Wide-Kneejerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-20 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

51% 59% $-9

Crypto

41% 82% +$2

Politics

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$20	16	16	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 21:11
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$19	11	11	-0	open	—	05-21 18:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	4	$19	15	5	+10	open	—	05-25 20:56
cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	06-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-10 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-10 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-09 17:42
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	06-13 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 11:25
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-09 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	Down	$-12	05-10 21:05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 12:42
Fight to Go the Distance?	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-09 23:01
Valorant: FOKUS vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 17:09
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 09:30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 13:45
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 00:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:32
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Vortex CGO (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:47
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:45
will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-13 17:52
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 00:43
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-12 02:22
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 17:51
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 14:08
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb98eff…
07-20 04:16:54	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x015d64…
07-20 00:40:43	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3efba9…
07-20 00:09:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb484d8…
07-19 20:56:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x94f68a…
07-19 19:00:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a15a4…
07-19 13:28:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a1b51…
07-19 12:55:52	cs2 cs1 wbt 2026 07 19	CYBERSHOKE Esports	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x19b2cf…
07-19 12:19:52	cs2 cs1 wbt 2026 07 19	CYBERSHOKE Esports	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x81a29b…
07-19 08:12:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa23d54…
07-19 03:43:58	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd82abf…
07-19 03:00:33	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6f848…
07-19 02:51:16	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x00a308…
07-17 20:43:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3243b4…
07-17 09:38:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3d029b…
07-17 00:34:16	codmw tex mh 2026 07 16	OpTic Texas	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd04796…
07-16 23:22:25	codmw faz g2m 2026 07 16	FaZe Vegas	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6d07f6…
07-16 23:06:13	codmw faz g2m 2026 07 16	FaZe Vegas	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xea0c16…
07-16 23:06:10	codmw tex mh 2026 07 16	OpTic Texas	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3bd34e…
07-15 22:52:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9a0b6…
07-15 11:01:02	lol t1 gam 2026 07 15	T1	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc4cd3d…
07-15 00:23:35	lol t1 gam 2026 07 15	T1	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6f7eb6…
07-14 23:37:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x91880b…
07-14 07:48:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c19e2…
07-14 06:09:23	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x55a71b…
07-14 02:05:50	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2c0df6…
07-12 23:00:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x1adafb…
07-12 17:21:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf0f41a…
07-12 03:32:44	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb038b1…
07-12 01:46:08	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xacf672…
07-12 01:25:56	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x125ef3…
07-05 04:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd41494…
07-05 03:48:23	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5633a0…
07-04 22:07:20	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xabea47…
07-04 18:56:29	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa40c54…
07-03 20:36:31	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xea2b3e…
07-03 05:41:05	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4912ea…
07-03 01:49:08	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14efe3…
07-03 01:30:17	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x321f52…
07-02 20:39:02	cs2 yaw red7 2026 07 02	Yawara Esports	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb155fb…
07-02 20:06:58	cs2 yaw red7 2026 07 02	Yawara Esports	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x831d8f…
07-01 19:36:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb54b28…
07-01 13:52:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ebfd6…
07-01 12:41:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcb022e…
07-01 05:55:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0e440…
07-01 00:20:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0cc237…
06-30 17:06:26	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x06dbd4…
06-30 13:50:52	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x98fe73…
06-29 16:01:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1540f9…
06-28 01:55:05	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c24ad…
06-28 01:45:23	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x37d5f9…
06-24 00:51:49	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c94e2…
06-24 00:37:26	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xce16bc…
06-23 16:52:25	val jl cgn 2026 06 23	Joblife	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe23604…
06-23 16:27:32	val jl cgn 2026 06 23	Joblife	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf2fe4e…
06-22 08:18:22	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca3732…
06-22 00:42:34	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb57045…
06-22 00:21:07	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7291d5…
06-21 22:08:22	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x326cf5…
06-21 14:36:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 shots dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd482cf…
06-21 06:06:22	ow fal sbad 2026 06 21	Falcons	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x11761f…
06-21 05:06:13	ow fal sbad 2026 06 21	Falcons	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x429247…
06-19 10:16:02	cs2 wal2 oxuji 2026 06 19	Walczaki	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x44cc22…
06-15 06:52:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 15	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa20744…
06-15 06:50:57	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 15	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9dd8cb…
06-14 23:51:07	cs2 gz1 mandl 2026 06 15	Ground Zero	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x4f9066…
06-14 21:42:51	cs2 gz1 mandl 2026 06 15	Ground Zero	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf8a892…
06-13 18:07:27	val g21 xlg 2026 06 13	G2 Esports	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xea91b8…
06-13 17:52:33	will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x1bc7c5…
06-13 17:25:30	will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7cbd62…
06-13 16:30:42	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	Vitality	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x599b1f…
06-13 15:56:24	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	Vitality	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x77d86d…
06-13 12:30:03	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 13	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x89652e…
06-13 11:54:40	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 13	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x81945a…
06-13 06:52:01	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x21ac97…
06-12 18:14:01	cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	Vitality	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x533fc6…
06-12 15:36:43	cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12	Natus Vincere	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xf6139b…
06-12 12:58:36	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5473c8…
06-12 09:54:22	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 12	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x5cf0ba…
06-12 09:48:07	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 12	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb91f33…
06-12 09:42:24	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 12	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x50bc99…
06-12 03:00:25	cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	Vitality	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x55ba0b…
06-12 02:22:24	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x64b77c…
06-12 02:20:22	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbdd0ca…
06-11 00:43:58	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd8501b…
06-11 00:29:48	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2fd9c8…
06-09 17:13:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda5d4f…
06-09 14:39:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcb0338…
06-09 14:22:31	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 9	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff15fd…
06-09 14:11:06	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 9	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x613516…
06-09 09:37:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x35f891…
06-09 09:34:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x550de8…
06-08 11:04:12	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4341d7…
06-08 06:11:24	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5e278c…
06-07 23:09:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03aa55…
06-07 21:22:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa6ed65…
06-07 18:08:57	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x511068…
06-06 23:17:46	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x851473…
06-05 11:22:06	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe86ca1…
06-05 10:19:07	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x47c1c0…