Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

1,179

Trades

4,854

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 03-15 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

58% 54% +$78

Politics

33% 56% -$58

Tech

4% 47% -$37

Crypto

4% 64% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 71% +$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	33	$224	332	332	+0	Yes	+$4	03-07 00:47
us strikes iraq by march 7	31	$158	265	265	+0	Yes	+$12	03-07 16:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	18	$120	113	113	+0	Yes	+$6	03-08 09:35
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	17	$119	130	130	+0	No	+$7	03-09 18:16
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	16	$116	130	130	+0	No	+$0	02-26 17:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	18	$114	161	161	+0	No	-$9	03-03 22:32
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	20	$110	271	293	-23	Yes	+$9	03-09 10:27
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	16	$109	94	94	+0	No	+$1	02-18 06:04
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	15	$108	80	80	+0	No	+$3	02-19 05:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$97	166	166	+0	Yes	-$3	03-09 09:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	17	$94	219	219	+0	Yes	-$8	03-08 09:49
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	18	$94	73	73	+0	No	+$3	02-23 18:31
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	13	$93	75	75	-0	No	+$3	03-15 22:53
will opinion launch a token on march 5	26	$90	250	250	+0	Yes	$0	03-02 07:06
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	15	$90	358	358	+0	Yes	-$2	02-14 08:45
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	12	$89	137	137	+0	No	+$7	03-06 07:11
will israel strike lebanon on february 20 2026	22	$89	91	91	+0	Yes	-$7	02-20 14:44
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	26	$89	152	152	+0	No	+$8	03-09 10:03
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	14	$87	202	202	+0	Yes	-$1	02-23 14:02
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	14	$86	57	57	-0	Yes	+$2	02-27 14:39
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	12	$86	85	85	+0	No	-$2	03-04 02:52
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	12	$84	105	105	+0	No	+$4	02-22 14:54
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	12	$80	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 03:35
bitboy convicted	17	$78	57	57	+0	No	+$2	03-09 18:48
will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	15	$76	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	02-22 06:25
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	15	$76	85	85	+0	Yes	$0	02-24 15:40
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	12	$75	71	71	+0	No	+$3	02-24 01:18
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	12	$75	79	79	+0	No	+$1	03-09 08:59
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	11	$74	51	51	-0	No	+$2	03-09 10:24
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	10	$74	48	48	+0	No	+$2	03-07 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-15 22:54:17	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa989de…
03-15 22:53:53	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x1ac8ea…
03-15 22:53:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x45ba7e…
03-15 22:53:03	no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x1a1806…
03-15 22:53:01	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa56a1b…
03-15 22:52:59	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xcd1d85…
03-15 22:52:57	will gold gc settle at 5000 5125 in march	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x9afcfa…
03-15 22:52:57	will gold gc settle at 5250 5375 in march	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x5c1915…
03-15 22:52:53	will gold gc settle at 5125 5250 in march	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x07dd57…
03-15 22:52:51	will iran strike turkey in march	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x9c800e…
03-15 22:52:47	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x84e432…
03-15 22:52:47	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x47e3ca…
03-15 22:52:47	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x0a1177…
03-15 22:52:45	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa30f48…
03-15 22:52:43	will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xae6a75…
03-15 22:52:43	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9b734b…
03-15 22:52:41	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8f94f3…
03-15 22:52:41	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x660af8…
03-15 22:52:39	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xc4540a…
03-15 22:52:39	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc28829…
03-15 22:52:39	will brazil join the board of peace	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xadfaa6…
03-15 22:52:37	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd84e31…
03-15 22:52:37	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa4e2a2…
03-15 22:52:33	Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x7b816f…
03-15 22:52:31	will rick scott vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x56b65f…
03-15 22:52:31	Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	No	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0x166ecf…
03-14 10:04:03	Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x7fcf4f…
03-12 02:14:21	Will Babymonster release a song in 2026?	No	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xbb37af…
03-11 19:35:15	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x3907e3…
03-11 17:59:59	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0xe64cd7…
03-11 17:37:47	amzn above 205 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	58	9¢	$5	0xcef41b…
03-11 16:28:13	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	18	20¢	$3	0xfd3774…
03-11 16:28:09	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 14 be between 2400000 and 2600000	No	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x762151…
03-11 16:28:07	Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0xcb75e3…
03-11 14:27:59	aapl above 255 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x1326b8…
