Disguised-Airforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$587

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

531

Trades

5,959

lifetime

Volume

$420.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 74% $-556

Politics

3% 0% $-31

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	18	$5.2K	7,399	7,399	+0	open	—	02-07 21:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	14	$4.3K	18,125	18,125	+0	open	—	02-10 01:29
btc updown 15m 1770741000	3	$1.7K	1,300	1,014	+287	open	—	02-10 16:43
btc updown 5m 1776883500	2	$1.3K	637	636	+1	open	—	04-22 18:51
btc updown 5m 1776783600	2	$1.2K	744	728	+16	open	—	04-21 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776883200	2	$1.2K	633	631	+2	open	—	04-22 18:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	2,050	2,050	+0	Yes	$-26	01-25 02:49
btc updown 5m 1776859200	2	$1.1K	608	604	+4	open	—	04-22 12:05
btc updown 5m 1776882900	2	$1.1K	583	581	+2	open	—	04-22 18:41
btc updown 15m 1770796800	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	02-11 08:14
btc updown 15m 1770736500	1	$1.1K	1,126	0	+1,126	open	—	02-10 15:24
btc updown 15m 1770778800	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	02-11 03:14
btc updown 5m 1776871200	2	$1.0K	540	538	+2	open	—	04-22 15:26
btc updown 15m 1770802200	1	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	02-11 09:43
btc updown 5m 1776397200	3	$1.0K	538	535	+3	open	—	04-17 03:46
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.0K	21,143	21,143	+0	open	—	01-23 11:25
btc updown 15m 1770777000	1	$978	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	02-11 02:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	6	$925	14,609	14,609	+0	open	—	01-15 08:53
btc updown 15m 1770434100	3	$900	2,075	0	+2,075	open	—	02-07 03:16
btc updown 15m 1770744600	1	$890	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-10 17:38
btc updown 15m 1770809400	3	$846	1,293	0	+1,293	open	—	02-11 11:40
btc updown 15m 1770741900	1	$846	891	0	+891	open	—	02-10 16:59
btc updown 15m 1770800400	1	$818	1,048	0	+1,048	open	—	02-11 09:08
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	8	$790	4,817	5,812	-995	open	—	01-29 13:21
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	7	$778	1,062	1,062	+0	open	—	01-30 12:09
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	17	$737	1,679	0	+1,679	open	—	02-04 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$732	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	04-27 11:00
btc updown 5m 1776393600	3	$727	843	0	+843	open	—	04-17 02:44
btc updown 15m 1771083000	2	$718	368	368	+0	open	—	02-14 15:46
btc updown 15m 1770439500	5	$713	1,022	361	+660	open	—	02-07 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:52:33	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8f2ed0…
06-09 18:44:01	btc updown 15m 1781029800	Up	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x80db1b…
06-09 18:36:49	btc updown 15m 1781029800	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xc69ec8…
06-09 18:34:51	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x06b00d…
06-09 18:34:36	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xa2c450…
06-09 18:33:57	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x609fd7…
06-09 18:32:48	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x091c7f…
06-09 18:32:30	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	SELL	85	59¢	$50	0xef8566…
06-09 18:32:15	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb43d14…
06-09 18:32:09	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x61c0db…
06-09 10:55:21	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x38f4e9…
06-09 10:29:45	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x731817…
06-09 10:29:45	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3755d1…
06-09 10:29:01	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdc1090…
06-09 10:26:28	btc updown 15m 1781000100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdc4a96…
06-09 10:26:28	btc updown 15m 1781000100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc2e0e2…
06-09 10:24:51	btc updown 5m 1781000400	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x732bbe…
06-09 09:55:01	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb3005…
06-09 09:54:37	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc3adc4…
06-09 09:54:37	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa7d191…
06-09 09:54:37	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1afcfa…
06-09 09:50:01	btc updown 5m 1780998300	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x753bc4…
06-09 09:49:40	btc updown 5m 1780998300	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x3e71ef…
06-09 09:49:10	btc updown 5m 1780998300	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf16b88…
06-09 09:29:39	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x0755fc…
06-09 09:24:22	btc updown 15m 1780996500	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc3d3b5…
06-09 09:24:19	btc updown 15m 1780996500	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6bd831…
06-09 09:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780996800	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa598d4…
06-09 09:22:12	btc updown 5m 1780996800	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x5913ac…
06-09 09:21:40	btc updown 15m 1780996500	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x609ea8…
06-09 00:59:48	btc updown 5m 1780966500	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x6bf52d…
06-09 00:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780966500	Down	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xdb1ce3…
06-09 00:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780966500	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x5b681f…
06-09 00:58:09	btc updown 15m 1780965900	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9bc2ad…
06-09 00:58:09	btc updown 15m 1780965900	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4b3b54…
06-09 00:38:42	btc updown 5m 1780965300	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf252bf…
06-09 00:38:42	btc updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x4787a3…
06-08 15:49:31	btc updown 5m 1780933500	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xb54dde…
06-08 14:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Down	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x8253dc…
