Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$666

Unrealized P&L

+$1.06K

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

209

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$1.21K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 11-02 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

64% 47% -$221

Politics

29% 41% +$1,088

Sports

4% 29% -$244

Crypto

2% 59% -$2

Tech

1% 80% +$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+1,220	$141	99¢	$1.2K	+$1,062	11-01 19:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No		+32	$10	36¢	$11	+$1	11-01 22:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	77	$4.2K	4,812	4,812	+0	Yes	+$1,012	10-26 01:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	41	$1.1K	1,171	1,272	-101	Yes	-$18	01-31 08:57
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	19	$993	1,692	472	+1,220	open	—	11-01 19:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	4	$793	410	410	+0	Yes	-$1	01-31 11:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$703	537	537	+0	Yes	+$88	04-08 14:09
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	10	$578	566	184	+382	open	—	10-28 08:58
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	21	$487	678	678	+0	No	+$20	02-01 14:10
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	6	$451	238	238	+0	open	—	10-30 19:37
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	6	$440	291	291	+0	Yes	-$77	10-17 21:59
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	3	$435	223	222	+0	JD Gaming	+$9	04-10 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$395	551	551	+0	No	-$4	04-17 14:33
epl lee ars 2026 01 31 ars	2	$367	199	199	+0	Yes	+$7	01-31 15:39
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	10	$318	361	49	+312	open	—	10-28 13:24
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	16	$308	451	55	+396	open	—	10-30 00:27
euroleague madrid zvezda 2026 04 16	3	$282	1,046	0	+1,046	Real Madrid	-$282	04-16 15:40
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	7	$215	297	35	+263	open	—	11-02 02:28
nba nop bos 2026 04 10 total 227pt5	1	$210	411	0	+411	Over	-$210	04-10 22:23
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	8	$202	206	206	+0	Alcaraz	+$77	01-30 09:16
lol sc es 2026 04 09	1	$198	347	0	+347	Esprit Shōnen	-$198	04-09 13:17
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$197	338	338	+0	No	+$7	10-22 21:33
epl bri eve 2026 01 31 bri	2	$197	202	202	+0	No	-$164	01-31 16:54
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set totals 3pt5	2	$193	116	116	+0	Over 3.5	+$11	02-01 09:37
nba min orl 2026 04 08 total 229pt5	1	$191	415	0	+415	Over	-$191	04-08 20:57
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09 total 214pt5	1	$187	407	0	+407	Over	+$220	04-09 18:20
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set handicap home 2pt5	2	$160	104	104	+0	Djokovic	+$22	02-01 09:10
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	6	$158	184	184	+0	Djokovic	+$119	01-30 15:35
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Valencia	7	$157	114	114	+0	Valencia	+$52	10-02 20:59
cs2 mars ta 2026 04 13	4	$155	242	0	+242	Marsborne	+$87	04-13 20:44
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	6	$155	276	0	+276	open	—	11-01 19:28
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	15	$151	2,955	1,955	+1,000	No	-$79	01-31 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:31:06	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe82446…
11-02 02:28:30	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa3a1a8…
11-01 22:52:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xea58f4…
11-01 22:51:24	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xbbe314…
11-01 19:28:15	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdd4425…
11-01 19:27:22	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x80fbf3…
11-01 19:26:55	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x791c6d…
11-01 17:18:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	24	39¢	$10	0x15ae74…
11-01 16:37:09	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb78ee7…
11-01 16:37:01	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0x831d3e…
10-31 22:09:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1797f6…
10-31 21:56:21	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb6aeae…
10-31 21:47:52	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xdf1e89…
10-31 20:39:34	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x3c2d80…
10-31 19:41:58	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe132cf…
10-31 19:41:15	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xb66fd0…
10-31 19:40:22	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xcd6ba5…
10-31 19:40:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x076e2a…
10-31 19:37:01	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0xe3723a…
10-31 19:25:49	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xe781b5…
10-31 19:20:48	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xdfb564…
10-31 19:01:24	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xf73511…
10-31 18:56:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xc1a9d6…
10-31 18:47:07	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x772a94…
10-31 18:45:21	FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x22739e…
10-31 18:44:52	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	64¢	$39	0x3652f8…
10-31 17:28:33	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x60ecab…
10-31 17:24:51	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3a6180…
10-31 17:20:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0xc41736…
10-31 17:19:54	FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x9510e4…
