Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$139

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-26 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$15

Other

31% 60% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+29	$20	97¢	$28	+$8	10-04 11:12
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+10	$4	83¢	$8	+$4	10-06 09:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$6	78¢	$7	+$1	10-26 09:30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+7	$5	72¢	$5	+$0	10-26 09:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+3	$2	66¢	$2	+$0	10-26 15:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+2	$1	66¢	$2	+$0	10-10 07:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+2	$1	35¢	$1	$0	10-26 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0c1cf5…
10-26 15:42:27	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x79991a…
10-26 15:39:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9f62de…
10-26 15:35:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5ee92f…
10-26 09:30:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdad05e…
10-26 09:29:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x608074…
10-26 09:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff1bd2…
10-26 08:56:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x31eaea…
10-26 08:54:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1a7b18…
10-17 07:16:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3c4081…
10-16 20:32:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0a4d6e…
10-16 20:31:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6fe91b…
10-16 20:30:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x4b007a…
10-16 20:29:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x72dc6a…
10-10 07:17:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x529bc4…
10-06 15:04:05	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1c6dcb…
10-06 15:02:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xeb70a1…
10-06 09:20:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x6463c8…
10-06 09:19:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1beb22…
10-04 11:27:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x43aa1d…
10-04 11:26:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2e1653…
10-04 11:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x94d1d0…
10-04 11:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x6937a3…
10-04 11:12:13	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x45926f…
10-04 11:09:56	israel military action against lebanon on october 4	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf085f4…
10-04 10:53:47	israel military action against lebanon on october 4	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xaecaf5…
10-04 10:23:04	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2488db…
10-04 10:22:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x79cb5a…
10-04 10:21:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4bb41c…
10-04 10:15:23	russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x27421f…
10-04 10:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x995005…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel military action against lebanon on october 4	2	$21	22	+22	Yes	+$1	10-04 11:09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	1	$20	29	+29	open	—	10-04 11:12
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	1	$20	24	+24	open	—	10-06 15:02
russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	10-04 10:15
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	10-16 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5?	2	$6	97	+97	No	-$6	10-04 11:17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	9	+9	open	—	10-26 09:30
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	10-04 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?	1	$5	8	+8	No	+$3	10-04 10:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$5	14	+14	Yes	+$9	10-04 11:26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	10-26 09:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-06 09:19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	10-06 09:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	10-04 11:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	10-26 15:35
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	10-26 15:42
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	10-04 10:23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	10-16 20:31
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	10-06 15:04
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	10-17 07:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-10 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	10-26 09:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-26 15:39
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-26 08:54
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-16 20:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-26 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-26 18:35