Fearful-Violation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-02 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1776836700	2	$61	42	40	+2	open	—	04-22 06:00
btc updown 15m 1776832200	2	$59	40	39	+1	open	—	04-22 04:40
xrp updown 15m 1776850200	2	$58	40	39	+1	open	—	04-22 09:37
eth updown 15m 1776907800	2	$57	38	37	+1	open	—	04-23 01:43
btc updown 15m 1776921300	2	$57	40	38	+1	open	—	04-23 05:25
btc updown 15m 1776912300	2	$56	40	38	+1	open	—	04-23 02:53
btc updown 15m 1776925800	2	$55	38	37	+1	open	—	04-23 06:41
xrp updown 15m 1776906000	2	$55	37	36	+1	open	—	04-23 01:11
btc updown 15m 1776915900	2	$54	39	38	+1	open	—	04-23 03:57
eth updown 15m 1776850200	2	$53	37	36	+1	open	—	04-22 09:37
xrp updown 15m 1776951000	3	$51	41	39	+1	open	—	04-23 13:43
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 02:59
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$41	27	27	+0	Down	+$11	05-06 02:14
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 00:59
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-24 11:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 03:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$30	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-24 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 01:27
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 03:44
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 11:43
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 12:59
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	6	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 02:03
btc updown 15m 1776948300	2	$26	24	22	+1	open	—	04-23 12:59
sol updown 15m 1776833100	2	$23	16	16	+1	open	—	04-22 04:55
btc updown 15m 1776843000	2	$23	16	15	+1	open	—	04-22 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:21:29	btc updown 15m 1782962100	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x725547…
07-02 02:59:58	btc updown 15m 1782962100	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x26d47d…
07-02 01:31:17	btc updown 15m 1782956700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7ec48e…
07-02 00:25:23	sol updown 15m 1782952200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa62eee…
07-01 23:05:31	xrp updown 15m 1782947700	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc32d88…
07-01 22:45:46	btc updown 15m 1782946800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e9a31…
07-01 22:45:46	btc updown 15m 1782946800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x126043…
06-29 00:08:04	btc updown 15m 1782691200	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7f2b5f…
06-28 23:57:59	btc updown 15m 1782690300	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfcbafe…
06-28 23:41:08	btc updown 15m 1782691200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f31b2…
06-28 23:37:28	btc updown 15m 1782690300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf4cb6…
06-28 23:25:29	btc updown 15m 1782688500	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x97ae5e…
06-28 23:07:41	btc updown 15m 1782687600	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x835a12…
06-28 23:07:34	btc updown 15m 1782687600	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb5f0be…
06-28 23:07:29	btc updown 15m 1782687600	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x7642ad…
06-28 22:59:29	btc updown 15m 1782688500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf9d626…
06-28 22:57:44	btc updown 15m 1782687600	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x64de9c…
06-28 14:11:17	btc updown 15m 1782655200	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xd545d4…
06-28 13:47:28	btc updown 15m 1782655200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x215ebb…
06-28 07:25:25	btc updown 15m 1782630900	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xebfa76…
06-28 07:25:25	btc updown 15m 1782630900	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x297c41…
06-28 06:59:19	btc updown 15m 1782630900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x34c078…
06-28 06:55:56	btc updown 15m 1782630000	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5d3c82…
06-28 01:23:26	sol updown 15m 1782609300	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xb29879…
06-28 01:14:22	sol updown 15m 1782610200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc32b83…
06-28 01:12:47	sol updown 15m 1782609300	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x358fab…
06-25 23:56:32	eth updown 15m 1782432000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd00343…
06-25 23:50:26	eth updown 15m 1782431100	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xee707e…
06-25 23:50:26	eth updown 15m 1782431100	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xa69c56…
06-25 23:45:02	eth updown 15m 1782431100	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9420fd…
06-25 23:14:22	eth updown 15m 1782428400	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0d025c…
06-25 23:10:23	eth updown 15m 1782429300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x933697…
06-25 22:59:43	eth updown 15m 1782428400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5e3e7…
06-25 22:44:49	sol updown 15m 1782427500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x613d29…
06-25 22:16:47	sol updown 15m 1782425700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x330d51…
06-25 13:56:07	eth updown 15m 1782396900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x89ca5d…
06-25 13:37:16	xrp updown 15m 1782394200	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xf49751…
06-25 13:36:58	xrp updown 15m 1782394200	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec3e6b…
06-25 13:17:25	xrp updown 15m 1782394200	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xab5a2f…
06-22 06:27:29	btc updown 15m 1782110700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf5f20c…
06-22 05:56:20	sol updown 15m 1782108900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8fc26d…
06-22 05:32:44	eth updown 15m 1782107100	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6e0ae1…
06-13 23:46:58	eth updown 15m 1781394300	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xed678f…
06-13 23:31:40	sol updown 15m 1781393400	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc39545…
06-13 23:29:21	eth updown 15m 1781393400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xffb613…
06-13 23:29:09	eth updown 15m 1781393400	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x9121e3…
06-13 08:48:36	btc updown 15m 1781340300	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x86ef0e…
06-06 09:14:57	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xec7d26…
06-06 08:59:55	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2cabaf…
06-06 08:30:27	eth updown 15m 1780734600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xae7e59…
06-06 08:29:30	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x090d9c…
06-06 07:26:25	btc updown 15m 1780731000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c388c…
06-06 07:14:15	eth updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f6425…
06-06 07:13:45	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x389380…
05-26 02:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x6d2d24…
05-26 02:44:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xe73e75…
05-26 02:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x150522…
05-26 02:26:10	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x1bc63c…
05-26 00:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xcbe1f4…
05-26 00:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3f1288…
05-26 00:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd8d6d4…
05-26 00:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x8d0a31…
05-26 00:39:53	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0d0389…
05-26 00:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xa29928…
05-26 00:19:37	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x8f6def…
05-26 00:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x2a9736…
05-25 14:11:36	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb14c4c…
05-25 14:00:14	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0ac6ea…
05-25 13:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe6a132…
05-25 12:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd06955…
05-25 12:59:15	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0610ad…
05-25 12:59:06	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x5ffb8f…
05-25 12:37:33	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2ba3f6…
05-25 10:59:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8905e6…
05-25 10:59:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x225ea1…
05-25 10:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd7b5a4…
05-25 10:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5b915…
05-25 10:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x236fdc…
05-25 10:41:17	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcea9a6…
05-25 08:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe6ecf0…
05-25 04:54:52	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x7a5dfe…
05-25 03:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x932cb3…
05-25 03:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x655c00…
05-25 03:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb45ac8…
05-25 02:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xd5b4c7…
05-25 01:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7c0a96…
05-25 01:27:37	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xff431c…
05-25 01:27:33	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x568564…
05-25 01:11:27	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x648de8…
05-24 11:43:50	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf39499…
05-24 11:43:41	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb97998…
05-24 11:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc73733…
05-24 11:24:26	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x747dd1…
05-24 11:22:24	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc40679…
05-24 10:23:39	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9e5fe7…
05-24 09:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd8914c…
05-24 08:55:55	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdfc16c…
05-24 07:35:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd7fc2f…
05-24 07:05:42	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc8dd49…
05-24 06:39:58	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc4063b…