Flippant-Crime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-01 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

52% 56% -$90

Sports

33% 75% +$56

Politics

14% 17% -$27

Tech

1% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+31	$30	78¢	$24	-$6	11-01 20:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	43	$1.2K	26,000	26,000	+0	No	$0	06-29 14:34
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of July 20 2026?	2	$563	300	300	+0	No	-$5	07-23 16:07
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	5	$312	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 10:12
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$166	200	200	+0	Yes	-$6	05-10 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on May 10?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	05-09 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on May 9?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	05-08 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 22?	1	$103	104	0	+104	No	+$0	05-21 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 15?	1	$103	103	0	+103	No	+$0	05-14 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on May 22?	1	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-21 13:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 11?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-10 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 4?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-03 14:36
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	5	$90	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	05-26 08:44
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	2	$66	50	50	+0	No	-$8	05-27 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 14?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	05-13 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 14?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	05-13 11:49
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	7	$38	100	100	+0	No	-$12	05-27 08:47
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 14:37
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	11	$34	7,254	3,654	+3,600	No	-$16	05-24 04:05
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	11-01 20:15
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	5	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	05-03 14:12
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	1	$11	12	0	+12	Under	-$11	09-04 17:53
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5	1	$11	13	0	+13	Over	+$2	09-04 17:52
Southern Illinois vs. South Dakota	1	$11	14	0	+14	South Dakota	+$3	10-09 18:59
Old Dominion vs. Appalachian State	1	$11	14	0	+14	Old Dominion	-$11	10-10 16:44
Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	1	$11	14	0	+14	Mees Rottgering	+$3	10-28 19:11
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	1	$11	12	0	+12	Over	+$1	09-01 08:38
Thunder vs. Mavericks	1	$11	16	0	+16	Mavericks	-$11	10-28 14:13
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	3	$11	17	0	+17	Yannick Hanfmann	-$11	10-06 12:50
Wofford vs. Elon	1	$11	17	0	+17	Wofford	-$11	10-09 22:43
Lakers vs. Clippers	1	$11	17	0	+17	Lakers	+$6	10-28 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:15:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xface5e…
10-29 04:23:58	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x84fe38…
10-29 02:34:52	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xfc815a…
10-28 23:10:20	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x814119…
10-28 20:46:41	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel	Terence Atmane	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x2ed542…
10-28 20:05:07	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x15cba2…
10-28 19:45:16	Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9a3dc4…
10-28 19:11:53	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Mees Rottgering	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xaa90cb…
10-28 19:10:46	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x085e56…
10-28 19:10:43	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x96ffb4…
10-28 19:09:56	Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2fb634…
10-28 18:51:22	Brest: Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo	Gabriel Diallo	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xa5152c…
10-28 18:38:17	Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez	Alvaro Guillen Meza	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x56e87a…
10-28 18:06:58	Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez	Alvaro Guillen Meza	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8cae91…
10-28 17:53:11	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0db637…
10-28 17:42:37	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Hugo Gaston	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5863da…
10-28 17:08:22	Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez	Alvaro Guillen Meza	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0f7a19…
10-28 17:01:34	Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0xacb408…
10-28 16:38:08	Sioux Falls: J.J. Wolf vs Daniel Milavsky	J.J. Wolf	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x50c56c…
10-28 16:17:01	Sioux Falls: J.J. Wolf vs Daniel Milavsky	J.J. Wolf	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x211813…
10-28 14:57:53	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x31081c…
10-28 14:53:35	Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State	Jacksonville State	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x03967b…
10-28 14:16:56	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x085626…
10-28 14:15:28	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xf63a7d…
10-28 14:13:19	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x7a881d…
10-28 13:59:56	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd2c887…
10-28 13:55:02	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xfadbef…
10-28 13:54:50	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x8d478b…
10-28 13:45:19	Devils vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8820dc…
10-28 13:30:31	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6fb82f…
10-28 13:24:31	Flames vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x63684e…
10-10 16:44:01	Old Dominion vs. Appalachian State	Appalachian State	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x5bab8b…
10-10 13:56:04	Bucknell vs. Georgetown	Georgetown	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x7bcc64…
10-10 13:52:16	New Hampshire vs. North Carolina A&T	New Hampshire	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0df8e0…
10-10 10:08:07	East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel	East Tennessee State	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x49c81d…
