Surprised-Legacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

105

Trades

2,371

lifetime

Volume

$219.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 09-30 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 22% +$131,984

Other

10% 0% -$13,082

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	472	$176.3K	399,801	381,066	+18,735	No	+$136,651	06-04 00:28
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	301	$13.1K	63,316	743	+62,573	No	-$12,665	09-30 15:34
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	9	$9.0K	10,091	10,091	+0	open	—	08-06 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	10	$1.1K	957	957	+0	Down	+$385	05-21 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:25 UTC	16	$1.1K	1,509	1,000	+509	Down	+$1,028	07-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	5	$950	797	797	+0	Down	+$624	05-21 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$832	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$168	05-30 21:48
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	21	$809	7,010	1,428	+5,582	No	-$95	07-13 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$747	1,488	488	+1,000	Down	+$151	05-21 12:59
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	39	$721	3,951	437	+3,514	No	-$671	07-13 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	37	$720	2,116	0	+2,116	Up	-$720	05-30 22:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	5	$647	500	500	+0	Down	+$53	06-04 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$630	432	432	+0	Down	+$226	05-21 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	7	$601	1,600	599	+1,001	Down	+$139	07-13 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	88	$583	2,162	0	+2,162	Up	-$583	05-30 21:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:45 UTC	119	$524	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	-$524	06-04 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	55	$480	1,161	0	+1,161	Up	-$480	05-30 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:25 UTC	137	$440	4,997	0	+4,997	Up	-$440	06-04 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$420	4,751	0	+4,751	Down	-$420	05-21 12:44
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?	6	$404	500	500	+0	open	—	09-21 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$377	269	269	+0	Down	+$147	05-22 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	57	$350	10,283	0	+10,283	Up	-$350	07-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$340	1,011	0	+1,011	Down	+$171	05-21 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$340	2,925	0	+2,925	Up	-$340	05-21 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$319	1,345	0	+1,345	Down	-$319	05-21 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 10:25 UTC	17	$280	1,675	0	+1,675	Up	-$280	07-18 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 16:00 UTC	2	$276	1,000	500	+500	Down	+$101	07-13 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	11	$257	5,746	0	+5,746	Up	-$257	05-21 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	7	$255	640	0	+640	Up	-$255	05-22 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	181	$247	11,123	0	+11,123	Up	-$247	05-30 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 15:34:24	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,240	0¢	$7	0xa98fc1…
09-30 14:37:12	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0x0a3188…
09-30 14:16:08	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	219	0¢	$1	0xd73871…
09-29 11:40:56	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$105	0xf32d62…
09-29 02:33:56	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	429	3¢	$13	0x7740ad…
09-28 21:09:38	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	818	3¢	$25	0x53a08a…
09-28 21:09:11	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	390	3¢	$12	0x2a0ff6…
09-28 21:08:44	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	364	3¢	$11	0x788b78…
09-28 20:58:33	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xe47f25…
09-28 20:58:00	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x96715f…
09-28 20:11:41	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0x1443ce…
09-28 20:09:09	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x43c7da…
09-28 19:42:23	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,788	3¢	$54	0xd2a5fe…
09-28 16:28:18	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x59f5f7…
09-28 15:40:00	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x89e633…
09-28 15:33:11	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xf88696…
09-28 15:30:30	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	134	5¢	$7	0x7aa3b6…
09-28 15:29:57	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x206307…
09-28 15:29:50	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xea5450…
09-28 15:11:14	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xa2ac75…
09-28 13:35:00	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	550	10¢	$53	0x085669…
09-28 13:34:44	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	600	9¢	$54	0x278e3f…
09-28 13:34:36	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x87372c…
09-28 13:34:30	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,850	7¢	$129	0xf92e8e…
09-28 04:37:41	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,409	6¢	$85	0x6d3b62…
09-28 04:18:14	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x88ff08…
09-28 02:22:30	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xc39b19…
09-25 14:00:02	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	556	14¢	$76	0x312f8b…
09-24 21:37:02	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x3bd89a…
09-24 21:36:18	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xfa0d17…
09-24 21:35:30	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,457	19¢	$277	0xf76877…
09-24 19:57:59	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd9d6a4…
09-24 19:57:17	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0x7234d6…
09-24 19:56:45	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$89	0xd40eed…
09-24 19:56:38	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	17¢	$340	0x6bfe77…
09-23 17:59:53	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	220	26¢	$57	0x5aa14d…
09-21 19:08:55	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x027b6c…
09-21 19:08:16	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2953fd…
09-21 18:54:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x80798d…
09-21 18:54:24	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd6d636…
09-21 18:54:24	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x591436…
09-21 18:27:43	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x7b1202…
09-21 18:27:15	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0xaf863d…
09-21 18:17:37	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x6039a5…
09-21 16:38:51	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x6687a0…
09-21 15:04:22	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	700	35¢	$245	0xb86913…
09-21 15:04:12	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x457308…
09-21 15:03:34	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	285	32¢	$92	0xe825eb…
09-21 15:02:49	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	95	33¢	$31	0xb49331…
09-21 14:23:33	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x2fe01b…
09-21 14:13:53	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	165	33¢	$54	0x4c9de6…
09-21 14:10:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x020380…
09-21 13:58:53	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x428884…
09-21 13:57:36	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xaae1b3…
09-21 13:56:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x9022b4…
09-21 13:56:14	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa4656c…
09-21 13:54:47	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb52ad6…
09-21 13:54:38	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x6af60b…
09-21 13:54:15	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xb414a2…
09-21 13:53:21	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x2cf55c…
09-21 13:53:17	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x5e55dd…
09-21 13:51:38	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xbe0916…
09-21 13:39:29	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x46eaed…
09-21 13:37:06	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1a8f62…
09-21 13:36:20	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb7c967…
09-21 13:36:15	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0a2a0f…
09-21 12:34:44	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0e4880…
09-21 12:30:47	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x846c3e…
09-21 12:25:39	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x5d1b75…
09-21 12:25:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa9e71b…
09-21 12:25:11	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x5188bb…
09-21 12:25:05	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xbbf937…
09-21 12:24:56	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x66107e…
09-21 12:24:50	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x6073ff…
09-21 12:22:15	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x063c0d…
09-21 12:21:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x733d38…
09-21 12:18:29	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x73a934…
09-21 12:16:20	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	365	35¢	$128	0x0cc84c…
09-21 12:14:59	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x72462a…
09-21 12:14:24	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xe33d17…
09-21 12:12:48	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x4af782…
09-21 12:12:20	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xdc5109…
09-21 12:11:47	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x270da8…
09-21 12:10:20	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x78d4e8…
09-21 12:09:06	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x251d6c…
09-21 12:07:51	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xbc11cf…
09-21 12:06:30	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x6f77b5…
09-21 12:06:09	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xf96cf0…
09-21 12:05:56	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x4e256c…
09-21 12:05:53	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x47bfe7…
09-21 12:05:23	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0xb26973…
09-21 04:58:24	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x63ae63…
09-20 22:08:41	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xe63cdb…
09-20 22:07:55	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe70d25…
09-20 22:06:41	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x43870d…
09-20 22:05:46	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x467d51…
09-20 22:04:14	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x15af13…
09-20 21:26:37	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0c704…
09-20 21:25:05	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe7764b…
09-20 21:24:31	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4515ca…