¢	$4	0xe118ce…
04-16 07:56:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x25af7b…
04-16 07:56:10	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cc55a…
04-16 07:55:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d747c…
04-16 07:55:44	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	Yes	BUY	1,580	0¢	$3	0xb78f6b…
04-13 02:56:05	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x95416e…
04-07 09:28:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x81443e…
04-02 11:12:31	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11c951…
04-02 11:12:19	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 160 179	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd29b33…
04-02 11:12:09	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5a6da…
04-02 11:11:59	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3239d2…
04-02 11:11:49	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f6fc6…
03-29 08:28:32	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xcc21e3…
03-25 02:11:51	bitcoin above 80k on march 26	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x534b02…
03-25 02:11:35	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xad4643…
03-25 02:10:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ae8f9…
03-25 02:10:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7f7c8…
03-19 09:08:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x89eccb…
03-15 07:17:39	will temu shop like a billionaire be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xff619e…
03-15 07:17:23	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfae44d…
03-11 01:45:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 11	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xbcb4bd…
03-11 01:45:33	highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 10c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedb84f…
03-11 01:45:19	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeeb977…
03-05 02:31:43	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 240plus	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x7fab6a…
03-05 02:31:33	elon musk of tweets march 2026 200 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e018f…
03-05 02:31:21	will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x292363…
02-28 08:02:15	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 140 164	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x547724…
02-28 08:02:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x773dd3…
02-28 08:01:51	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xaf1c90…
02-14 06:39:37	bitcoin above 74k on february 14	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x194b7b…
02-14 06:39:25	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa011ee…
02-14 06:39:15	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 20m and 23m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a7baa…
02-07 08:50:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x5aff11…
02-01 06:39:12	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 240plus	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xd34735…
02-01 06:38:58	will capcut photo video editor be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x460954…
02-01 06:38:38	will the highest temperature in new york city be 19f or below on february 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa729f8…
02-01 06:26:30	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	Yes	BUY	1,900	0¢	$4	0xdfe2e6…
01-28 03:27:59	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x551f99…
01-23 07:53:58	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 220 239	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xb010e8…
01-23 07:53:12	craus syd hob 2026 01 23	Sydney Sixers	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0xd677c0…
01-19 09:29:54	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xda16af…
01-16 03:37:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 16	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8d2f46…
01-10 09:07:14	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 380 399	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc2272c…
01-06 09:45:23	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6ee324…
01-06 09:45:13	another us strike on venezuela on january 5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd92c7b…
01-06 09:45:01	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf525b…