Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-23

last 10-10 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 32% +$48

Other

33% 0% -$22

Politics

3% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No		+10	$5	57¢	$6	+$1	10-05 16:25
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes		+10	$6	43¢	$4	-$1	10-05 21:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	5	$149	140	60	+80	Yes	-$12	10-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$78	69	69	+0	Up	+$43	10-10 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$53	47	47	+0	Down	+$33	10-10 15:07
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	2	$52	100	0	+100	Yes	-$2	10-03 01:52
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of October 5 2026?	3	$51	40	40	+0	No	-$3	10-05 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$47	58	58	+0	Down	+$7	10-08 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$43	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$39	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	10-08 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$35	71	71	+0	Up	+$15	10-08 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	10-10 16:21
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-06 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$30	28	28	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	10-10 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	10-08 17:04
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-10 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	10-10 17:18
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	4	$19	30	10	+21	open	—	10-05 21:32
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-10 11:43
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-05 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$17	42	42	+0	Up	-$3	10-08 18:30
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$16	14	14	+0	Up	+$6	10-08 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	10-10 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$15	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	10-10 14:33
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	10-07 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$13	56	56	+0	Up	+$3	10-10 16:43
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	10-10 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	10-08 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xae680c…
10-10 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50149b…
10-10 22:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe63d8c…
10-10 22:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x68a46c…
10-10 22:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x57a9c7…
10-10 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf9ba25…
10-10 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbcee71…
10-10 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xa114b0…
10-10 17:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3aefee…
10-10 16:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	56	14¢	$8	0x1f3a40…
10-10 16:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x914f2a…
10-10 16:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x6a0100…
10-10 16:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x39f85e…
10-10 15:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	93¢	$43	0x6c9066…
10-10 15:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x46d2d3…
10-10 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x000851…
10-10 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x53b306…
10-10 14:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x51b915…
10-10 14:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x92ac6b…
10-10 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x722345…
10-10 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x186bf2…
10-10 14:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0b63af…
10-10 14:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x53ae79…
10-10 14:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf89c13…
10-10 13:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x61b19c…
10-10 13:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xa45256…
10-10 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x314b3c…
10-10 13:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb6704e…
10-10 11:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb04317…
10-10 11:44:46	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x0230ab…
10-10 11:44:18	Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x879151…
10-10 11:43:58	Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x867c94…
10-10 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	69	88¢	$61	0x961fa4…
10-10 11:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0xd6d02e…
10-10 11:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x912b18…
10-10 11:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x61140c…
10-10 11:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x32a406…
10-10 10:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6b27a…
10-09 04:50:16	Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x2741a3…
10-09 04:23:16	Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x69df22…
10-08 19:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	39	60¢	$24	0x468e5a…
10-08 19:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x3b1955…
10-08 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1ce8a0…
10-08 19:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	71	35¢	$25	0x9f8dfc…
10-08 19:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xae4eb4…
10-08 18:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x075a19…
10-08 18:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc6bcb8…
10-08 18:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0xef2e64…
10-08 18:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x296f28…
10-08 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3df97f…
10-08 17:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xb2364e…
10-08 17:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0x066cb1…
10-08 17:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9499fb…
10-08 17:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4210db…
10-08 17:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8bf658…
10-08 17:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xa68e5d…
10-08 17:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe1f1c7…
10-08 17:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa67f02…
10-08 17:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x8626fe…
10-08 17:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5dffd7…
10-08 17:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0b4d5c…
10-08 17:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x95d457…
10-08 16:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x44fecf…
10-08 16:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdb14f4…
10-08 16:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x39d1ca…
10-08 16:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x705984…
10-08 16:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xff1f20…
10-08 16:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xb80c03…
10-08 16:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9cc04e…
10-08 16:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfd1c0d…
10-08 16:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x818c75…
10-08 16:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7c081e…
10-08 03:08:38	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xdc4b18…
10-08 01:21:38	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1f7036…
10-08 00:09:13	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x1b636e…
10-07 21:48:40	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xffbe1f…
10-07 19:07:39	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x395ff2…
10-07 14:10:32	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa46566…
10-07 13:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe42c16…
10-07 13:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe8716d…
10-07 04:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xd32696…
10-07 04:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x98203c…
10-06 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x83656a…
10-06 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc32748…
10-06 18:08:11	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x0caaee…
10-06 16:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xced2c0…
10-06 16:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd73a43…
10-06 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xeecacc…
10-06 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd90072…
10-06 15:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3388f7…
10-06 15:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd018b0…
10-06 15:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ed875…
10-06 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x48f760…
10-06 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x811337…
10-06 13:20:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb0c0bd…
10-06 09:11:04	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe1176f…
10-06 08:28:13	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5af5bc…
10-06 07:03:49	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x879c6e…
10-06 04:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xfe8c1b…
10-06 04:21:34	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x7a751c…