03-11 14:24:55	Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xea796c…
03-11 12:20:03	meta above 640 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xfc6ed9…
03-11 12:20:03	meta above 640 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x8083de…
03-11 12:20:03	meta above 640 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x10b3cf…
03-11 11:27:21	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in march 993	No	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0x5fe29d…
03-11 11:01:55	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 14 be between 2400000 and 2600000	No	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x4d731a…
03-11 10:52:49	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in march 993	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd774e5…
03-11 09:15:39	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xd21dea…
03-11 08:14:17	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	No	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0x2e8244…
03-11 07:42:19	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0x7f29ce…
03-11 07:42:19	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x2186c8…
03-11 04:24:27	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xe389dd…
03-11 03:17:47	aapl above 255 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x3236c1…
03-11 00:56:53	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	SELL	149	11¢	$17	0x14aac9…
03-10 23:25:17	will silver si hit high 120 by end of march	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xc25a71…
03-10 23:24:25	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x86d7b1…
03-10 23:13:53	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x67ae9e…
03-10 23:09:23	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x56e743…
03-10 23:06:27	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0xba16f4…
03-10 23:03:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xc532ad…
03-10 22:47:11	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x83331b…
03-10 22:40:01	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x5d55d5…
03-10 22:39:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x8144e4…
03-10 22:20:41	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt1	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x74b31e…
03-10 22:20:41	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt1	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x34e62d…
03-10 22:17:39	will gas hit low 3pt15 by march 31	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xfdcfea…
03-10 22:17:39	nvda close above 180 on march 11 2026	No	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xc6b1f9…
03-10 20:00:45	nvda close above 180 on march 11 2026	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x00f4c2…
03-10 20:00:35	nvda close above 180 on march 11 2026	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x518194…
03-10 19:55:47	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x34c61b…
03-10 19:30:13	will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x48bb16…
03-10 18:35:27	will gas hit low 3pt15 by march 31	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x09d9ef…
03-10 18:32:33	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x572e50…
03-10 18:18:09	tsla above 380 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	117	13¢	$15	0xd33cf5…
03-10 18:17:33	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xc10721…
03-10 18:17:33	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x706ac2…
03-10 18:15:03	amzn above 220 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x1dd9c9…
03-10 18:15:01	amzn above 215 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x93b24e…
03-10 18:14:59	amzn above 210 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xafe319…
03-10 17:44:35	will gas hit low 3pt15 by march 31	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x3c9f09…
03-10 17:38:45	msft above 400 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xe50775…
03-10 17:33:35	nvda close above 180 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xd11b46…
03-10 17:12:53	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	No	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x5fadc7…
03-10 17:12:39	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9762a7…
03-10 17:10:45	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x23f2ee…
03-10 17:10:41	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	No	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xb3563c…
03-10 17:09:33	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x14fc8a…
03-10 16:50:35	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb3daa4…
03-10 16:48:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xa3bb72…
03-10 16:41:15	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x6bfb63…
03-10 16:39:17	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xc273a6…
03-10 16:37:15	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	11	61¢	$6	0x27227b…
03-10 16:35:29	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xdc1619…
03-10 16:25:57	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x29ab29…
03-10 16:25:53	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x18e88b…
03-10 16:07:07	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xb384d3…
03-10 15:57:47	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5af1aa…
03-10 15:56:05	will rick scott vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xcb82af…
03-10 15:47:07	will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x4d3f1d…
03-10 15:46:55	will sp 500 spx hit 7000 high in march 2026	No	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x3b72a6…
03-10 15:36:59	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 14 be between 2400000 and 2600000	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x2d1ea5…
03-10 15:33:09	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3bdae8…
03-10 15:20:03	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xd5b31d…
03-10 15:19:59	msft above 400 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xbee366…
03-10 15:18:19	nvda close above 175 on march 11 2026	No	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0xdd3dbb…