Avaricious-Ignorance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-03 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:36
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:17
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:42
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:24
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:54
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa8ba9a…
11-02 13:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88c7c4…
10-31 17:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x729887…
10-31 09:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4be0c0…
10-30 09:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xefc2a4…
10-29 07:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcebb0c…
10-28 05:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f1652…
10-27 07:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13a655…
10-26 05:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x03cd5d…
10-24 06:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49ebb9…
10-22 09:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b83e4…
10-20 04:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d4742…
10-19 07:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22878e…
10-18 07:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa16626…
10-17 07:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4605bb…
10-16 08:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1598ff…
10-15 07:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ccc3f…
10-14 07:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13b52b…
10-13 05:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc24342…
10-12 04:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d9b5…
10-11 03:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49343b…
10-08 07:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ecf9c…
10-07 08:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x220d1c…
10-06 07:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xece3d9…
10-04 08:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23519b…
10-03 04:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1ae8b…
10-02 07:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x143557…
10-02 03:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfff130…
10-01 07:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50f8ad…
09-30 09:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5dc54…
09-29 08:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8437b6…
09-28 08:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x702fb4…
09-27 08:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x988c44…
09-25 07:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33a982…
09-24 06:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefe8fb…
09-23 05:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92153f…
09-22 06:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7d9cae…
09-21 08:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3eeede…
09-20 03:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04f964…
09-19 07:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3140…
09-18 01:12:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c43d2…
09-17 03:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa4271…
09-16 08:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x107c9b…
09-15 23:36:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a536e…
09-15 02:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x990d01…
09-14 02:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fc374…
09-13 12:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28c3f4…
09-12 08:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f4ba5…
09-11 06:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a61b4…
09-10 01:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ad829…
09-09 01:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x261000…
09-08 01:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c8662…
09-07 01:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4174d1…
09-06 01:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e1e94…
09-05 09:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0d9bc…
09-04 08:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd60f77…
09-03 01:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96a581…
09-01 01:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0810f…
08-30 01:02:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf0e00…
08-29 05:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd1075…
08-28 01:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc575a6…
08-27 01:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4be54f…
08-26 02:04:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6451d6…
08-25 08:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3e52b…
08-24 07:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1cac1…
08-23 07:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff9bd4…
08-22 06:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ba5ce…
08-21 01:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3ac58…
08-20 05:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd99f9…
08-19 07:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x601b00…
08-18 01:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb55ece…
08-17 06:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68db8e…
08-16 10:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20ed6b…
08-15 02:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43011b…
08-14 06:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b8b19…
08-13 00:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x160dde…
08-12 06:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x440ffd…
08-11 00:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ed34e…
08-10 00:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9959e9…
08-09 00:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7345f0…
08-08 07:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb271ee…
08-07 00:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b2f92…
08-06 00:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf8bfb…
08-05 00:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cba85…
08-04 03:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa37d29…
08-03 01:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd94b70…
08-02 00:24:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94376e…
08-01 00:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69bdcd…
07-31 07:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fd770…
07-30 00:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5e876…
07-29 01:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6b727…
07-28 00:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc01d0…
07-27 07:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d2ec…
07-26 01:11:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6837a6…
07-25 00:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fbc92…
07-24 06:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x256a4a…
07-23 01:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1aaae6…
07-22 01:35:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e4778…
07-20 23:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x761cec…
07-19 22:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x584ae9…