10-31 17:19:21	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x8b3c2f…
10-31 17:14:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xc35b37…
10-31 16:23:51	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	52	57¢	$29	0x7543bd…
10-31 16:14:30	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x7ad697…
10-31 16:10:48	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x2d967f…
10-31 15:12:52	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0x6dcb82…
10-31 13:59:06	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xad3653…
10-31 10:21:40	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xcc4a05…
10-30 19:47:37	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Partizan	Partizan	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x59b5c9…
10-30 19:37:34	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0xbea058…
10-30 19:24:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0x734d9e…
10-30 17:56:21	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$43	0x84e1c4…
10-30 14:12:43	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xd70ffb…
10-30 14:12:22	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0x481738…
10-30 10:49:24	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6536a3…
10-30 10:19:19	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x1e72d7…
10-30 10:13:31	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x3b447b…
10-30 10:11:28	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0xcb5e90…
10-30 10:10:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xf7c2bf…
10-30 10:10:13	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xda3f4e…
10-30 07:14:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x3b7ce4…
10-30 00:27:09	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	43	68¢	$29	0x80962c…
10-30 00:00:24	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x3f262a…
10-29 21:30:48	Real Madrid vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x723f05…
10-29 21:26:58	Spread: Real Madrid (-3.5)	Fenerbahce	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf81e32…
10-29 21:22:19	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	89	66¢	$59	0xf9a627…
10-29 21:21:21	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	111	66¢	$73	0xd8c709…
10-29 21:21:09	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x41574a…
10-29 16:15:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	57	55¢	$31	0x62acfd…
10-29 16:04:32	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbf078f…
10-29 16:04:23	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc09cd3…
10-29 15:52:59	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xfbec1a…
10-29 15:51:32	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x6a249c…
10-29 15:49:44	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x21ce3e…
10-29 15:48:58	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	315	1¢	$4	0xca776f…
10-29 15:48:02	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x246793…
10-29 15:46:49	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xbc5a2b…
10-29 15:45:14	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x4e2406…
10-29 15:43:34	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xe335a7…
10-29 15:43:16	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x32749f…
10-29 15:38:26	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xe7ade6…
10-29 15:37:44	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0x0767fe…
10-29 15:29:58	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	315	3¢	$10	0x75b884…
10-29 13:52:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x5c261d…
10-29 13:16:31	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb46288…
10-28 21:35:38	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	36	57¢	$20	0x74bce4…
10-28 21:05:23	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0xf19ee3…
10-28 20:41:26	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x122f8e…
10-28 20:04:05	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2afe47…
10-28 19:40:11	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xeba908…
10-28 19:37:07	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne	BUY	25	54¢	$13	0x2f07f9…
10-28 19:00:17	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x985eb5…
10-28 18:53:55	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x34759b…
10-28 14:53:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x1f64ef…
10-28 13:24:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	162	78¢	$126	0xb5503c…
10-28 09:07:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xad1e53…
10-28 08:58:58	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xeb5a54…
10-28 08:20:55	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x771d8e…
10-28 08:20:22	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x7c90b8…
10-27 20:07:36	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1f9f63…
10-27 07:39:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x309dcf…
10-27 07:29:38	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xaa7781…
10-27 07:29:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x71efb3…
10-26 23:19:51	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xdc8d7f…
10-26 23:17:14	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0xb6799e…
10-26 23:11:51	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x8654d6…
10-26 13:14:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	81¢	$178	0xd754f8…
10-26 01:12:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,181	100¢	$1,178	0x125c6e…
10-25 15:20:26	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x3fe592…
10-25 09:20:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0x8c64ff…