Virtual-Success — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	5	$104	82	82	+0	Down	+$24	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$80	97	54	+42	Up	+$2	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$76	57	57	+0	Down	+$16	05-06 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$69	39	39	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$64	57	36	+22	Up	+$6	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$56	30	30	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$56	69	69	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$51	53	39	+14	Down	$-9	05-05 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$49	33	33	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$46	48	48	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$45	38	38	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$32	44	0	+44	Down	$-1	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$32	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$31	32	20	+12	Up	$-8	05-05 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$24	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$22	23	10	+13	Down	$-8	05-05 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$20	71	0	+71	Up	$-20	05-06 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$20	41	0	+41	Down	$-20	05-05 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$20	27	0	+27	Down	$-20	05-06 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$18	14	8	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$13	23	23	+0	Down	$-7	05-05 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x92aa3d…
05-06 04:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x143741…
05-06 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x478f9a…
05-06 04:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x58b573…
05-06 04:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb1984f…
05-06 04:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf4f003…
05-06 04:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x08d10c…
05-06 04:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1ac510…
05-06 04:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb0d017…
05-06 04:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5917ad…
05-06 04:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x5fcb36…
05-06 04:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x09f57b…
05-06 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x97ef05…
05-06 04:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xf7bfba…
05-06 04:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x308053…
05-06 04:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3ae5a6…
05-06 04:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe7a727…
05-06 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x09538b…
05-06 04:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcb3e45…
05-06 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x787946…
05-06 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xcd8eda…
05-06 00:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe25a14…
05-06 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x8a0eb2…
05-06 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x71634e…
05-06 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7748ea…
05-06 00:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbff150…
05-06 00:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x288ddf…
05-06 00:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x11b3e4…
05-06 00:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x4c8caf…
05-06 00:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x9a50d5…
05-06 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0xcf1364…
05-06 00:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7655c6…
05-06 00:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x82309d…
05-06 00:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5fe58d…
05-05 23:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x493eb6…
05-05 23:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x45a27d…
05-05 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xd67f6c…
05-05 18:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3f1f1d…
05-05 18:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x4da0c1…
05-05 18:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5b2053…
05-05 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0xe3e269…
05-05 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x96bc88…
05-05 18:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0a5086…
05-05 18:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x8746ca…
05-05 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x58279a…
05-05 18:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x75d883…
05-05 18:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x492c84…
05-05 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x208a38…
05-05 18:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x86bcd9…
05-05 18:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc57dff…
05-05 18:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xc0a102…
05-05 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9367d2…
05-05 18:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x18e728…
05-05 18:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x62c533…
05-05 18:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xb52006…
05-05 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc88cf0…
05-05 18:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xcf62db…
05-05 18:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x089ded…
05-05 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8c6b82…
05-05 18:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5c1fba…
05-05 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0xcabfd2…
05-05 17:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x64f233…
05-05 17:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x75fb16…
05-05 17:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	66	78¢	$52	0x845b69…
05-05 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x3d6c7d…
05-05 17:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	69	37¢	$26	0x48f9d5…
05-05 17:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc2c715…
05-05 17:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x90eff2…
05-05 17:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x16908d…
05-05 17:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xa8812c…
05-05 17:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x16c63a…
05-05 17:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x525031…
05-05 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	68¢	$24	0x44a8dd…
05-05 17:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1fb168…
05-05 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x025981…
05-05 17:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	39	55¢	$21	0x4e5013…
05-05 17:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4db345…
05-05 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xeb75c3…
05-05 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0xa64751…
05-05 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x93ad7d…
05-05 17:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xc6ef18…
05-05 17:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x21474e…
05-05 17:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3ef61f…
05-05 17:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x9769da…
05-05 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf62175…
05-05 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x672209…
05-05 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x381bfb…
05-05 17:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc316f1…
05-05 17:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2965ea…
05-05 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x4d96d4…
05-05 17:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x91649e…
05-05 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xc94d00…
05-05 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x691808…
05-05 16:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x13122d…
05-05 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xcce0a9…
05-05 16:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x532af0…
05-05 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x325614…
05-05 16:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x351ce8…
05-05 16:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x5e4610…
05-05 16:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x9112aa…