Whirlwind-Endothelium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$239

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-08 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

42% — —

Politics

37% 100% +$706

Other

14% 0% $-100

Sports

5% 0% $-367

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+132	$29	22¢	$30	+$1	06-06 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	11	$2.8K	3,168	3,168	+0	open	—	05-23 05:28
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$1.2K	1,271	1,271	+0	open	—	05-07 05:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	927	927	+0	Yes	+$706	05-09 06:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-01 15:20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$729	20,215	12,715	+7,500	open	—	05-21 13:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$469	7,889	0	+7,889	open	—	05-11 04:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$450	517	0	+517	open	—	05-20 07:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$285	1,759	1,759	+0	open	—	05-23 18:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$279	357	357	+0	open	—	05-09 14:59
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$276	441	200	+241	Sean Strickland	$-200	05-09 20:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$269	10,043	6,413	+3,629	open	—	05-23 04:41
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$231	4,751	0	+4,751	open	—	05-17 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	16	$230	477	183	+294	open	—	05-22 00:44
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$204	288	0	+288	open	—	05-09 19:18
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$198	10,716	0	+10,716	open	—	05-21 13:27
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	8	$167	872	0	+872	No	$-167	05-09 22:44
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$147	179	179	+0	open	—	06-07 05:08
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	5	$145	6,183	0	+6,183	open	—	05-31 17:45
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$135	98	98	+0	open	—	06-08 09:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$100	562	0	+562	Yes	$-100	05-07 19:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$100	1,926	0	+1,926	open	—	05-10 05:29
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$100	376	0	+376	open	—	05-22 20:21
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$89	103	103	+0	open	—	06-08 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$85	212	212	+0	open	—	05-09 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$80	351	0	+351	open	—	05-28 19:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$69	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-26 11:57
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$58	761	0	+761	open	—	05-23 18:43
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	1	$51	393	0	+393	open	—	06-06 05:38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$50	114	0	+114	open	—	05-14 19:43
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	1	$50	517	0	+517	open	—	05-16 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:08:09	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	103	50¢	$52	0x7b796c…
06-08 09:07:55	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	98	79¢	$78	0x9b8e0c…
06-07 05:08:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	179	45¢	$81	0x713c66…
06-06 14:44:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	22¢	$29	0x693de5…
06-06 06:08:25	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	103	36¢	$37	0x10b6dc…
06-06 06:07:46	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0x561aba…
06-06 06:07:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	179	37¢	$66	0xda9035…
06-06 05:38:37	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	393	13¢	$51	0x822e72…
06-01 15:20:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	651	45¢	$290	0x308dcb…
06-01 12:47:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	19¢	$40	0xd5b5c4…
06-01 12:38:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	444	22¢	$100	0x70c102…
06-01 12:36:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	449	77¢	$346	0x1eeea5…
06-01 12:09:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	449	74¢	$335	0x9feff5…
05-31 17:45:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	3,400	0¢	$17	0x7b1b5f…
05-31 17:44:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	453	1¢	$3	0x4354ab…
05-31 17:41:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	770	1¢	$10	0x0df0dc…
05-31 17:28:55	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	640	4¢	$25	0x0f1b45…
05-31 12:43:33	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	920	10¢	$90	0x4ef557…
05-28 19:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xf66501…
05-28 19:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbf409b…
05-28 19:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xa4462d…
05-28 19:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x6e8aeb…
05-28 19:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6855cd…
05-28 19:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3684c0…
05-28 19:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x096b22…
05-28 19:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xad868f…
05-28 19:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x62ea16…
05-28 19:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd86805…
05-28 19:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	210	7¢	$15	0x6e9939…
05-28 19:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	163	6¢	$10	0xf50aa7…
05-28 19:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xadbde1…
05-28 19:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xf9f8e0…
05-28 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xcf9827…
05-28 19:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe61e53…
05-26 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x4cfcb8…
05-26 16:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3c6b98…
05-26 16:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x1004d9…
05-26 11:57:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,200	3¢	$39	0xcf6bab…
05-26 05:47:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,200	2¢	$30	0xe9ded2…
05-23 18:43:12	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	476	8¢	$38	0x9f74b1…
05-23 18:37:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	140	15¢	$21	0xf5cb6e…
05-23 18:34:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0x13a076…
05-23 05:36:15	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x7cf472…
05-23 05:28:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,168	54¢	$1,714	0xcbd481…
05-23 04:41:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3,629	1¢	$30	0x3b56ce…
05-23 04:27:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,619	1¢	$19	0xfb0bfd…
05-23 04:27:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	2,549	1¢	$18	0x9350c2…
05-23 04:27:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6,413	1¢	$39	0x1a113e…
05-23 04:24:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6,146	1¢	$50	0xf00f7c…
05-23 04:23:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	2,549	1¢	$25	0xcdfeb2…
05-23 04:22:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1,333	2¢	$20	0x522ba8…
05-22 20:21:11	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	196	26¢	$50	0x6879f3…
05-22 20:20:40	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0xafc17c…
05-22 01:23:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	274	11¢	$30	0xc1693e…
05-22 00:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	214	5¢	$10	0xbf9a40…
05-22 00:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x146306…
05-22 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x22538b…
05-22 00:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x7eaa1c…
05-22 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe83558…
05-22 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xa821ed…
05-22 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x8f10fd…
05-22 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x8da452…
05-22 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf8c7f9…
05-22 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdf024d…
05-22 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcfd22c…
05-22 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xa2806c…
05-22 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x7d9d11…
05-22 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x464b89…
05-22 00:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0xfad74a…
05-22 00:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xb18f56…
05-22 00:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	149	6¢	$9	0xd1a723…
05-22 00:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4dc155…
05-21 16:43:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	418	48¢	$200	0x9abf4e…
05-21 13:27:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0x79d74f…
05-21 13:27:26	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0x0de6b9…
05-21 01:42:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	473	53¢	$250	0xfb08c4…
05-20 07:24:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x389f28…
05-20 07:22:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	517	87¢	$450	0x193b5b…
05-20 07:21:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0x4e061e…
05-19 06:54:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	274	29¢	$80	0xb8e94c…
05-18 21:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	530	5¢	$24	0xe84764…
05-18 21:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf55633…
05-18 21:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x17517b…
05-18 21:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	187	3¢	$5	0x6ea5a1…
05-18 21:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	332	6¢	$20	0x052c2d…
05-18 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcef68d…
05-18 21:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1a95fd…
05-18 21:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xea714a…
05-18 21:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	569	2¢	$10	0xb52d60…
05-18 21:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xedbab7…
05-18 21:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x9c933b…
05-18 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x73d350…
05-18 20:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd2f003…
05-18 20:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x85195a…
05-18 20:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x10b7c1…
05-18 20:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x230408…
05-18 18:43:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0xef30fd…
05-18 04:19:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	426	31¢	$133	0xb7d594…
05-17 15:31:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4,674	2¢	$95	0xe08905…
05-17 13:55:29	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,613	3¢	$50	0xcce66b…