Watchful-Commonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

191

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$2.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-29 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 53% -$8

Other

6% 47% -$32

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11AM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Down	+$24	05-28 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 04:50 UTC	2	$41	29	29	+1	Up	+$2	04-01 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	-$25	05-27 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	05-27 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	-$25	05-28 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$25	05-27 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$26	05-27 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	-$25	05-27 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	-$25	05-27 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	+$21	05-27 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	+$21	05-28 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Down	+$21	05-28 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Up	-$25	05-28 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	-$25	05-27 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Up	-$25	05-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	-$25	05-27 07:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	-$25	05-29 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	+$26	05-27 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Down	-$25	05-28 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$24	05-27 21:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	-$25	05-28 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	05-27 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Up	+$19	05-27 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	+$23	05-27 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	+$29	05-29 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	05-28 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$24	05-28 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$24	05-27 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Down	-$25	05-28 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Up	-$25	05-28 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 04:05:10	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xd9cd1c…
05-29 03:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf5ae64…
05-29 03:45:39	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa5f328…
05-29 02:25:11	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x8fb99e…
05-29 02:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x62307d…
05-29 02:16:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe81be0…
05-29 02:15:26	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xadd7ce…
05-29 02:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf14557…
05-29 02:00:23	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x2a8c1a…
05-29 01:45:55	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xc9d0ea…
05-29 01:45:55	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xaeae3c…
05-29 01:45:55	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x426b68…
05-29 01:45:38	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-29 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x2b4a3e…
05-29 01:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa3bd86…
05-29 01:30:19	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xf38d76…
05-29 01:30:19	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1b6ca0…
05-29 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x551916…
05-29 01:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x0631c8…
05-29 01:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x565d40…
05-29 01:15:28	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-29 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x67d3d3…
05-29 00:45:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x178a8c…
05-29 00:30:40	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x5e2c23…
05-29 00:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6deb86…
05-28 23:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7ecbc4…
05-28 23:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x2eb8d1…
05-28 23:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x20dfe1…
05-28 23:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x95701a…
05-28 23:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x456678…
05-28 23:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x3f0708…
05-28 23:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x785d84…
05-28 23:30:42	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xbdfa78…
05-28 23:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x4ad492…
05-28 23:15:24	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x50ee61…
05-28 23:15:13	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7ddb44…
05-28 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x29f92a…
05-28 22:15:57	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf0324f…
05-28 22:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xa3cde2…
05-28 21:55:09	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xbb6f84…
05-28 21:40:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xeb2afc…
05-28 21:21:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x7c8254…
05-28 21:15:45	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd2d1fe…
05-28 21:15:43	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xdc0e12…
05-28 21:15:24	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x423ca9…
05-28 19:30:38	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x32d1d9…
05-28 19:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xdde87d…
05-28 19:30:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xd0ff57…
05-28 19:30:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x175cba…
05-28 19:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xc1f247…
05-28 19:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x65b436…
05-28 19:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xcff989…
05-28 19:30:17	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xc392f0…
05-28 19:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe568e3…
05-28 18:45:12	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xcbada3…
05-28 18:40:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x89208a…
05-28 17:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x4c9501…
05-28 17:35:10	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x6f22c9…
05-28 17:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x4bd7e7…
05-28 17:30:16	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x6b568f…
05-28 17:25:08	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfeeb08…
05-28 17:10:12	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xeb5c41…
05-28 17:10:12	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x8cb219…
05-28 16:45:09	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4b92f6…
05-28 16:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x63532d…
05-28 15:50:15	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x98da84…
05-28 15:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xeba659…
05-28 15:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb332f7…
05-28 15:50:10	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x751344…
05-28 15:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2ca23a…
05-28 15:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x098f38…
05-28 15:45:30	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa878e2…
05-28 15:45:28	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9ea141…
05-28 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8f5929…
05-28 15:30:57	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x55ecef…
05-28 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xe49214…
05-28 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe31a3f…
05-28 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xa91a56…
05-28 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x2a7215…
05-28 15:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x88f025…
05-28 15:25:12	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa4def1…
05-28 15:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xdce1a6…
05-28 15:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf0223c…
05-28 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbc53b6…
05-28 14:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xebb6a4…
05-28 14:45:49	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x6d55c1…
05-28 14:45:49	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x40b750…
05-28 14:40:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x81639b…
05-28 14:40:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x19f6ed…
05-28 14:35:09	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x00aba3…
05-28 14:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x593725…
05-28 14:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6cf37e…
05-28 14:15:28	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xd11e80…
05-28 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x87e37b…
05-28 14:15:14	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x19ed89…
05-28 14:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc5a668…
05-28 13:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x47a0cf…
05-28 12:10:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x2f43f0…
05-28 12:10:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x0c357c…
05-28 11:55:10	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x5bc07a…
05-28 10:50:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x00a2c5…
05-28 10:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x96a1e8…