Thrifty-Equivalent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$271

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% 50% $-0

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	6	$134	203	203	+0	open	—	01-14 15:41
spx up or down on march 13 2026	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 23:46
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	2	$7	22	22	+0	open	—	03-12 09:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$5	17	17	+0	open	—	03-29 05:48
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 draw	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-18 17:27
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 11:55
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	2	$4	25	25	+0	open	—	03-15 15:44
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 sun	2	$4	6	3	+3	open	—	04-12 14:24
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	2	$4	32	0	+32	open	—	01-10 16:17
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$4	7	6	+0	open	—	04-07 08:13
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	01-13 11:09
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 165 189	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	01-10 11:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 07:09
epl tot not 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	03-22 14:02
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 13:40
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 22:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	03-29 05:49
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	2	$2	13	13	+0	open	—	03-23 04:28
epl new bou 2026 04 18 bou	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-18 13:53
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 14:25
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 05:51
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$2	4	0	+4	Under	+$2	05-10 15:40
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-05 11:15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 04:49
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 12:17
epl new sun 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-22 13:39
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	1	$2	4	0	+4	Over	+$2	05-09 13:49
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 14:24
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:47:37	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5f023a…
05-30 13:46:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x513d8e…
05-17 16:09:08	Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x302e85…
05-16 13:40:01	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4989e9…
05-16 13:39:17	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb4998f…
05-10 15:40:01	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0b72a1…
05-10 14:11:51	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xee49ea…
05-09 13:49:00	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8be44e…
05-09 13:46:49	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x77ca55…
05-03 14:25:16	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x57ca18…
05-03 14:24:36	Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x84f56c…
05-03 14:24:20	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x58bf7b…
05-03 07:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfe61a3…
04-25 17:22:42	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xdc03c7…
04-21 13:27:36	btc updown 5m 1776777900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf1eeae…
04-20 14:17:44	btc updown 5m 1776694500	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5c1846…
04-19 12:58:42	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1d96bc…
04-19 11:55:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xc973d1…
04-19 06:25:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x352a60…
04-18 22:48:28	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdeef37…
04-18 17:27:22	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x129a66…
04-18 16:16:54	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfefb7f…
04-18 13:53:44	epl new bou 2026 04 18 bou	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb330b0…
04-14 04:49:11	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x587e5e…
04-14 04:48:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6b8195…
04-14 04:47:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x563e71…
04-12 14:24:41	epl sun tot 2026 04 12 sun	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc83a0c…
04-12 14:06:43	epl sun tot 2026 04 12 sun	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x01e7ef…
04-07 08:13:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x0dbf1f…
04-05 09:49:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x85ccfe…
04-02 07:09:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x80be9f…
03-29 05:51:40	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7867fa…
03-29 05:49:02	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xfaf043…
03-29 05:48:48	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xd4889c…
03-27 09:32:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x23811f…
03-23 04:28:39	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xc8e811…
03-22 14:02:29	epl tot not 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x230418…
03-22 13:39:37	epl new sun 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xddba63…
03-21 16:14:35	epl eve che 2026 03 21 che	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcf6a5b…
03-21 05:07:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd571f9…
03-20 05:38:07	epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8278c8…
03-16 15:29:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb5c612…
03-15 16:19:21	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe786fc…
03-15 15:44:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xcd0a04…
03-15 13:26:31	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x14c821…
03-14 10:07:03	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x55fa26…
03-14 10:07:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x590d80…
03-13 23:46:21	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9028ee…
03-13 12:17:01	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd0171d…
03-13 12:08:25	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x30815f…
03-13 12:08:21	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa07c39…
03-13 07:40:31	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9d6e8e…
03-12 09:00:29	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0x0ef520…
03-11 02:21:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc70670…
03-05 11:23:35	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdb721e…
03-05 11:15:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6a49fc…
03-05 11:11:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc29508…
03-04 11:01:19	btc updown 5m 1772622000	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x27e7f5…
01-14 15:41:00	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	203	27¢	$54	0x1ef1d8…
01-14 05:26:36	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x5cdd11…
01-13 16:57:23	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x8b0b7a…
01-13 15:11:19	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x98c90c…
01-13 12:43:23	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x25c932…
01-13 11:09:15	Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x799604…
01-12 18:37:41	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x44baba…
01-10 16:17:16	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa11b2f…
01-10 16:15:16	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x39d0c1…
01-10 11:49:18	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 165 189	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe231fc…
01-10 05:19:54	Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xf78471…
01-01 10:58:21	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xffa241…