Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$131

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 09-20 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

79% 47% -$13

Politics

15% 80% +$10

Tech

4% 0% -$4

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 16:26
will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-26 03:48
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-24 21:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 00:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-12 04:35
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-21 21:33
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-04 01:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 09:37
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-16 14:26
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 05:15
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-05 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-16 05:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-23 00:35
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-07 09:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-04 09:41
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-15 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-08 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-03 17:39
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-15 20:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 10:52
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-07 01:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 13:59
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-14 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-25 05:39
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-03 03:09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-23 08:50
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-22 05:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-06 05:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-03 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 22:53:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xad2416…
09-12 04:35:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe447af…
09-07 13:06:06	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd1b13b…
09-03 03:51:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3985b0…
09-03 03:09:27	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa41ba8…
09-02 17:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcaeb3c…
08-27 07:32:49	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa953ae…
08-26 11:28:04	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x32e84f…
08-26 02:46:00	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x530819…
08-25 05:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7136bf…
08-24 21:38:43	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5dbb18…
08-24 01:25:16	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdc6cb4…
08-23 17:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x26d6b0…
08-23 08:50:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x82a769…
08-23 00:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3d996a…
08-22 16:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8e0168…
08-22 05:36:55	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xabab25…
08-21 21:33:01	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x162d5d…
08-20 13:22:28	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x140c0b…
08-20 01:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5e5afe…
08-19 03:48:36	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x544d18…
08-18 07:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb03785…
08-17 23:11:42	will nflx dip to 72 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4a88a5…
08-17 15:10:28	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x674cc7…
08-17 06:28:15	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1c9df0…
08-16 22:27:34	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x80a932…
08-16 14:26:01	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcaaff0…
08-16 05:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xccce70…
08-15 20:32:12	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3cbc09…
08-15 20:22:13	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd8d6be…
08-15 12:10:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc43dfc…
08-15 00:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2f396b…
08-14 16:38:46	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x925b84…
08-14 03:12:51	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0c53c5…
08-13 19:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x133d94…
08-13 10:52:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x706bad…
08-13 02:52:01	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5ad1ea…
08-11 18:44:09	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb8697b…
08-08 22:03:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4f2d46…
08-08 13:59:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2abb69…
08-08 05:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7ee750…
08-07 09:56:57	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x750f44…
08-07 01:56:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x18f537…
08-06 05:55:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa6096e…
08-05 21:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5d534b…
08-05 13:50:17	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x27a28e…
08-04 17:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4112a9…
08-04 09:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3e7e82…
08-04 01:40:56	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe9c7fa…
08-03 17:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x54569e…
08-03 09:37:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x11db51…
08-03 00:53:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb85c2f…
08-02 16:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf3bc3e…
08-02 06:57:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa7366a…
08-01 22:51:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5a28a5…
08-01 13:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5cc50d…
08-01 05:15:23	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x45c1f5…
07-31 21:14:23	will palantir say insurance during earnings call 20260730163530768	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x10eaae…
07-31 13:13:30	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbd773b…
07-30 20:30:14	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xec46d4…
07-30 11:35:44	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xac072c…
07-29 03:18:20	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x155052…
07-27 20:27:55	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x015826…
07-27 04:27:21	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3ebc33…
07-26 16:26:36	will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfeaaa1…
07-26 04:23:24	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8ecff3…
07-26 03:48:55	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x56dd62…