Awkward-Armadillo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

587

lifetime

Volume

$103.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-13 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

69% 0% -$71,682

Other

28% 0% -$29,220

Crypto

3% 0% -$2,616

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	350	$63.6K	1,980,138	+1,980,138	No	-$63,597	02-20 17:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$15.7K	7,874,108	+7,874,108	No	-$15,746	03-16 19:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$8.1K	143,039	+143,039	Yes	-$8,085	02-20 14:10
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	108	$7.7K	1,743,035	+1,743,035	No	-$7,674	05-13 11:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$3.1K	408,571	+408,571	No	-$3,100	03-13 01:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$900	900,000	+900,000	No	-$900	04-29 13:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$900	900,000	+900,000	No	-$900	04-29 13:03
bitcoin above 66k on february 17	2	$883	6,402	+6,402	Yes	-$883	02-16 18:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$800	400,000	+400,000	No	-$800	04-29 13:05
will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	1	$551	8,000	+8,000	No	-$551	04-07 19:49
bitcoin above 62k on february 26	80	$383	12,805	+12,805	Yes	-$383	02-25 16:05
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	1	$300	23,689	+23,689	No	-$300	02-16 18:32
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20	1	$100	2,524	+2,524	No	-$100	02-16 18:27
bitcoin above 62k on february 16	1	$100	7,372	+7,372	Yes	-$100	02-15 21:52
bitcoin above 64k on february 16	1	$100	3,924	+3,924	Yes	-$100	02-15 21:52
bitcoin above 64k on february 17	1	$100	1,862	+1,862	Yes	-$100	02-15 21:51
bitcoin above 62k on february 17	1	$100	3,894	+3,894	Yes	-$100	02-15 21:50
bitcoin above 66k on february 16	1	$100	1,430	+1,430	Yes	-$100	02-15 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:03:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	197,672	0¢	$198	0x195856…
05-13 11:01:28	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	849,656	0¢	$850	0x9e2830…
05-11 14:30:36	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,970	0¢	$9	0x74a228…
05-11 14:29:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	310,387	0¢	$931	0x67fc18…
05-11 14:28:02	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	116,056	0¢	$232	0x621733…
04-29 13:05:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400,000	0¢	$800	0x8f9855…
04-29 13:03:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	900,000	0¢	$900	0x9358fa…
04-29 13:03:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	900,000	0¢	$900	0xab87ff…
04-10 10:59:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	370	2¢	$7	0xe86ee3…
04-10 10:57:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	518	2¢	$10	0xf2ead4…
04-10 10:57:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	16,000	2¢	$297	0xf9837a…
04-07 20:49:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,354	2¢	$52	0x35f335…
04-07 20:44:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x9cacbe…
04-07 20:44:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,163	2¢	$26	0x51c61f…
04-07 20:44:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3,862	2¢	$85	0xcbceb1…
04-07 20:44:31	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	141	2¢	$3	0x99eac1…
04-07 20:44:31	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$7	0x32f022…
04-07 20:39:09	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xa3c13f…
04-07 20:32:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0xa696d7…
04-07 20:32:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8a7acb…
04-07 20:30:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	168	2¢	$4	0x7dfee0…
04-07 20:25:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb9c628…
04-07 20:21:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x987300…
04-07 20:17:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	364	2¢	$8	0x5c30e1…
04-07 20:17:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x4c2172…
04-07 20:15:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x6f7e08…
04-07 20:15:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	198	2¢	$4	0x074869…
04-07 20:14:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xca9bfd…
04-07 20:13:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd53f22…
04-07 20:13:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x45454e…
04-07 20:11:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd9e40c…
04-07 20:11:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe5eca9…
04-07 20:11:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$4	0xf651ec…
04-07 20:11:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x36ba59…
04-07 20:11:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xea8d42…
04-07 20:10:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xf8c2a7…
04-07 20:10:31	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd6b3b1…
04-07 20:10:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3f2357…
04-07 20:10:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xb6d77b…
04-07 20:10:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x2787b8…
04-07 20:10:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x0ce627…
04-07 20:10:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xad0192…
04-07 20:10:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xebf8b3…
04-07 20:10:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$8	0xe7acfa…
04-07 20:10:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26,043	2¢	$562	0x362cd7…
04-07 20:10:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x2439e3…
04-07 19:59:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$200	0x453e75…
04-07 19:57:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x697bcd…
04-07 19:55:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x95603b…
04-07 19:54:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xef636f…
04-07 19:54:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x8dc9b0…
04-07 19:54:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x33c24e…
04-07 19:53:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xd07ec9…
04-07 19:53:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xfbdb81…
04-07 19:53:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x76cb05…
04-07 19:53:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9543da…
04-07 19:52:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x4c32b5…
04-07 19:52:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0226bf…
04-07 19:52:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x652973…
04-07 19:52:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	418	2¢	$8	0x84ea82…
04-07 19:52:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xe28a1b…
04-07 19:51:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$4	0x00669b…
04-07 19:51:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xf90947…
04-07 19:51:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xd05690…
04-07 19:51:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x92921e…
04-07 19:51:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x811478…
04-07 19:51:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2c738e…
04-07 19:50:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x73c65d…
04-07 19:50:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb37739…
04-07 19:50:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x8e47f8…
04-07 19:50:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x69d125…
04-07 19:50:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x0f3976…
04-07 19:50:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x068e84…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb5955c…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb22f35…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xafb824…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x9d48da…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x73378b…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x72aa5e…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x5e12a9…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5aedc0…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x50622c…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x40c544…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3af018…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	106,218	2¢	$1,997	0x246f1e…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x116ae5…
04-07 19:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0df597…
04-07 19:50:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	186	2¢	$4	0xdb6fab…
04-07 19:50:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	230	2¢	$5	0xd766ae…
04-07 19:50:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa733d7…
04-07 19:50:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x526bf2…
04-07 19:49:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	8,000	7¢	$551	0xb33b9b…
03-16 19:01:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,430,390	0¢	$1,430	0x41c8db…
03-13 01:09:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,112,131	0¢	$8,224	0xde2383…
03-13 01:09:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	385,872	0¢	$772	0x349610…
03-13 01:07:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	300,000	0¢	$1,200	0x7bf8a4…
03-11 09:46:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	28,991	2¢	$667	0x82baef…
03-10 14:09:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x7667a4…
03-10 14:08:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xdc71bb…
03-10 14:01:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x90afb2…