Wide-Kneejerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$971

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-09 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

52% 59% $-9

Crypto

43% 82% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$20	16	16	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 21:11
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$19	11	11	-0	open	—	05-21 18:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	4	$19	15	5	+10	open	—	05-25 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-10 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-09 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-10 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 11:25
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-09 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	Down	$-12	05-10 21:05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 12:42
Fight to Go the Distance?	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-09 23:01
Valorant: FOKUS vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 17:09
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 09:30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 13:45
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 00:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:32
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Vortex CGO (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:47
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:45
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 17:51
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 14:08
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 05:23
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 16:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 08:15
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 18:53
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 16:32
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:13:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda5d4f…
06-09 14:39:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcb0338…
06-09 14:22:31	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 9	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff15fd…
06-09 14:11:06	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 9	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x613516…
06-09 09:37:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x35f891…
06-09 09:34:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x550de8…
06-08 11:04:12	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4341d7…
06-08 06:11:24	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5e278c…
06-07 23:09:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03aa55…
06-07 21:22:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa6ed65…
06-07 18:08:57	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x511068…
06-06 23:17:46	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x851473…
06-05 11:22:06	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe86ca1…
06-05 10:19:07	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x47c1c0…
06-03 00:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf93209…
06-03 00:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc173e5…
06-03 00:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x93a72e…
06-02 15:57:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xa5c7d7…
06-02 15:49:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfac23e…
06-01 03:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xdfd351…
06-01 03:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x70e19c…
06-01 02:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xbd8531…
06-01 02:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2d94bb…
05-30 08:29:50	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe1e2a…
05-30 08:27:01	LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x86c446…
05-30 06:48:15	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x91ccf3…
05-30 05:19:19	LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x21abb3…
05-30 02:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3c94db…
05-30 01:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1dce46…
05-29 13:32:19	LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x58afa5…
05-29 09:30:57	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x72ef1c…
05-29 09:21:48	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd7a5ad…
05-29 08:56:22	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xff3bfc…
05-29 04:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x008b68…
05-29 03:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9741f0…
05-29 00:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xfdbbad…
05-29 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfe2e28…
05-28 14:36:24	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs	TYLOO	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x02c265…
05-28 05:54:00	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs	TYLOO	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x45d42f…
05-27 15:39:06	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x610690…
05-27 15:16:05	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x810182…
05-25 20:56:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b766b…
05-25 20:50:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd6932b…
05-25 16:48:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6aa4d1…
05-25 15:58:16	World Championships: Germany vs. Great Britain	Germany	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x38c685…
05-25 14:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb687f2…
05-25 14:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfaa660…
05-25 08:15:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc087e9…
05-25 06:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x31bdaf…
05-25 05:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3c34ac…
05-25 03:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96fe29…
05-25 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b7622…
05-25 02:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd2b817…
05-25 02:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x821d35…
05-25 00:02:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xed4d84…
05-24 18:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xddfb75…
05-24 18:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xffc2b1…
05-24 11:47:51	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x7cd486…
05-24 11:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdae65b…
05-24 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe0ffb6…
05-24 07:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8da312…
05-24 04:12:34	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x94a776…
05-24 04:12:27	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc15711…
05-24 03:40:46	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x85948f…
05-24 03:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x277c2d…
05-24 03:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd2059a…
05-24 00:05:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa09ad7…
05-23 22:56:52	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x8ba647…
05-23 21:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf4a0da…
05-23 19:30:18	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	Wildcard	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x1ba443…
05-23 19:28:14	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	Wildcard	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7e219b…
05-23 18:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x92dc0d…
05-23 18:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x800e54…
05-23 15:04:50	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5c34b0…
05-23 14:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x452ad6…
05-23 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x114809…
05-23 03:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x000b27…
05-23 03:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9bb876…
05-22 16:39:57	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x07ecf3…
05-22 15:52:58	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf12e18…
05-22 15:00:30	World Championships: Germany vs. Hungary	Germany	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf8e584…
05-22 15:00:14	World Championships: Germany vs. Hungary	Germany	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1e5f8f…
05-22 10:07:00	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	SPARTA	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe8fdd4…
05-22 10:06:54	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	SPARTA	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe223b9…
05-22 09:27:49	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	SPARTA	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4a40e4…
05-22 06:26:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x8ef789…
05-22 05:57:37	World Championships: Germany vs. Hungary	Germany	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x20de3b…
05-22 04:04:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x773de0…
05-22 00:14:48	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs	Yawara Esports	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x82f356…
05-22 00:02:36	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs	Yawara Esports	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe15d60…
05-21 21:41:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x2b7749…
05-21 20:40:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x82143b…
05-21 18:59:30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xb16d1d…
05-21 18:53:31	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Barcząca Esports	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xf412ec…
05-21 18:30:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x50f8b2…
05-21 18:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xfd2892…
05-21 18:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x97a4fc…
05-21 17:59:48	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Barcząca Esports	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x2c34aa…
05-21 17:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf689fb…
05-21 17:00:00	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Barcząca Esports	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3ca512…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	73	$49.6K	951	06-08 09:26
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	56	$8.72K	2,523	06-09 17:08
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	51	$2.89K	119	06-07 23:30
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	50	$121.5K	4,416	06-03 00:51
(anonymous) 0x35e7…8331	48	$8.76K	364	06-07 09:05
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	48	$7.64K	711	06-05 10:33
Advanced-Beginning 0x904e…0bec	42	$36.5K	1,031	05-29 10:19
Annual-Reader 0xc4fe…601f	42	$2.53K	479	06-07 18:04