Quick-Witted-Factory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

3,621

Trades

10,637

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-28 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 60% -$932

Other

12% 56% -$165

Sports

2% 58% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:45 UTC	62	$320	2,589	0	+2,589	Up	-$320	04-07 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	68	$201	428	0	+428	Down	+$34	05-07 14:03
Illinois State vs. Northern Illinois	37	$156	218	208	+10	Illinois State	-$41	09-13 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	39	$153	148	115	+33	Down	+$11	05-08 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	31	$129	121	98	+23	Down	+$4	05-08 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	35	$106	105	89	+16	Down	+$1	05-08 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	33	$101	100	84	+16	Down	+$0	05-08 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	41	$100	218	0	+218	Down	-$2	05-06 16:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 03:15 UTC	26	$86	153	0	+153	Down	+$8	07-20 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	38	$84	178	0	+178	Down	+$2	05-06 16:13
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet	40	$78	122	0	+122	Kyrian Jacquet	-$78	10-01 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	19	$78	91	43	+48	Up	-$8	05-08 14:01
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	9	$77	44	40	+4	Yes	+$3	10-23 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:55 UTC	28	$75	140	0	+140	Up	-$10	07-16 22:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:30 UTC	23	$73	138	0	+138	Down	-$2	07-19 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	30	$70	135	0	+135	Up	-$10	05-09 19:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:35 UTC	20	$67	121	0	+121	Up	-$9	07-19 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:20 UTC	33	$65	125	0	+125	Down	-$2	06-04 22:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 03:10 UTC	18	$64	112	0	+112	Up	+$4	07-20 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	18	$61	132	0	+132	Down	-$3	05-07 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	26	$60	132	0	+132	Down	-$6	05-07 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	22	$59	86	31	+55	Down	-$16	05-08 14:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:20 UTC	14	$58	107	0	+107	Up	-$7	07-08 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:10 UTC	26	$57	115	0	+115	Up	+$3	07-16 22:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	16	$57	115	0	+115	Down	+$3	07-01 01:43
Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall	6	$56	75	16	+59	Marshall	+$11	09-13 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	20	$56	114	0	+114	Up	-$8	05-06 21:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:50 UTC	17	$56	115	0	+115	Up	+$4	06-30 23:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:05 UTC	14	$54	93	0	+93	Down	-$6	07-23 01:08
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	26	$54	117	0	+117	Up	+$6	08-23 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x4675ed…
10-28 18:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xe9bb79…
10-28 18:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9cc920…
10-28 18:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd7c472…
10-28 18:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x9416c9…
10-28 18:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x099c93…
10-28 17:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd2b17c…
10-28 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd6c9c9…
10-28 17:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x717dc2…
10-28 17:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5cb92f…
10-28 17:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x327fb7…
10-28 17:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3b4d6d…
10-28 17:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x875384…
10-28 16:53:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x50aaaa…
10-28 16:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x3d7f8f…
10-28 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x54189f…
10-28 15:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x8f9133…
10-28 15:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xabe30b…
10-28 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x0f5492…
10-28 14:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa40dcf…
10-28 14:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7f55ff…
10-28 14:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x8e46d5…
10-28 14:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf4d092…
10-28 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb8daf1…
10-28 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x0da5eb…
10-28 13:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x78936b…
10-28 13:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe70c3d…
10-28 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x1a291e…
10-28 13:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9ae086…
10-28 13:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd32e3f…
10-28 13:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5e452c…
10-28 13:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x93193a…
10-28 12:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x4a82ed…
10-28 12:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x79c07c…
10-28 12:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x74f25e…
10-28 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x814a13…
10-28 11:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd7137f…
10-28 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x206215…
10-28 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0067bc…
10-28 10:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x89f58b…
10-28 10:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4abbf6…
10-28 10:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd6615e…
10-28 09:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xbf9e74…
10-28 09:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4518a2…
10-28 09:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x57990f…
10-28 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1e6bf0…
10-28 09:09:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1bef5b…
10-28 09:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfaeace…
10-28 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x7c0a9b…
10-28 08:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x143583…
10-28 07:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd67feb…
10-28 07:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0ab524…
10-28 07:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x63465f…
10-28 06:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x823bc1…
10-28 06:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xed8f83…
10-28 06:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xda1425…
10-28 06:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0xd5bff7…
10-28 06:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc060f3…
10-28 05:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x55714b…
10-28 05:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6f398c…
10-28 05:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xbdf29f…
10-28 05:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xa76fe7…
10-28 04:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x32b3ac…
10-28 04:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcbaa55…
10-28 04:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfea777…
10-28 03:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x5fadde…
10-28 03:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4135d4…
10-28 03:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x952e6a…
10-28 03:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x83fd7b…
10-28 03:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x07ae81…
10-28 03:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc23ae2…
10-28 03:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4a2b76…
10-28 03:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3dadc8…
10-28 03:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x6420ac…
10-28 02:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9408f4…
10-28 02:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x133d82…
10-28 02:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x8dbe64…
10-28 02:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x2b2572…
10-28 01:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x37a151…
10-28 01:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x0d6a90…
10-28 01:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb7b7ea…
10-28 01:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xce26bd…
10-28 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x5565c9…
10-28 00:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4ae6a7…
10-28 00:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6bafe4…
10-28 00:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc162ed…
10-27 23:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x042732…
10-27 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x159f41…
10-27 22:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa31009…
10-27 22:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x3c9af2…
10-27 22:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfbf08e…
10-27 21:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe4113a…
10-27 21:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9f60bb…
10-27 21:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x05bf61…
10-27 21:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x341a55…
10-27 20:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe9341d…
10-27 20:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe9dfd1…
10-27 20:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf237d7…
10-27 19:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xd51e20…
10-27 18:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x44eb5d…