Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,203

lifetime

Volume

$4.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.96K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-01 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

51% 55% -$138,067

Other

40% 100% +$56,493

Crypto

9% 78% +$27,931

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	85	$942.5K	484,294	484,294	+0	No	-$8,251	03-01 20:38
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	679	$616.5K	539,842	141,537	+398,305	Yes	+$28,756	02-02 01:03
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	208	$529.6K	449,032	100,000	+349,032	Yes	+$18,831	01-28 16:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	149	$361.6K	188,174	192,639	-4,466	Yes	+$12,534	03-01 01:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	89	$315.3K	164,787	164,787	+0	Yes	-$3,924	03-01 20:37
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	13	$261.4K	262,854	0	+262,854	No	+$1,496	01-01 16:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	359	$201.5K	212,678	22,780	+189,898	No	+$29,002	01-18 11:33
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	83	$193.4K	196,893	0	+196,893	No	+$3,468	01-08 00:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	85	$153.8K	118,909	118,909	+0	Yes	+$4,617	03-01 01:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	64	$126.1K	71,003	71,003	+0	Yes	+$3,942	02-17 07:39
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	14	$119.8K	66,746	66,746	+0	No	+$12,910	02-28 21:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	77	$102.8K	127,934	0	+127,934	Yes	-$102,762	02-27 16:45
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	13	$99.7K	51,788	51,788	+0	No	+$3,595	02-28 21:22
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	10	$56.3K	33,426	33,426	+0	No	+$9,457	02-28 21:17
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$48.6K	121,504	0	+121,504	Yes	-$48,602	02-24 17:56
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	4	$27.4K	31,691	0	+31,691	Yes	-$27,362	02-27 03:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	37	$23.7K	28,977	0	+28,977	No	+$5,316	01-22 19:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$21.9K	23,477	0	+23,477	No	+$1,610	01-26 15:39
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	2	$19.1K	10,040	10,040	+0	No	+$994	02-28 20:28
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	3	$12.6K	6,802	6,802	+0	No	+$1,004	02-28 20:27
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$11.8K	13,135	0	+13,135	No	+$1,314	01-27 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 03:50 UTC	8	$10.2K	10,879	0	+10,879	Up	+$633	02-13 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 05:45 UTC	30	$6.1K	7,042	0	+7,042	Up	+$978	02-13 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 05:35 UTC	13	$6.0K	6,560	0	+6,560	Up	+$520	02-13 05:39
bitcoin up or down february 24 4pm et	1	$5.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	+$600	02-24 21:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 11:15 UTC	11	$4.7K	3,030	1,791	+1,239	Up	+$69	01-19 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:45 UTC	27	$4.5K	4,562	0	+4,562	Down	+$91	02-15 18:48
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$4.5K	4,510	0	+4,510	No	+$50	02-15 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 05:40 UTC	1	$4.3K	6,429	0	+6,429	Up	-$4,297	02-13 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 05:10 UTC	3	$3.5K	3,725	0	+3,725	Down	+$215	02-13 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-01 20:38:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	25,541	96¢	$24,570	0x3a1564…
03-01 20:37:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	66,542	93¢	$62,084	0xa6ee63…
03-01 01:50:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	50,299	100¢	$50,098	0x0574b2…
03-01 01:47:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x2994e7…
03-01 01:40:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x3a61fb…
03-01 01:40:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x67dc76…
03-01 01:40:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x6f51fa…
03-01 01:40:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0x89335d…
03-01 01:40:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,081	100¢	$1,077	0x2dabbb…
03-01 01:40:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x12dece…
03-01 01:40:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfc5f0a…
03-01 01:40:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	8,621	100¢	$8,586	0xfdd94f…
03-01 01:40:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe3f988…
03-01 01:40:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	81,661	100¢	$81,335	0x6e0bf0…
03-01 01:39:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	30,411	100¢	$30,259	0x8821b8…
03-01 01:34:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	68,909	100¢	$68,703	0xcb671f…
02-28 21:56:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xeaf486…
02-28 21:56:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	15,625	97¢	$15,219	0x22102d…
02-28 21:56:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0x53f460…
02-28 21:56:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x9f273d…
02-28 21:56:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xa29ff2…
02-28 21:56:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	14,344	97¢	$13,971	0x999ae3…
02-28 21:47:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	20,000	95¢	$19,040	0x084518…
02-28 21:47:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xcbbf9e…
02-28 21:46:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,788	91¢	$1,633	0x9e307f…
02-28 21:46:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5,541	95¢	$5,286	0x902503…
02-28 21:36:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x96895b…
02-28 21:36:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	68,899	93¢	$64,077	0x13cd84…
02-28 21:34:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	365	89¢	$326	0x3f8e59…
