Honest-Mandolin 0x47c6a3…630feb
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
76
Trades
248
lifetime
Volume
$311
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$8
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-26 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
68% 34% -$22
Politics
24% 22% +$4
Crypto
6% 50% $0
Tech
2% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +20 $2 14¢ $3 +$1 10-03 19:35
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 Yes +8 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 10-13 03:26
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-13 16:33
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-22 10:46
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-13 13:13
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +111 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-01 00:55
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +1 $0 25¢ $0 +$0 09-14 21:54
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +38 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-26 11:40