10-10 07:52:15	Harvard vs. Cornell	Harvard	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xb7251a…
10-10 07:46:36	Davidson vs. Presbyterian	Presbyterian	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf6b916…
10-10 04:43:16	Idaho vs. Weber State	Idaho	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe56eb0…
10-10 02:06:36	San Diego vs. Butler	San Diego	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x1e18a5…
10-10 00:44:46	Idaho vs. Weber State	Idaho	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xebbf0d…
10-10 00:02:11	East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel	East Tennessee State	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe54346…
10-09 23:05:32	East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel	East Tennessee State	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x95feee…
10-09 22:52:20	Idaho vs. Weber State	Idaho	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe86a48…
10-09 22:43:43	Wofford vs. Elon	Elon	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xa8ae09…
10-09 21:45:37	Davidson vs. Presbyterian	Presbyterian	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb022e5…
10-09 20:13:16	Davidson vs. Presbyterian	Presbyterian	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x6e7b86…
10-09 20:00:25	South Carolina vs. Florida	Florida	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xbb787f…
10-09 19:12:11	Western Carolina vs. Mercer	Mercer	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xb0abfe…
10-09 19:08:29	Bucknell vs. Georgetown	Georgetown	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x12106d…
10-09 18:59:56	Southern Illinois vs. South Dakota	South Dakota	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x04723d…
10-09 18:02:08	Samford vs. Chattanooga	Chattanooga	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb6cb3c…
10-09 16:01:39	South Carolina State vs. Charleston Southern	South Carolina State	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x956a3b…
10-09 15:30:31	William & Mary vs. North Carolina Central	North Carolina Central	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x372658…
10-07 17:35:04	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta	Nuno Borges	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x42d66f…
10-07 16:53:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x389f9e…
10-07 10:55:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta	Nuno Borges	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xef18a5…
10-06 17:50:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe564c3…
10-06 15:14:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Vit Kopriva vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x9eaf77…
10-06 14:38:23	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier	Holger Rune	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x104841…
10-06 12:50:57	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xeb0f2f…
10-06 11:19:57	Braga: Johan Nikles vs Miguel Damas	Miguel Damas	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x10650f…
10-06 10:57:22	Palermo: Pierluigi Basile vs Massimo Giunta	Pierluigi Basile	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x57497a…
10-06 10:57:13	Palermo: Pierluigi Basile vs Massimo Giunta	Pierluigi Basile	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa738fd…
10-06 10:47:04	Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x3e825e…
10-06 10:38:36	Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xc4b169…
10-06 10:37:30	Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler	Felix Balshaw	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xe778a1…
10-06 10:37:28	Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler	Felix Balshaw	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x988fca…
10-06 10:35:04	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x181113…
10-06 10:30:45	Braga: Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut	Luka Mikrut	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4aa45f…
10-06 10:26:31	Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin	Daniil Glinka	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x48a5a5…
10-06 10:26:06	Wuning 3: Alibek Kachmazov vs Charles Broom	Charles Broom	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb3c43f…
10-06 10:24:06	Palermo: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Francesco Forti	Francesco Forti	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x49a7c1…
10-06 10:17:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Pavel Kotov vs Aleksandar Vukic	Pavel Kotov	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x23f9b1…
10-06 10:04:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9b673e…
10-06 10:04:12	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4f095f…
10-06 10:02:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4b038f…
09-19 14:33:29	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xafd629…
09-19 07:26:21	Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xd7c189…
09-19 07:01:48	Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe7bd92…
09-19 05:58:04	Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d4f4c…
09-19 04:44:43	Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x10d270…
09-19 00:27:21	Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xdb59a7…
09-18 23:50:48	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x7f923c…
09-18 23:50:43	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xe753ec…
09-18 23:11:46	Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x9d0e5b…
09-18 21:27:00	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xaa4209…
09-18 21:22:48	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Yankees	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0069e3…
09-18 21:05:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa10554…
09-18 19:14:45	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xfcd4c9…
09-04 23:35:36	SV Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc62bb2…
09-04 23:09:42	SC Paderborn 07 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x723f7e…
09-04 17:54:18	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xe30da1…
09-04 17:53:28	FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x853e28…
09-04 17:52:33	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xdbc01f…
09-03 14:11:07	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x38d0e8…
09-01 15:42:43	Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x33e473…
09-01 08:47:09	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9e6fbb…
09-01 08:46:31	Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x020d37…
09-01 08:38:36	VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x573e44…
07-24 18:58:13	will meta dip to 580 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x01c1dc…