Slim-Legislation-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-23 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 81% +$7

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$33	25	24	+1	open	—	04-26 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	05-21 02:10
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	3	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 16:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-21 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$25	17	16	+1	open	—	05-20 17:38
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-22 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$25	23	22	+1	open	—	05-22 16:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 22:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$25	21	20	+0	open	—	05-21 05:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$25	21	21	+1	open	—	05-21 01:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-21 05:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$25	18	17	+1	open	—	05-22 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	05-22 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 11:41
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$24	23	22	+1	open	—	05-22 02:53
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-21 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$24	14	14	-0	Up	+$4	05-14 04:14
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 05:59
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-21 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$24	24	23	+1	open	—	05-22 16:10
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 00:59
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 12:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x9f4e2f…
05-23 12:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x880244…
05-23 12:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x49199a…
05-23 12:22:50	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xad1f4e…
05-23 08:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x13bef2…
05-23 08:50:09	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcd68fe…
05-23 07:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x728fcf…
05-23 05:24:11	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x22f5d9…
05-23 04:39:07	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa2c74b…
05-23 00:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x8138bf…
05-23 00:07:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x55a584…
05-22 21:22:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x83c359…
05-22 20:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaf8671…
05-22 19:21:41	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x29d972…
05-22 17:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xbbd3e9…
05-22 16:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x009315…
05-22 16:21:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x6d9919…
05-22 16:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0xf4d0e0…
05-22 16:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x89e7ce…
05-22 15:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x71d638…
05-22 15:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0xa9bfb9…
05-22 15:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xf7df36…
05-22 13:40:28	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xf2d098…
05-22 13:33:38	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x093a89…
05-22 13:19:30	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x6de888…
05-22 11:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xce70ae…
05-22 11:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xd022b9…
05-22 11:18:53	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x46a1bd…
05-22 10:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x71e929…
05-22 10:37:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xc7311f…
05-22 06:38:18	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x0f0f38…
05-22 03:19:36	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x386956…
05-22 02:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xeef939…
05-22 02:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xabafca…
05-22 02:07:09	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xb222f9…
05-21 23:37:52	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd0344a…
05-21 23:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x02dae0…
05-21 22:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0bc321…
05-21 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf1ba97…
05-21 19:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x96e363…
05-21 18:24:56	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xd0f0a3…
05-21 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x45363c…
05-21 18:20:27	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x03bbf6…
05-21 18:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0fa3de…
05-21 17:38:44	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x56129f…
05-21 05:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xc04b6c…
05-21 05:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xd45192…
05-21 05:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x8fcff6…
05-21 05:08:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xa6ae3e…
05-21 04:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x04d2ad…
05-21 02:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x1bd1fc…
05-21 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xa2c3ab…
05-21 02:09:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x4d55e2…
05-21 02:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x1fe1bf…
05-21 01:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xed18f3…
05-21 01:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x072b60…
05-21 01:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x833310…
05-21 01:08:44	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0xe1b830…
05-21 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x14c3db…
05-21 00:37:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xac5b95…
05-21 00:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xf3103b…
05-21 00:23:49	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xbb30c5…
05-21 00:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xe043a6…
05-20 22:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9d1fa2…
05-20 22:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x3abf9e…
05-20 21:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd700af…
05-20 20:52:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x57f8cd…
05-20 19:52:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x16fb98…
05-20 18:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0xb87476…
05-20 18:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xd1da97…
05-20 18:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x1fd334…
05-20 17:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x3f70af…
05-20 17:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xc0b98b…
05-20 17:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x6f4ffe…
05-20 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd93142…
05-20 09:49:52	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdb229c…
05-20 05:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0xd80796…
05-20 05:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb73b4f…
05-20 04:08:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf20061…
05-20 02:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd6e256…
05-20 02:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6443eb…
05-20 01:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x557b93…
05-20 00:11:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xbe2ee6…
05-20 00:04:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x851da4…
05-19 23:21:11	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x38eee4…
05-19 22:37:52	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0ad32b…
05-19 21:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5cb14a…
05-19 21:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x422f32…
05-19 21:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x231a3c…
05-19 20:35:01	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc52bb8…
05-19 17:53:19	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x299189…
05-19 17:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xeef869…
05-19 17:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xeea56f…
05-19 17:10:04	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x512b23…
05-19 17:08:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x32fd9c…
05-19 17:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xded3a5…
05-19 17:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x132411…
05-19 17:04:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9b8a37…
05-19 11:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd2c53f…
05-19 11:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xdfafee…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	198	$10.6K	2,308	05-23 12:28
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	197	$68.2K	17,688	05-23 12:29
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	193	$65.4K	12,632	05-23 12:29
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	193	$47.8K	19,194	05-23 12:29
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	190	$49.6K	7,501	05-23 12:29
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	185	$48.4K	3,664	05-23 12:29
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	185	$16.4K	3,285	05-23 12:26
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	178	$21.2K	2,559	05-23 12:29