Rare-Howitzer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-19 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 42% $-4

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	7	$190	162	157	+5	open	—	04-25 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776436800	3	$116	79	76	+3	open	—	04-17 14:45
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	7	$104	6,936	0	+6,936	open	—	05-15 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	9	$103	516	482	+34	open	—	04-27 13:55
btc updown 5m 1776438600	3	$93	55	54	+1	open	—	04-17 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	8	$87	89	85	+4	open	—	04-26 21:45
btc updown 5m 1776441000	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-17 15:55
btc updown 5m 1776438300	2	$56	38	36	+1	open	—	04-17 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	6	$55	113	107	+6	open	—	04-26 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$53	70	68	+2	open	—	04-26 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	04-26 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	04-27 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$48	95	89	+6	open	—	04-27 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$47	30	30	+1	open	—	04-25 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$45	43	42	+2	open	—	04-27 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$45	43	42	+2	open	—	04-27 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$42	38	37	+1	open	—	04-25 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$42	38	37	+1	open	—	04-26 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$40	77	0	+77	open	—	04-27 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776439200	1	$40	74	0	+74	open	—	04-17 15:20
btc updown 5m 1776440700	1	$40	63	0	+63	open	—	04-17 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	04-26 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$39	41	39	+2	open	—	04-27 12:36
btc updown 5m 1776437400	3	$35	34	15	+19	open	—	04-17 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	6	$35	46	44	+2	open	—	04-26 16:55
btc updown 5m 1776449700	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 18:20
btc updown 15m 1777052700	5	$31	41	39	+2	open	—	04-24 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	9	$30	31	30	+1	open	—	04-25 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	04-27 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-26 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0f1f5d…
05-19 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x657362…
05-19 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5e7f17…
05-19 13:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7ab39f…
05-19 11:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0df423…
05-18 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x46878e…
05-18 18:29:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x59597b…
05-18 18:28:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb03a11…
05-18 18:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x60b41f…
05-18 18:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5254a4…
05-18 14:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x7e852e…
05-18 14:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8a8dc7…
05-18 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa26bb7…
05-17 21:01:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x6368c2…
05-16 18:41:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6c8531…
05-15 16:05:32	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x1a53d1…
05-15 12:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xa98631…
05-15 12:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb21db1…
05-15 11:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfba5cd…
05-15 11:42:17	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	2,164	1¢	$30	0xdeb949…
05-14 19:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfb306a…
05-14 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x85e059…
05-14 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5c71f2…
05-14 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd99433…
05-14 18:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x5b589a…
05-14 18:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x765b51…
05-14 17:00:25	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x6aeb03…
05-14 15:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x265555…
05-14 15:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xdb45f2…
05-14 15:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x3c758d…
05-14 15:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x3993cc…
05-14 15:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x1425f5…
05-14 15:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x23a20c…
05-14 15:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1046df…
05-14 15:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xef8e9b…
05-14 15:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xc4015f…
05-14 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8efd57…
05-14 15:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x70a946…
05-14 15:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x5f88c7…
05-14 15:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9d8b2d…
05-14 15:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe8d6f1…
05-14 14:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x2f99e0…
05-14 14:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x198ef8…
05-14 14:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x95b860…
05-14 14:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x992617…
05-14 14:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x62dd3d…
05-14 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x8d7b6a…
05-14 14:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x308bfc…
05-14 14:47:16	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	471	2¢	$8	0x875beb…
05-12 19:13:11	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3af662…
05-12 19:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x835bfa…
05-12 19:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1aae31…
05-12 18:59:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x12c4e7…
05-12 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x558c6e…
05-12 18:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf8eabc…
05-12 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2bcb7f…
05-12 18:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf9b3b9…
05-12 18:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x174df8…
05-12 18:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x38c20f…
05-12 16:36:47	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	1,466	2¢	$30	0x4d38cc…
05-12 13:57:06	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xd00127…
05-12 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xbe7ced…
05-12 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x67acd0…
05-12 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xee82b5…
05-12 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6afbb8…
05-12 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x695cca…
05-12 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x266bb0…
05-12 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x17ffe5…
05-12 13:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x7ac202…
05-12 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x14e927…
05-12 13:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfa63a7…
05-12 13:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd1303b…
05-12 13:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x58962a…
05-12 13:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x82e768…
05-12 13:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x76a89a…
05-12 13:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x673ffe…
05-12 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x74b12b…
05-12 13:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x987a6b…
05-11 19:18:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x208901…
05-04 21:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb4cbaf…
05-04 21:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x942176…
05-04 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xdc6b93…
05-04 14:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x15fa68…
05-04 14:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7b0b31…
05-04 14:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x9d865d…
05-04 14:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4bd6de…
05-04 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x5fe0f4…
05-04 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x3029d9…
05-04 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2a9170…
05-04 12:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x7e217d…
05-04 12:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x22b2bf…
05-04 12:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xf9d088…
05-04 12:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0b7af4…
05-04 12:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e1f7e…
05-03 21:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7d3a83…
05-03 21:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfde353…
05-03 21:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x2cbe42…
05-03 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf0eeaf…
05-03 21:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x700e25…
05-03 21:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5511f5…