06-08 14:43:00	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x43b879…
06-08 14:42:30	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe4094a…
06-08 14:42:30	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9cb0d1…
06-08 14:42:30	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x49222a…
06-08 14:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc9a5f4…
06-08 14:23:58	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8ebf5c…
06-08 14:23:43	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xbc78f1…
06-08 14:23:39	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xa31fa9…
06-07 21:47:51	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa25ed3…
06-07 21:47:28	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xf41752…
06-07 18:49:46	btc updown 5m 1780857900	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06fc94…
06-07 18:49:42	btc updown 5m 1780857900	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1b6fa1…
06-07 18:49:28	btc updown 5m 1780857900	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x25f985…
06-07 18:49:25	btc updown 5m 1780857900	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x428764…
06-07 18:13:37	btc updown 5m 1780855800	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x37341d…
06-07 18:13:27	btc updown 5m 1780855800	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x4f9631…
06-07 17:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780852800	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xc9c7fb…
06-07 16:54:48	btc updown 5m 1780851000	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd9fc90…
06-07 16:54:33	btc updown 5m 1780851000	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xec5d13…
06-07 16:54:06	btc updown 5m 1780851000	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe14997…
06-07 15:34:39	btc updown 5m 1780846200	Down	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xbdd165…
06-07 15:34:36	btc updown 5m 1780846200	Down	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x04517e…
06-07 15:33:58	btc updown 5m 1780846200	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xbbbfbb…
06-07 15:18:24	btc updown 5m 1780845300	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0c1e6f…
06-07 15:08:03	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x90e55f…
06-07 15:08:00	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe25b81…
06-07 15:08:00	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1fee9b…
06-05 17:32:22	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9dafeb…
06-05 17:32:19	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Down	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x8e7d79…
06-05 17:32:15	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Down	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xd2999e…
06-05 14:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x89afe7…
06-05 13:26:15	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x845a55…
06-05 13:26:07	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x2733b3…
06-05 13:11:25	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xce3e82…
06-05 13:11:22	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc91c7f…
06-05 13:06:10	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x9109ad…
06-05 13:05:57	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x485768…
06-05 13:05:55	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6311e9…
06-05 13:03:58	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0b5eae…
06-05 12:08:03	btc updown 15m 1780660800	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb25e81…
06-05 12:06:58	btc updown 15m 1780660800	Up	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0x8a4566…
06-05 12:06:49	btc updown 15m 1780660800	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0196e3…
06-05 11:25:30	btc updown 5m 1780658700	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x15407a…
06-05 11:21:06	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xffa7f0…
06-05 11:21:06	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd4e1a9…
06-05 11:17:54	btc updown 5m 1780658100	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x088ed5…
06-05 11:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780657800	Up	SELL	66	46¢	$30	0x1c1184…
06-05 11:12:19	btc updown 5m 1780657800	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x6eb673…
06-05 11:12:15	btc updown 5m 1780657800	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x683bdd…
06-05 11:09:39	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Down	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x4d34a1…
06-05 11:02:18	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xce30f3…
06-05 11:02:16	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xf4aa16…
06-05 03:08:09	btc updown 15m 1780628400	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x480f13…
06-05 03:07:57	btc updown 5m 1780628700	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x58fde1…
06-04 23:13:31	btc updown 15m 1780614000	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x624bab…
06-04 23:13:19	btc updown 15m 1780614000	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x7a4f4b…
06-04 23:09:48	btc updown 15m 1780614000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe91086…
06-04 23:09:48	btc updown 15m 1780614000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcf93ac…
06-04 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1780611900	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x0f09c8…
06-04 22:29:22	btc updown 5m 1780611900	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x5b9732…
06-04 22:11:25	btc updown 15m 1780610400	Down	BUY	46	53¢	$25	0xad4dc0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	842	$75.2K	12,435	05-15 18:57
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	829	$1.73K	4,152	06-09 18:34
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	818	$6.24K	9,698	06-09 18:34
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	786	$1.03K	2,790	06-02 15:52
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	769	$494.9K	128,895	06-09 18:34
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	754	$19.6K	3,899	06-09 18:33
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	752	$103.1K	16,451	06-09 18:34
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	736	$13.8K	1,555	05-15 18:59