Grounded-Guava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

114

Trades

1,629

lifetime

Volume

$6.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-01 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% +$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 347 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$49	53	53	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	4	$49	46	46	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 03:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$38	264	203	+61	Up	$-1	05-07 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$36	63	63	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 22:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$36	42	42	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	5	$36	103	0	+103	open	—	05-16 04:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$30	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	4	$30	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$29	39	39	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	6	$29	22	22	+1	open	—	04-27 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$28	29	58	-29	Down	+$8	05-07 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	4	$28	36	36	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$27	67	45	+22	Up	$-10	05-07 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$27	66	66	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 11:43
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$26	60	0	+60	open	—	06-01 13:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$26	42	42	+0	Up	$-3	05-12 11:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$26	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$26	23	23	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 06:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$26	41	41	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-5	05-11 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$23	41	41	+0	Down	$-5	05-11 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$23	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$23	42	19	+23	Up	$-11	05-07 14:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$22	24	24	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$22	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$22	26	26	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$22	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$21	24	24	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 09:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$21	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:21:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2b384…
06-01 17:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa553a4…
06-01 16:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a9dd2…
06-01 16:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xe45d4d…
06-01 16:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xc6adf2…
06-01 16:30:46	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x55c48d…
06-01 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x483447…
06-01 16:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfda313…
06-01 16:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x67e7b9…
06-01 16:22:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x918ee6…
06-01 16:17:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x323bc0…
06-01 16:15:36	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xac0a00…
06-01 16:10:11	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbc76be…
06-01 16:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x96b1c9…
06-01 16:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8b5376…
06-01 16:00:25	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcf5201…
06-01 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x30d674…
06-01 16:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x4a52ab…
06-01 16:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4deb54…
06-01 16:00:12	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3fa638…
06-01 16:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x32b0fd…
06-01 15:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0879a8…
06-01 15:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9bd1ea…
06-01 15:50:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2f2520…
06-01 15:50:12	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x35165c…
06-01 15:47:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3ffc87…
06-01 15:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa66349…
06-01 15:24:11	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xa7b0a8…
06-01 15:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3b80ba…
06-01 15:15:10	xrp updown 5m 1780326900	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1c49f0…
06-01 15:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdc98e9…
06-01 15:11:16	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed7db2…
06-01 15:10:36	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb2dd7b…
06-01 15:10:36	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x4e6e53…
06-01 15:10:34	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa654a9…
06-01 15:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x36a3dc…
06-01 15:05:35	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x73bc16…
06-01 15:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd2a570…
06-01 15:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x83c359…
06-01 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdcccf1…
06-01 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb1a57c…
06-01 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x0a3ab4…
06-01 14:54:47	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x18b281…
06-01 14:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc2d72f…
06-01 14:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1ce70c…
06-01 14:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf51c48…
06-01 14:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb8ae32…
06-01 14:45:32	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab1065…
06-01 14:36:23	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xba8dc2…
06-01 14:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x8f6a12…
06-01 14:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x2a9d42…
06-01 14:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb17964…
06-01 14:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xcaaebb…
06-01 14:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xb6f95e…
06-01 14:25:11	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x077e9e…
06-01 14:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8ae39f…
06-01 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4094d4…
06-01 14:15:28	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x1ef8be…
06-01 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5d6b7b…
06-01 14:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdbfdfb…
06-01 14:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcca30c…
06-01 14:06:34	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x39ad88…
06-01 14:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5ebc11…
06-01 14:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x248fa0…
06-01 14:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdb7ec2…
06-01 14:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe8982b…
06-01 14:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa53ee8…
06-01 14:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc7625d…
06-01 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x41e08f…
06-01 13:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4549bf…
06-01 13:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x89a8ea…
06-01 13:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xaf1912…
06-01 13:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x4cbd6a…
06-01 13:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x7dbd1f…
06-01 13:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0b1d54…
06-01 13:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd5e1e7…
06-01 13:45:26	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xc90896…
06-01 13:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf64cb3…
06-01 13:40:32	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xee56e2…
06-01 13:40:32	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x83a8c0…
06-01 13:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x83700e…
06-01 13:39:11	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x371c13…
06-01 13:30:10	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2e1d47…
06-01 13:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd53120…
05-24 07:11:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x4f3df2…
05-24 07:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xf0c350…
05-24 07:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd2a321…
05-24 07:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x29fd43…
05-24 07:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1a848a…
05-24 07:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1c6628…
05-24 07:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc22702…
05-24 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9fe83f…
05-24 07:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x60b7f9…
05-24 07:03:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2779fd…
05-24 07:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x87a049…
05-24 07:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x273496…
05-24 07:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x48db3c…
05-24 07:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3a6f56…
05-24 06:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe39bf1…
05-24 06:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xadb24d…