02-28 21:34:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	226	89¢	$202	0xc9a980…
02-28 21:34:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xe0cae8…
02-28 21:34:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xd015a1…
02-28 21:34:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x03739d…
02-28 21:34:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	189	89¢	$169	0x147639…
02-28 21:34:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	311	89¢	$278	0xc1cdeb…
02-28 21:34:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	69	89¢	$62	0x37746b…
02-28 21:34:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	472	89¢	$422	0xfbb77f…
02-28 21:34:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	104	89¢	$93	0x1de4ba…
02-28 21:34:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x12c638…
02-28 21:34:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	549	89¢	$491	0xe1e6de…
02-28 21:34:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	462	89¢	$413	0xf38f44…
02-28 21:34:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0x2b34e7…
02-28 21:34:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	552	89¢	$494	0xfda901…
02-28 21:24:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	10,000	89¢	$8,910	0xd9eff0…
02-28 21:23:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3,436	89¢	$3,071	0xc977f3…
02-28 21:23:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3,990	89¢	$3,567	0x566c11…
02-28 21:23:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0xb04d96…
02-28 21:22:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0f5ae5…
02-28 21:22:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,324	89¢	$1,184	0x1190d1…
02-28 21:22:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	1,576	100¢	$1,570	0xc9ec7a…
02-28 21:22:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,171	89¢	$4,623	0x514ac5…
02-28 21:22:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	161	89¢	$144	0xf96d5b…
02-28 21:22:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x90c431…
02-28 21:22:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$32	0x17936d…
02-28 21:22:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x85a4b4…
02-28 21:22:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$17	0x373821…
02-28 21:22:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,735	89¢	$5,127	0x61b2a7…
02-28 21:20:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	38,681	94¢	$36,537	0x3e11de…
02-28 21:18:13	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3a7ea7…
02-28 21:18:13	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x2288eb…
02-28 21:18:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	4,299	99¢	$4,261	0xf36918…
02-28 21:18:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0xe73947…
02-28 21:18:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	778	99¢	$770	0xcceafd…
02-28 21:18:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0xc20e86…
02-28 21:18:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0x4fc331…
02-28 21:18:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0x396ee8…
02-28 21:17:55	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	33,426	98¢	$32,864	0x73a672…
02-28 21:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	16,893	100¢	$16,829	0x066482…
02-28 21:11:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	12,568	91¢	$11,386	0xb7145d…
02-28 21:11:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x141dc3…
02-28 21:11:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	502	91¢	$455	0x064554…
02-28 21:11:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x13fab1…
02-28 21:11:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	204	91¢	$185	0x6a52de…
02-28 21:11:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	142	91¢	$129	0x3063e5…
02-28 21:11:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	210	91¢	$190	0x3ff11a…
02-28 21:11:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xde6010…
02-28 21:11:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	276	91¢	$250	0x31e955…
02-28 21:11:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	704	91¢	$638	0xdadb3b…
02-28 21:11:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	211	91¢	$191	0xcd3134…
02-28 21:11:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	91¢	$96	0x5eec0c…
02-28 21:11:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	213	91¢	$193	0x543fe7…
02-28 21:11:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0xaa010f…
02-28 21:11:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	213	91¢	$193	0x6bee4c…
02-28 21:11:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	91¢	$96	0x337575…
02-28 21:11:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x287463…
02-28 21:11:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,100	91¢	$997	0x0ecf32…
02-28 21:11:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x78d831…
02-28 21:11:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xfb46d5…
02-28 21:11:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x600e0b…
02-28 21:11:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	213	91¢	$193	0x2420db…
02-28 21:11:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x13c7c1…
02-28 21:10:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	664	91¢	$601	0x99f2b6…
02-28 21:10:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x12f525…
02-28 21:10:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8f8457…
02-28 21:10:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	268	91¢	$243	0x5a03b5…
02-28 21:10:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	947	91¢	$858	0xf78b4f…
02-28 21:10:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x85750f…
02-28 21:10:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x96acb1…
02-28 21:10:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,492	91¢	$1,352	0x91d6b2…
02-28 21:10:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	61	91¢	$55	0x193d83…