Fresh-Pledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

191

Trades

10,298

lifetime

Volume

$206.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-21 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 222 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1776862800	11	$221	115	114	+1	open	—	04-22 13:14
eth updown 15m 1776795300	3	$172	89	88	+1	open	—	04-21 18:30
btc updown 15m 1776916800	2	$158	83	82	+1	open	—	04-23 04:14
eth updown 15m 1776967200	8	$158	81	80	+1	open	—	04-23 18:14
btc updown 15m 1776971700	2	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	04-23 19:28
btc updown 15m 1776780000	2	$149	77	76	+1	open	—	04-21 14:14
btc updown 15m 1776873600	4	$149	77	76	+1	open	—	04-22 16:13
eth updown 15m 1776786300	2	$147	75	75	+0	open	—	04-21 15:58
eth updown 15m 1776784500	8	$147	75	75	+0	open	—	04-21 15:28
btc updown 15m 1776784500	2	$146	77	76	+1	open	—	04-21 15:29
eth updown 15m 1776785400	3	$144	76	75	+1	open	—	04-21 15:44
btc updown 15m 1776864600	2	$142	76	75	+1	open	—	04-22 13:44
btc updown 15m 1776866400	2	$137	152	0	+152	open	—	04-22 14:12
eth updown 15m 1776726900	3	$127	65	65	+0	open	—	04-20 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$118	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 20:58
btc updown 15m 1771792200	2	$116	150	0	+150	open	—	02-22 20:44
eth updown 15m 1776733200	3	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	04-21 01:15
eth updown 15m 1776870000	2	$109	118	0	+118	open	—	04-22 15:13
btc updown 15m 1771434000	2	$106	143	0	+143	open	—	02-18 17:12
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	05-16 02:59
sol updown 15m 1776397500	3	$104	74	34	+40	open	—	04-17 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$96	51	51	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 07:30
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	5	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	05-19 11:44
eth updown 5m 1775845800	4	$91	48	47	+1	open	—	04-10 18:35
sol updown 15m 1776423600	3	$90	68	27	+41	open	—	04-17 11:14
btc updown 5m 1775563200	3	$88	61	30	+31	open	—	04-07 12:04
eth updown 15m 1776384900	3	$88	66	25	+41	open	—	04-17 00:29
btc updown 5m 1775487600	3	$86	61	30	+31	open	—	04-06 15:05
btc updown 5m 1775615700	3	$82	61	30	+31	open	—	04-08 02:40
xrp updown 15m 1776412800	2	$82	47	46	+1	open	—	04-17 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x683df7…
05-21 17:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd4005e…
05-21 17:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x3afad5…
05-21 17:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x97a9e9…
05-21 06:14:57	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x44af1d…
05-21 06:14:52	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xed67cd…
05-21 06:14:50	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe1bbdf…
05-21 06:14:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeeb622…
05-21 06:14:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x553ba9…
05-21 06:14:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4ec393…
05-21 06:14:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x158b05…
05-21 06:14:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x07c782…
05-21 06:13:42	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8638a9…
05-21 00:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x29282e…
05-21 00:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xdeee4b…
05-20 20:58:54	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x6544d3…
05-20 19:14:27	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x93d1c2…
05-20 16:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x581a7b…
05-20 14:14:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0f5590…
05-20 14:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x33c65a…
05-20 13:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x693d87…
05-20 13:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x51f7fd…
05-20 13:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x37284a…
05-20 13:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0f9b17…
05-20 13:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xba535f…
05-20 13:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0xd32323…
05-20 07:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x422303…
05-20 07:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe2ae07…
05-19 16:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x659868…
05-19 15:43:32	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7415a8…
05-19 14:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xb0da0f…
05-19 14:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xbdb6ba…
05-19 14:29:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x064449…
05-19 13:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf41355…
05-19 13:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa2d93c…
05-19 13:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x6e45b9…
05-19 12:58:32	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd1c997…
05-19 11:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x27a60b…
05-19 11:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x065234…
05-19 11:44:18	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x869267…
05-19 11:44:01	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0abf5a…
05-19 11:43:29	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf7ad94…
05-19 05:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x83f073…
05-19 05:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbcff04…
05-18 23:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x771afa…
05-18 23:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3170fb…
05-18 23:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa603fe…
05-18 23:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd71041…
05-18 21:28:52	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x649bb4…
05-18 21:28:47	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4edd02…
05-18 19:59:46	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x408820…
05-18 19:58:41	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd03bca…
05-18 16:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x8ad240…
05-18 14:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x722f7a…
05-18 14:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa6663b…
05-18 13:59:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a037a…
05-18 13:59:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f789b…
05-18 13:59:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x407da2…
05-18 13:59:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16cb13…
05-18 13:59:25	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd27430…
05-18 13:59:23	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf5ff68…
05-18 13:59:23	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x346f08…
05-18 13:59:23	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1d6e06…
05-18 13:59:20	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec4f50…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4c301…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97ba6a…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8c6953…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a8207…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x130532…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0cf13c…
05-18 13:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02ebd8…
05-18 13:58:46	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x190f62…
05-18 13:28:49	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeff0f0…
05-18 10:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xfd4aab…
05-18 10:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcbb98f…
05-18 07:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x698ea0…
05-18 07:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xec35ea…
05-18 07:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x68d2e7…
05-18 07:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x10844b…
05-18 07:29:50	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4a5b04…
05-18 07:29:50	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x094af3…
05-18 07:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x58f166…
05-18 07:28:49	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x83c693…
05-18 07:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6fb02c…
05-18 06:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x2de679…
05-18 06:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9937e4…
05-18 01:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x501ac7…
05-18 01:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xdd95cb…
05-18 00:30:01	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xce9472…
05-18 00:29:59	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbf9b6a…
05-18 00:29:48	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbb247a…
05-17 22:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9817e5…
05-17 22:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x216e9d…
05-17 16:29:31	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe9ecbc…
05-17 16:28:53	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xc12c6b…
05-17 14:28:43	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0xf86373…
05-17 13:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xe87075…
05-17 13:58:44	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x0aedb8…
05-17 13:30:02	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf7a21e…
05-17 13:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x253922…