Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$347

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

606

Trades

1,604

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-14

last 10-29 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

68% 47% -$326

Crypto

14% 85% -$109

Politics

13% 0% -$2

Sports

3% 45% +$89

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+31	$30	92¢	$29	-$1	10-27 17:58
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+6	$5	88¢	$5	$0	10-27 18:35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+7	$4	48¢	$3	-$1	10-27 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	51	$872	5,130	5,130	-0	open	—	10-23 07:11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	13	$268	515	515	+0	open	—	10-24 08:04
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Belleville Senators	9	$251	163	163	+0	Laval Rocket	+$75	10-17 03:04
Chicago Stars FC vs. Houston Dash: O/U 2.5	5	$154	151	114	+37	Over	+$7	10-24 01:25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	6	$123	238	238	+0	open	—	10-23 07:57
lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 game2	11	$121	659	0	+659	Karmine Corp	-$121	10-16 19:09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	3	$115	166	0	+166	Yes	+$52	10-14 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	21	$105	199	0	+199	Down	-$105	10-20 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	11	$98	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	10-29 09:00
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	11	$95	200	0	+200	100 Thieves	-$74	10-16 13:12
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	8	$88	156	0	+156	Under	+$68	10-17 04:38
cs2 100t sng2 2026 10 16	6	$87	133	33	+100	100 Thieves	-$21	10-16 19:01
Exact Score: Atlas FC 0 - 3 CF América?	2	$84	189	94	+94	No	-$36	10-22 02:21
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs HOTU (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	48	$82	134	134	+0	HOTU	-$21	10-27 16:51
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Rockford IceHogs	7	$77	143	0	+143	Iowa Wild	+$66	10-16 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	8	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$6	10-23 03:35
Will RKS Rakow Czestochowa win on 2026-10-16?	2	$75	65	65	+0	Yes	+$54	10-16 18:57
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?	5	$73	76	76	+0	Yes	-$1	10-24 09:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	6	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	10-23 09:32
atp kasniko dzumhur 2026 10 17	6	$66	134	0	+134	Damir Dzumhur	-$66	10-16 19:15
Rochdale AFC vs. Grimsby Town FC: O/U 2.5	13	$65	148	0	+148	Over	-$65	10-20 14:34
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	5	$63	348	348	+0	open	—	10-23 08:18
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-10-23?	1	$62	78	0	+78	No	+$16	10-24 02:51
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	3	$62	97	0	+97	Yes	-$58	10-14 19:46
dota2 menawa ch1 2026 10 16 game1	6	$60	144	0	+144	CyberHero	-$60	10-16 11:24
itf silva7 cinall1 2026 10 16	6	$60	144	0	+144	Luna Maria Cinalli	-$23	10-16 13:31
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-10-16?	3	$57	35	35	+0	Yes	+$13	10-17 03:05
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	6	$56	170	170	+0	No	+$30	10-21 19:22
Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5	5	$55	115	0	+115	Over	-$55	10-16 19:16
SC Heerenveen vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5	5	$55	77	0	+77	Over	-$22	10-16 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:15:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7f7c1e…
10-29 09:15:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x702f9b…
10-29 09:15:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1f555c…
10-29 09:14:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x49edfb…
10-29 09:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa7fba8…
10-29 09:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa4cf88…
10-29 09:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x4704d8…
10-29 09:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x901ad3…
10-29 09:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb06ccb…
10-29 09:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1e4436…
10-29 09:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xf7877d…
10-29 09:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc956a9…
10-29 09:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x79ffa6…
10-29 09:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x3b28fc…
10-29 09:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x28bb87…
10-29 09:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x06dd53…
10-29 08:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x95145e…
10-29 08:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x32c874…
10-29 08:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6e6259…
10-29 08:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7301ef…
10-29 08:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9063bd…
10-29 08:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x484efb…
10-29 08:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x040156…
10-29 08:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa47f6e…
10-29 08:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x46b1a8…
10-29 08:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x752141…
10-29 08:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xe4b48f…
10-29 08:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xdf2391…
10-29 08:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfd1576…
10-29 08:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd598d2…
10-29 08:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x448735…
10-29 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xd08304…
10-29 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x91f651…
10-29 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x30e490…
10-29 08:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2780e8…
10-29 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xdb5f2a…
10-29 08:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xb80f89…
10-29 08:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xe6dd11…
10-29 08:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xca1a9e…
10-29 08:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x44f589…
10-29 08:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3176a2…
10-29 08:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xd9a76f…
10-29 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x38b715…
10-29 08:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x1771c7…
10-29 08:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd7816b…
10-29 08:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x929e96…
10-29 08:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x85105c…
10-29 08:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x3ec5ed…
10-29 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7761a5…
10-29 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x489436…
10-29 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x31c7c5…
10-29 08:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6ff839…
10-29 08:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xe7a26e…
10-29 08:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x42df75…
10-29 08:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x1ad92f…
10-29 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8f07b1…
10-29 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xf714c1…
10-29 08:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x97636e…
10-29 08:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x06c455…
10-29 08:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x78f934…
10-29 08:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x2f6a50…
10-29 08:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa29090…
10-29 08:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x462eb8…
10-29 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd15e56…
10-29 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7677a5…
10-29 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x5685a8…
10-29 07:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd005f9…
10-29 07:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x945e1b…
10-29 07:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8d3fa6…
10-29 07:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x1f49f6…
10-29 07:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x7c1f20…
10-29 07:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd36465…
10-29 07:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x750c94…
10-29 07:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x52361f…
10-29 07:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x7e637d…
10-29 07:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6f882d…
10-29 07:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd65816…
10-29 07:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb2d0cf…
10-29 07:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x5413ff…
10-29 07:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x54b69c…
10-29 07:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xc90051…
10-29 07:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6af229…
10-29 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbd94b7…
10-29 07:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x660343…
10-29 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xd3b86d…
10-29 07:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5274a0…
10-29 07:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc11bd3…
10-29 07:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c5d91…
10-29 07:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x11011c…
10-29 07:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x058917…
10-29 07:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5cb4d1…
10-29 07:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8229d2…
10-29 07:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0c6f6…
10-29 07:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3ecd5e…
10-29 07:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x634bf1…
10-29 07:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x020702…
10-29 07:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5ee104…
10-29 07:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x111581…
10-29 07:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe0e472…
10-29 07:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcc0905…