Fearful-Violation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-06 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1776836700	2	$61	42	40	+2	open	—	04-22 06:00
btc updown 15m 1776832200	2	$59	40	39	+1	open	—	04-22 04:40
xrp updown 15m 1776850200	2	$58	40	39	+1	open	—	04-22 09:37
eth updown 15m 1776907800	2	$57	38	37	+1	open	—	04-23 01:43
btc updown 15m 1776921300	2	$57	40	38	+1	open	—	04-23 05:25
btc updown 15m 1776912300	2	$56	40	38	+1	open	—	04-23 02:53
btc updown 15m 1776925800	2	$55	38	37	+1	open	—	04-23 06:41
xrp updown 15m 1776906000	2	$55	37	36	+1	open	—	04-23 01:11
btc updown 15m 1776915900	2	$54	39	38	+1	open	—	04-23 03:57
eth updown 15m 1776850200	2	$53	37	36	+1	open	—	04-22 09:37
xrp updown 15m 1776951000	3	$51	41	39	+1	open	—	04-23 13:43
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 02:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$41	27	27	+0	Down	+$11	05-06 02:14
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 00:59
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-24 11:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 03:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$30	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-24 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 01:27
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 03:44
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 11:43
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 12:59
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	6	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 02:03
btc updown 15m 1776948300	2	$26	24	22	+1	open	—	04-23 12:59
sol updown 15m 1776833100	2	$23	16	16	+1	open	—	04-22 04:55
btc updown 15m 1776843000	2	$23	16	15	+1	open	—	04-22 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 09:14:57	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xec7d26…
06-06 08:59:55	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2cabaf…
06-06 08:30:27	eth updown 15m 1780734600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xae7e59…
06-06 08:29:30	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x090d9c…
06-06 07:26:25	btc updown 15m 1780731000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c388c…
06-06 07:14:15	eth updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f6425…
06-06 07:13:45	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x389380…
05-26 02:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x6d2d24…
05-26 02:44:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xe73e75…
05-26 02:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x150522…
05-26 02:26:10	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x1bc63c…
05-26 00:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xcbe1f4…
05-26 00:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3f1288…
05-26 00:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd8d6d4…
05-26 00:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x8d0a31…
05-26 00:39:53	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0d0389…
05-26 00:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xa29928…
05-26 00:19:37	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x8f6def…
05-26 00:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x2a9736…
05-25 14:11:36	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb14c4c…
05-25 14:00:14	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0ac6ea…
05-25 13:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe6a132…
05-25 12:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd06955…
05-25 12:59:15	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0610ad…
05-25 12:59:06	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x5ffb8f…
05-25 12:37:33	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2ba3f6…
05-25 10:59:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8905e6…
05-25 10:59:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x225ea1…
05-25 10:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd7b5a4…
05-25 10:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5b915…
05-25 10:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x236fdc…
05-25 10:41:17	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcea9a6…
05-25 08:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe6ecf0…
05-25 04:54:52	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x7a5dfe…
05-25 03:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x932cb3…
05-25 03:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x655c00…
05-25 03:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb45ac8…
05-25 02:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xd5b4c7…
05-25 01:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7c0a96…
05-25 01:27:37	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xff431c…
05-25 01:27:33	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x568564…
05-25 01:11:27	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x648de8…
05-24 11:43:50	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf39499…
05-24 11:43:41	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb97998…
05-24 11:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc73733…
05-24 11:24:26	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x747dd1…
05-24 11:22:24	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc40679…
05-24 10:23:39	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9e5fe7…
05-24 09:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd8914c…
05-24 08:55:55	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdfc16c…
05-24 07:35:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd7fc2f…
05-24 07:05:42	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc8dd49…
05-24 06:39:58	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc4063b…
05-24 05:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4d94bd…
05-24 04:23:20	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x40674c…
05-24 00:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe4caf1…
05-24 00:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x66abf2…
05-24 00:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd847da…
05-24 00:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x265bb4…
05-23 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xae2f86…
05-23 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x504f60…
05-23 23:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x40931f…
05-23 12:53:44	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x273e00…
05-23 12:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x843da8…
05-23 03:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x87a536…
05-13 08:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3bc5d6…
05-09 12:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x88ef39…
05-09 12:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x237296…
05-09 12:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcba571…
05-06 06:08:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb7d071…
05-06 05:53:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0ca67e…
05-06 05:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x842fe4…
05-06 05:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x680c27…
05-06 05:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x5184d6…
05-06 03:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x1a426d…
05-06 03:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9dd21f…
05-06 03:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe21f8a…
05-06 02:14:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xea2320…
05-06 01:55:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc13cad…
05-05 22:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x389880…
05-05 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6ff313…
05-03 00:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9fd90e…
05-03 00:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x56bcc7…
05-03 00:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfb5a55…
05-03 00:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x6bea1b…
05-03 00:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x426332…
04-23 14:13:46	xrp updown 15m 1776953700	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xdb4d57…
04-23 14:11:12	btc updown 15m 1776953700	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xb49de5…
04-23 13:47:22	xrp updown 15m 1776951900	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x826309…
04-23 13:43:02	xrp updown 15m 1776951000	Up	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x433eba…
04-23 13:42:32	xrp updown 15m 1776951000	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xea15d4…
04-23 13:27:52	xrp updown 15m 1776951000	Up	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x634eec…
04-23 12:59:26	btc updown 15m 1776948300	Up	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x9132e9…
04-23 12:46:46	btc updown 15m 1776948300	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd33bfd…
04-23 12:25:06	btc updown 15m 1776947400	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x132713…
04-23 06:41:24	btc updown 15m 1776925800	Down	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0x7f8d1a…
04-23 06:41:06	btc updown 15m 1776926700	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x084a09…
04-23 06:24:34	btc updown 15m 1776925800	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xdc81d7…
04-23 05:27:04	btc updown 15m 1776922200	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x683ca7…
04-23 05:25:46	btc updown 15m 1776921300	Down	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x97b745…