Terrible-Capability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

158

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$4.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-27 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 93% +$185

Other

1% 75% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$506	0	1,000	-1,000	Up	+$6	10-25 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$484	0	1,000	-1,000	Up	-$16	10-25 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$300	101	400	-299	Up	+$1	10-26 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$197	0	400	-400	Down	-$3	10-27 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$164	0	300	-300	Down	+$14	10-27 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$162	0	300	-300	Down	+$12	10-25 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$161	0	300	-300	Up	+$11	10-26 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$155	0	450	-450	Down	+$5	10-25 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$154	0	300	-300	Up	+$4	10-25 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$132	0	450	-450	Down	-$18	10-25 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$106	58	58	+0	Up	+$6	10-19 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$105	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	10-19 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$101	0	299	-299	Up	+$1	10-25 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	10-19 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	3	$83	0	200	-200	Up	-$17	10-26 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$82	0	160	-160	Down	+$2	10-26 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$70	0	140	-140	Up	+$0	10-26 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$60	9	100	-91	Down	-$3	10-19 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$54	0	100	-100	Up	+$4	10-20 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$54	0	100	-100	Up	+$4	10-19 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$52	0	100	-100	Down	+$2	10-19 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$52	0	100	-100	Down	+$2	10-20 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	10-19 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$50	0	100	-100	Up	+$0	10-19 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	2	$35	27	150	-123	Down	-$128	10-26 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$34	0	500	-500	Up	+$34	10-25 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$32	0	500	-500	Down	+$32	10-25 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	6	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	6	$27	21	21	+0	Up	-$3	10-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$26	0	200	-200	Down	+$26	10-24 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x8aa18b…
10-27 13:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x0b3d8a…
10-27 13:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x1ec2c0…
10-27 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xe55447…
10-27 12:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	195	3¢	$6	0xac03c2…
10-27 12:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xec6b9d…
10-27 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x33bacb…
10-27 10:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0x6dd08c…
10-27 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xd1cf03…
10-27 09:27:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xb89f53…
10-27 09:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xb8a765…
10-27 08:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xbd6fad…
10-27 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xc5f5e9…
10-26 23:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0x56bc6f…
10-26 23:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x2d1fe2…
10-26 23:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x96d341…
10-26 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xaa5aca…
10-26 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x1ebdbb…
10-26 18:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xbbe23d…
10-26 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x89af72…
10-26 17:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x27fec0…
10-26 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x4123d4…
10-26 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xdcbea7…
10-26 17:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	95	4¢	$4	0xf7b595…
10-26 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0xdd2bbc…
10-26 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0x72b65f…
10-26 16:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xd6b1a6…
10-26 16:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xefbec0…
10-26 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xcba6c2…
10-26 15:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x28ee33…
10-26 15:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xee7e09…
10-26 15:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x984399…
10-26 10:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x3ed840…
10-26 10:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2d0baa…
10-26 10:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xd19704…
10-26 10:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6b41dc…
10-26 10:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd67df9…
10-26 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x9b02e9…
10-26 09:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0xd2b579…
10-26 09:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xac915b…
10-26 09:14:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2921ce…
10-26 09:13:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xad380c…
10-26 08:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xafefba…
10-26 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x930850…
10-26 08:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x636e8d…
10-26 08:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xc6c49d…
10-26 08:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0xe6c92e…
10-25 22:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xb0fec5…
10-25 22:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xcdab05…
10-25 21:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x1073c3…
10-25 20:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xafbf37…
10-25 20:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0xdf540d…
10-25 20:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x884e79…
10-25 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0x19c404…
10-25 19:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	150	4¢	$7	0x971199…
10-25 19:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xa67b21…
10-25 17:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x61a8fe…
10-25 17:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	123	2¢	$3	0x413b95…
10-25 17:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x754019…
10-25 17:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	112	2¢	$2	0xfd591a…
10-25 16:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xd517c4…
10-25 16:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x482c37…
10-25 16:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0x203c15…
10-25 16:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x57197f…
10-25 16:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x833bb0…
10-25 16:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0xbe7ecf…
10-25 16:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	150	71¢	$106	0xd395f9…
10-25 16:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	150	15¢	$23	0x191f5d…
10-25 15:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xc99acd…
10-25 15:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x7811bb…
10-25 15:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x0ec6d3…
10-25 14:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0xcef691…
10-25 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xdfa9c4…
10-25 14:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xf6a7df…
10-25 14:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe8887a…
10-25 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5bbf62…
10-25 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	200	5¢	$11	0x1f31f8…
10-25 11:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xe6d033…
10-25 11:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x0d5d6d…
10-25 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xd2a66a…
10-25 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	448	2¢	$9	0x3e0674…
10-25 10:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	500	3¢	$17	0xe77cdf…
10-25 10:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	500	6¢	$32	0xaed98e…
10-25 10:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xd03114…
10-25 10:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x34c987…
10-25 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	140	2¢	$3	0xe85e1d…
10-25 09:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	360	2¢	$7	0xad2962…
10-25 09:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	500	2¢	$11	0x70623e…
10-25 09:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x3b6b6e…
10-25 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x02c8f9…
10-25 09:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	500	13¢	$64	0x45de7d…
10-25 09:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x042180…
10-25 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x8d15ca…
10-25 08:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	500	7¢	$34	0x566c90…
10-25 08:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x3d4747…
10-25 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x3a5f8f…
10-25 08:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	175	6¢	$11	0x0cf419…
10-25 07:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xa2490d…
10-25 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xf1592a…
10-24 22:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xf28937…