Mediocre-Chairlift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

373

Trades

817

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 08-22 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

62% 75% -$19

Crypto

35% 83% +$11

Politics

2% 71% +$1

Sports

1% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti closes above 84 on august 4 2026	2	$70	37	37	+0	No	+$2	08-04 11:03
ethereum up or down on august 1 2026	6	$67	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	08-01 15:45
wti up or down on july 31 2026	4	$62	48	25	+23	Up	+$4	07-31 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:50 UTC	4	$61	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	06-08 05:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$59	1,619	1,508	+111	No	-$7	06-02 20:43
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on August 3?	2	$56	29	29	+0	Yes	+$2	08-03 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-08 04:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-08 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 7?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-07 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$1	06-07 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-07 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-07 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-07 06:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-07 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 6?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-06 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 6?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-06 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 6?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	06-06 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?	2	$48	28	28	+0	No	-$6	06-08 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 6?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	06-06 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 6?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	06-06 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	$0	06-06 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	06-05 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	06-05 17:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?	2	$45	22	22	+0	No	+$0	06-05 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 5?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$1	06-05 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 5?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	06-05 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 4?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-05 05:25
wti up or down on august 4 2026	2	$42	42	42	+0	Down	-$30	08-04 12:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$1	06-04 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 09:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x193603…
08-22 09:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x148af3…
08-22 09:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x7d530f…
08-22 09:25:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8aaa6a…
08-22 09:25:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x5c9bc4…
08-22 09:12:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0f23d…
08-22 09:12:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x04b662…
08-22 09:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d0261…
08-22 09:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5ce48a…
08-22 09:02:45	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x175844…
08-22 08:42:45	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xceb87d…
08-22 08:42:45	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xccc334…
08-22 08:42:45	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x31fd74…
08-22 08:42:43	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd76dee…
08-22 08:42:43	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9bc431…
08-22 08:42:40	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1991e6…
08-22 08:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8108b9…
08-22 07:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x7e7067…
08-22 07:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd8473d…
08-22 07:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0ba66b…
08-22 07:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x268ee2…
08-22 07:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbdf176…
08-22 07:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b4d4f…
08-11 04:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x956726…
08-08 09:47:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3f25fd…
08-08 09:47:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x286d65…
08-08 09:47:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xe75249…
08-08 09:47:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7381bf…
08-08 07:36:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc7ea9f…
08-08 07:36:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x770a48…
08-08 07:36:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3e7387…
08-08 07:36:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x26efae…
08-07 14:40:48	aapl up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xaccc71…
08-07 11:49:45	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3b9737…
08-07 11:26:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xaf51de…
08-07 11:09:45	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x94c13c…
08-07 10:55:21	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x8c8a6c…
08-07 09:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa7f866…
08-07 09:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x16d0ca…
08-07 09:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x268d84…
08-07 09:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x343578…
08-07 09:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xbdc984…
08-07 09:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xf2052e…
08-07 09:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x94011e…
08-07 09:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x744ab4…
08-07 06:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9654dd…
08-07 06:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x87ba3f…
08-07 05:13:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x953660…
08-07 04:53:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd27d07…
08-06 19:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8300b5…
08-06 19:11:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xb3a9db…
08-06 19:09:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7c8ce2…
08-06 19:04:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0b4752…
08-06 18:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4b7775…
08-06 18:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4dac44…
08-06 18:54:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc7119c…
08-06 18:53:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x686c96…
08-06 18:40:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0d2f60…
08-06 18:38:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x29889b…
08-06 16:47:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd035c2…
08-06 16:47:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x89d6d7…
08-06 16:41:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7c6f33…
08-06 16:29:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xef7e5f…
08-06 16:29:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdb4380…
08-06 16:29:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x458bae…
08-06 16:29:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2ac76b…
08-06 16:10:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xddf531…
08-06 15:56:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xccb799…
08-06 15:56:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4f7940…
08-06 15:56:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3ccbf7…
08-06 15:48:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9e69fb…
08-06 15:47:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7d7a0a…
08-06 15:41:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9c1b86…
08-06 15:27:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x689f81…
08-06 15:20:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x49fe82…
08-06 14:27:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x20a1de…
08-06 12:03:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9cad26…
08-06 11:31:45	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xebe475…
08-06 11:27:32	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x2208b1…
08-06 11:25:33	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2a0bfd…
08-06 11:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4f2533…
08-06 11:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x27c5ae…
08-06 11:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5e129d…
08-06 10:38:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1aab5f…
08-06 10:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x02aa50…
08-06 09:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf2f5ca…
08-06 09:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8e3b89…
08-06 09:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaed2a8…
08-06 05:55:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x873e07…
08-06 05:55:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x53be04…
08-06 05:55:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2aa4fc…
08-05 05:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8b2c53…
08-05 05:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc1d956…
08-05 05:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd7d9af…
08-05 05:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfa81ed…
08-05 05:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x689252…
08-05 05:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x55adaa…
08-05 05:02:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb8da7…
08-05 05:02:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0a7ad1…
08-05 05:02:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0e9e55…